PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Astros vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 May 2024
Tip-off: 02:15
Final 103-85
31-26 25-14 25-19 22-26
Position#2
Record25-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.6
Allowed / game86.2
Astros 🏆
Mexico
vs
Position#6
Record17-17
FormLLWWL
Points / game91.1
Allowed / game90.0
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Astros
Other2024
Meetings · Astros v Halcones de Obregon
16 Jun 2025
ASTR87
HALC78
07 Jun 2025
ASTR84
HALC86
06 Jun 2025
ASTR83
HALC73
16 Mar 2025
ASTR92
HALC84
15 Mar 2025
ASTR108
HALC81
18 May 2024
ASTR104
HALC100
17 May 2024
ASTR103
HALC85
18 Mar 2023
ASTR100
HALC74
17 Mar 2023
ASTR90
HALC96
07 May 2022
ASTR81
HALC76
06 May 2022
ASTR92
HALC97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Astros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AstrosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAstros
Date
Competition
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
91-95
91
95
-4
82avg 89
A24/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
101-105
101
105
-4
96avg 89
A25/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 89
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
113-87
113
87
+26
115avg 89
H28/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
95-90
95
90
+5
81avg 89
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
93-68
93
68
+25
80avg 89
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
83-102
83
102
-19
71avg 89
H08/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
95-90
95
90
+5
88avg 89
H09/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
116-106
116
106
+10
119avg 89
A12/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
126-112
126
112
+14
118avg 89
A13/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-26
20-17
25-26
27-26
18-26
23-28
27-29
33-22
26-10
15-19
27-35
27-28
25-20
19-15
37-33
32-19
25-18
27-22
17-23
26-27
12-16
17-17
28-13
36-22
16-31
12-33
34-24
21-14
25-21
22-16
30-30
18-23
30-31
23-15
35-33
28-27
29-28
38-27
39-34
20-23
195.5Avg total
100.8Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)95.686.2181.8+9.474%
Season at home (16)96.283.9180.1+12.288%
Season away (18)95.188.3183.3+6.861%
Last 10 (10)100.894.7195.5+6.170%
Last 5 (5)102.695.6198.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)88.087.8175.8+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)96.886.5183.2+10.373%
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
103-97
103
97
+6
99avg 85
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
116-90
116
90
+26
115avg 85
H28/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
86-89
86
89
-3
74avg 85
A01/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
85avg 85
A02/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
112-97
112
97
+15
107avg 85
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
88-90
88
90
-2
81avg 85
H05/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
L
92-95
92
95
-3
93avg 85
A12/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
103-81
103
81
+22
100avg 85
A13/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
96-93
96
93
+3
92avg 85
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
103-116
103
116
-13
94avg 85
H16/05
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
17-22
31-24
30-26
21-28
23-16
34-21
38-25
16-24
21-19
19-21
30-25
31-25
14-18
32-18
14-18
34-28
17-25
27-24
34-20
15-22
24-23
23-22
26-23
24-27
21-17
23-24
24-27
33-23
24-24
28-19
18-15
19-23
19-26
28-25
30-19
22-30
27-23
27-32
27-31
191.7Avg total
99.0Scored
92.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)91.190.0181.1+1.150%
Season at home (18)97.992.3190.3+5.672%
Season away (16)83.487.4170.8-4.025%
Last 10 (10)99.092.7191.7+6.360%
Last 5 (5)96.495.0191.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)90.589.0179.5+1.575%
vs Similar (14)89.391.9181.1-2.636%
vs Weaker (12)96.390.0186.3+6.358%
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +4.2+4.2
AstrosHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AstrosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A24/04
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#5
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A25/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H28/04
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A04/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
28-64
28
64
-36
H08/05
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H09/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A12/05
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
67-55
67
55
+12
A13/05
CIBACOPA
87.7Avg total
44.1Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.443.087.4+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.440.484.8+4.075%-
Last 30 away (18)44.444.789.2-0.339%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.687.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.091.8-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)37.044.081.0-7.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.642.888.4+2.758%-
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H27/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H28/04
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A01/05
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A02/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H04/05
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H05/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A12/05
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#7
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A13/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H15/05
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H16/05
CIBACOPA
91.5Avg total
44.7Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.787.5+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.745.089.7-0.338%-
Last 30 away (14)42.842.285.0+0.657%-
Last 10 (10)44.746.891.5-2.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.647.693.2-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)45.541.887.2+3.875%-
vs Similar (14)42.546.388.8-3.836%-
vs Weaker (12)44.841.386.1+3.450%-
This opponent (Astros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Astrostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Astros: 99.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.327.1
57.3%
52.6%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.4
35.7%
36.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.217.4
75.0%
72.4%17.4
They take 73.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.3 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.224.8
53.7%
52.6%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.7
36.8%
36.2%32.1
🏀 Free throws20.416.5
80.9%
72.4%16.5
They take 75.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Astros
WWWLWWWWLL
Halcones de Obregon
LWWLLWWLWW
#2
League position
#6
+6.7
Net rating
+7.7
117.2
Offensive rating
117.1
110.5
Defensive rating
109.3
56.0%
Effective FG%
54.2%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
13.0%
Turnover %
13.9%
24.1%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.7%
3-point %
36.8%
53.2%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.2 · 117.1Defence110.5 · 109.3Shooting56.0% · 54.2%3-point %35.7% · 36.8%Ball care13.0% · 13.9%Off. rebounds24.1% · 28.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Astros   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Astros wins
7
Halcones de Obregon wins
Astroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/24AFrayles de Guasave126-112
12/05/24AFrayles de Guasave116-106
09/05/24HZonkeys de Tijuana95-90
08/05/24HZonkeys de Tijuana83-102
05/05/24AAngeles CDMX93-68
04/05/24AAngeles CDMX95-90
28/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan113-87
27/04/24HCaballeros de Culiacan95-92
25/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan101-105
24/04/24AVenados de Mazatlan91-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/05/24HAngeles CDMX103-116
15/05/24HAngeles CDMX96-93
13/05/24AOstioneros de Guaymas103-81
12/05/24AOstioneros de Guaymas92-95
05/05/24HPioneros de Los Mochis88-90
04/05/24HPioneros de Los Mochis112-97
02/05/24ACaballeros de Culiacan91-79
01/05/24ACaballeros de Culiacan86-89
28/04/24HFrayles de Guasave116-90
27/04/24HFrayles de Guasave103-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Astros
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLWWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %74%88%61%
Points / game95.696.295.1
Allowed / game86.283.988.3
Point differential+9.4+12.2+6.8
Avg total181.8180.1183.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %6%6%6%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWLWL72%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341816
Win %50%72%25%
Points / game91.197.983.4
Allowed / game90.092.387.4
Point differential+1.1+5.6-4.0
Avg total181.1190.3170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%28%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)67% (6)20% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zonkeys de Tijuana3426876%91.483.7+7.6
2 Astros3425974%95.686.2+9.4
3 Rayos de Hermosillo34221265%88.885.8+3.0
4 Angeles CDMX35211460%92.991.8+1.0
5 Halcones de Obregon34171750%91.190.0+1.1
6 Venados de Mazatlan34171750%87.289.0-1.8
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas34142041%91.193.8-2.6
8 Pioneros de Los Mochis34142041%88.291.1-2.9
9 Caballeros de Culiacan3582723%85.792.6-6.9
10 Frayles de Guasave3472721%91.799.5-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Astros31252522103
Halcones de Obregon2614192685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.