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Rapla vs Tallinna Kalev Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-78
9-27 21-14 22-22 20-15
Position#10
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Rapla
vs
Tallinna Kalev 🏆
Position#16
Record-
FormWLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Sadolin Spordihoone
Other2023
Meetings · Rapla v Tallinna Kalev
22 Sep 2023
RAPL72
TALL78
10 Jan 2023
RAPL74
TALL63
30 Oct 2021
RAPL87
TALL96
14 Apr 2021
RAPL96
TALL88
13 Feb 2021
RAPL81
TALL71
24 Oct 2020
RAPL92
TALL76
22 Dec 2018
RAPL69
TALL87
29 Apr 2018
RAPL90
TALL66
25 Apr 2018
RAPL73
TALL71
18 Apr 2018
RAPL69
TALL73
14 Apr 2018
RAPL94
TALL64
02 Mar 2018
RAPL65
TALL64
04 Feb 2017
RAPL63
TALL70
12 Nov 2016
RAPL79
TALL76
20 May 2016
RAPL79
TALL76
15 May 2016
RAPL81
TALL91
06 Feb 2016
RAPL78
TALL71
17 Nov 2015
RAPL68
TALL57
24 Oct 2015
RAPL76
TALL97
07 Mar 2015
RAPL93
TALL81
31 Jan 2015
RAPL86
TALL65
08 Mar 2014
RAPL82
TALL63
21 Nov 2013
RAPL76
TALL70
05 Oct 2013
RAPL73
TALL75
06 Apr 2013
RAPL82
TALL89
04 Dec 2012
RAPL65
TALL73
04 Feb 2012
RAPL82
TALL72
08 Oct 2011
RAPL90
TALL70
13 Apr 2011
RAPL63
TALL73
05 Apr 2011
RAPL99
TALL87
05 Mar 2011
RAPL79
TALL76
04 Dec 2010
RAPL71
TALL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tallinna Kalev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
96-64
96
64
+32
no box
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
66-61
66
61
+5
no box
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
54-77
54
77
-23
no box
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
no box
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
no box
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 62
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 62
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
75-58
75
58
+17
65avg 62
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
65-78
65
78
-13
55avg 62
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
9-14
20-26
26-11
27-19
17-15
33-19
19-11
17-16
15-14
17-15
17-16
9-26
13-13
18-23
14-15
14-30
23-17
26-19
26-28
19-27
13-23
24-11
23-18
16-20
24-21
13-19
18-23
19-33
16-15
14-14
23-18
16-13
21-18
16-14
22-13
14-21
14-21
20-16
17-20
153.1Avg total
76.6Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.676.5153.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)75.678.4154.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.083.6157.6-9.614%
vs Similar (12)73.777.5151.2-3.833%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.667.1151.7+17.5100%
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKalev
Date
Competition
Prometey
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
no box
A15/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
100-103 OT
100
103
-3
no box
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
79-62
79
62
+17
no box
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
93-77
93
77
+16
no box
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
106-83
106
83
+23
no box
A19/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
64-101
64
101
-37
no box
A21/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
73-84
73
84
-11
62avg 48
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
64-92
64
92
-28
54avg 48
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
38-84
38
84
-46
27avg 48
A22/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
15-12
9-28
24-25
26-30
15-18
31-23
19-20
13-26
21-28
19-14
23-19
24-11
23-11
14-16
18-24
15-14
15-23
36-20
27-20
26-20
29-17
21-30
30-16
13-25
13-23
15-21
23-32
22-23
24-23
17-15
10-23
16-24
18-22
10-22
20-24
9-21
11-21
7-21
11-21
162.5Avg total
75.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.886.7162.5-10.930%
Last 5 (5)69.088.8157.8-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)67.684.1151.6-16.56%
vs Similar (10)81.281.9163.1-0.730%
vs Weaker (4)87.880.0167.8+7.850%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
RaplaTallinna Kalev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A01/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A24/03
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#3
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H13/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A17/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H21/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A25/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
Parnu
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H28/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
74.6Avg total
34.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.938.476.3-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.739.274.9-3.538%-
Last 30 away (14)40.437.577.9+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)34.440.274.6-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.442.476.8-8.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.942.075.9-8.114%-
vs Similar (12)36.240.176.2-3.933%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.334.376.5+8.082%-
This opponent (Tallinna Kalev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tallinna KalevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prometey
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A15/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A19/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
L
34-54
34
54
-20
H03/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
47-22
47
22
+25
H11/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A15/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A19/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
26-48
26
48
-22
A21/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H19/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
20-42
20
42
-22
A22/04
Korvpalli Meistriliiga
78.6Avg total
36.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.540.276.8-3.723%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.640.276.8-3.621%-
Last 30 away (16)36.540.276.8-3.825%-
Last 10 (10)36.542.178.6-5.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.243.880.0-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.641.474.0-8.812%-
vs Similar (10)41.539.080.5+2.530%-
vs Weaker (4)39.838.878.5+1.050%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.0
57.1%
50.5%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.26.8
23.1%
32.1%20.2
🏀 Free throws17.811.5
64.8%
70.5%11.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tallinna Kalevtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tallinna Kalev: 57.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers25.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.312.7
48.1%
50.5%25.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.06.3
22.6%
32.1%19.0
🏀 Free throws19.312.7
65.5%
70.5%12.7
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 22 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rapla
LWLLWLLWWW
Tallinna Kalev
LLLLWWWLLL
#10
League position
#16
-5.8
Net rating
-40.1
100.3
Offensive rating
78.9
106.0
Defensive rating
119.0
46.6%
Effective FG%
40.8%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
24.5%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
23.1%
3-point %
22.6%
61.2%
Assist %
68.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 78.9Defence106.0 · 119.0Shooting46.6% · 40.8%3-point %23.1% · 22.6%Ball care18.7% · 24.5%Off. rebounds35.3% · 22.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Rapla   ■ Tallinna Kalev
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rapla wins
3
Tallinna Kalev wins
DateGameScore
10/01/23Rapla v Tallinna Kalev74-63
15/10/22Tallinna Kalev v Rapla90-73
08/04/22Tallinna Kalev v Rapla84-64
26/03/22Tallinna Kalev v Rapla64-78
30/10/21Rapla v Tallinna Kalev87-96
14/04/21Rapla v Tallinna Kalev96-88
01/04/21Tallinna Kalev v Rapla72-87
13/02/21Rapla v Tallinna Kalev81-71
13/01/21Tallinna Kalev v Rapla83-85
21/11/20Tallinna Kalev v Rapla83-89
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/23HParnu65-78
25/04/23AParnu75-58
21/04/23HParnu72-80
17/04/23AParnu71-83
13/04/23HParnu95-93 OT
28/03/23HVEF Riga89-94
24/03/23AVEF Riga54-77
15/03/23ALatvijas Universitate66-61
11/03/23HValmiera Glass Via96-64
01/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo83-77
Tallinna Kalevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/04/23ABC Kalev/Cramo38-84
19/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo64-92
16/04/23ABC Kalev/Cramo73-84
21/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo64-101
19/03/23ARakvere Tarvas106-83
15/03/23AParnu93-77
11/03/23HTal Tech79-62
03/03/23HValmiera Glass Via76-87
19/02/23AKeila KK100-103 OT
15/02/23APrometey65-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Tallinna Kalev
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%74.071.0+3.0
2 Tartu Ulikool1010%71.074.0-3.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rapla921222072
Tallinna Kalev2714221578
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