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Halcones de Obregon vs Rayos de Hermosillo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 103-92
23-27 28-18 26-27 26-20
Position#6
Record10-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#3
Record14-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game87.0
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena ITSON
Other2024
Meetings · Halcones de Obregon v Rayos de Hermosillo
12 Apr 2025
HALC73
RAYO76
11 Apr 2025
HALC103
RAYO84
30 May 2024
HALC101
RAYO87
28 May 2024
HALC105
RAYO95
27 May 2024
HALC75
RAYO82
17 Apr 2024
HALC103
RAYO92
16 Apr 2024
HALC92
RAYO93
26 May 2023
HALC93
RAYO111
24 May 2023
HALC117
RAYO90
23 May 2023
HALC81
RAYO82
15 Mar 2023
HALC72
RAYO79
14 Mar 2023
HALC86
RAYO81
17 Jun 2022
HALC67
RAYO73
16 Jun 2022
HALC87
RAYO80
08 Jun 2022
HALC85
RAYO68
07 Jun 2022
HALC76
RAYO78
09 Apr 2022
HALC93
RAYO82
08 Apr 2022
HALC79
RAYO88
14 Mar 2020
HALC98
RAYO101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rayos de Hermosillo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
62-70
62
70
-8
52avg 80
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
91-100
91
100
-9
85avg 80
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
101-109
101
109
-8
93avg 80
A04/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
101-97 OT
101
97
+4
87avg 80
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
119-87
119
87
+32
123avg 80
H07/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
83-92
83
92
-9
72avg 80
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
87-82
87
82
+5
87avg 80
H11/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
89-93
89
93
-4
81avg 80
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
61-70
61
70
-9
48avg 80
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
92-93
92
93
-1
80avg 80
H17/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
15-14
20-19
12-23
27-30
23-18
20-27
21-25
22-24
24-20
32-32
23-33
24-19
21-27
23-22
20-20
23-19
30-13
38-29
28-26
20-25
28-18
16-24
19-25
19-21
26-18
15-23
27-20
23-23
9-26
31-25
26-19
14-18
11-17
20-13
16-22
21-22
14-28
34-27
23-16
177.9Avg total
88.6Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)87.188.7175.9-1.643%
Season at home (11)94.789.7184.5+5.073%
Season away (12)80.287.8168.0-7.717%
Last 10 (10)88.689.3177.9-0.730%
Last 5 (5)82.486.0168.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)88.389.8178.1-1.536%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.992.3181.2-3.438%
vs Weaker (6)93.389.7183.0+3.750%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
72-88
72
88
-16
64avg 81
H28/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
83avg 81
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
75-82
75
82
-7
62avg 81
H04/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
100-83
100
83
+17
87avg 81
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
101-93
101
93
+8
97avg 81
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
76-102
76
102
-26
64avg 81
H09/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
100-92
100
92
+8
104avg 81
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
90-95
90
95
-5
74avg 81
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
90-102
90
102
-12
81avg 81
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
93-92
93
92
+1
90avg 81
A17/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
19-14
14-33
22-19
20-27
28-22
21-22
16-16
21-19
16-22
17-20
21-21
21-18
25-24
33-17
21-24
20-22
19-29
32-19
30-23
16-19
21-24
23-29
16-30
23-21
27-21
30-23
20-27
20-23
20-21
23-20
27-31
14-34
19-24
28-23
29-21
22-21
28-14
27-34
16-23
179.8Avg total
88.2Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)88.087.0175.0+0.961%
Season at home (11)85.485.2170.5+0.255%
Season away (12)90.388.8179.1+1.667%
Last 10 (10)88.291.6179.8-3.440%
Last 5 (5)89.896.6186.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)82.889.8172.5-7.050%
vs Similar ◀ (15)89.590.4179.9-0.933%
vs Weaker (11)91.784.4176.1+7.491%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
Halcones de ObregonRayos de Hermosillo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A28/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A04/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H07/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H11/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H17/04
CIBACOPA
82.3Avg total
40.9Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.286.4+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.943.589.4+2.462%-
Last 30 away (14)40.142.882.9-2.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.941.482.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.280.2-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)43.144.988.0-1.845%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.844.686.4-2.838%-
vs Weaker (6)46.536.883.3+9.783%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Angeles CDMX
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H04/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A06/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A07/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H09/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H10/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A14/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A17/04
CIBACOPA
85.7Avg total
41.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.483.5+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.640.181.7+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)44.540.785.2+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)41.644.185.7-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)42.044.486.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.538.882.2+4.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)42.441.583.9+0.933%-
vs Weaker (11)43.839.583.4+4.373%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.123.4
51.9%
52.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.8
35.8%
36.2%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.015.3
76.5%
72.4%15.3
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.921.1
54.2%
52.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.7
33.0%
36.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws20.316.3
80.3%
72.4%16.3
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Halcones de Obregon
LLLWLWWLLL
Rayos de Hermosillo
WLLWLWWLLL
#6
League position
#3
-0.3
Net rating
-3.7
112.9
Offensive rating
109.0
113.2
Defensive rating
112.7
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.2%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.8%
30.4%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.8%
3-point %
33.0%
53.7%
Assist %
63.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 109.0Defence113.2 · 112.7Shooting52.5% · 52.2%3-point %35.8% · 33.0%Ball care15.4% · 14.8%Off. rebounds30.4% · 23.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Halcones de Obregon   ■ Rayos de Hermosillo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24HRayos de Hermosillo92-93
14/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan61-70
13/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan89-93
11/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana87-82
10/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana83-92
07/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan119-87
06/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan101-97 OT
04/04/24AFrayles de Guasave101-109
03/04/24AFrayles de Guasave91-100
28/03/24APioneros de Los Mochis62-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/24AHalcones de Obregon93-92
14/04/24AZonkeys de Tijuana90-102
13/04/24AZonkeys de Tijuana90-95
10/04/24HAstros100-92
09/04/24HAstros76-102
07/04/24APioneros de Los Mochis101-93
06/04/24APioneros de Los Mochis100-83
04/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana75-82
03/04/24HZonkeys de Tijuana85-87
28/03/24HAngeles CDMX72-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWLWL73%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%73%17%
Points / game87.194.780.2
Allowed / game88.789.787.8
Point differential-1.6+5.0-7.7
Avg total175.9184.5168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeLLLLW55%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%55%67%
Points / game88.085.490.3
Allowed / game87.085.288.8
Point differential+0.9+0.2+1.6
Avg total175.0170.5179.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%18%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana2419579%89.582.5+7.0
2 Astros2418675%93.482.7+10.7
3 Angeles CDMX2416867%91.988.2+3.7
4 Rayos de Hermosillo2314961%88.087.0+0.9
5 Venados de Mazatlan23121152%88.889.5-0.7
6 Halcones de Obregon23101343%87.188.7-1.6
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas23101343%89.493.1-3.7
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis24101442%87.690.8-3.2
9 Frayles de Guasave2451921%90.896.6-5.8
10 Caballeros de Culiacan2442017%83.991.5-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Halcones de Obregon23282626103
Rayos de Hermosillo2718272092
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