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Rayos de Hermosillo vs Zonkeys de Tijuana Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 87-74
24-13 23-11 18-27 22-23
Position#7
Record7-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game88.7
vs
Position#4
Record10-10
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game88.7
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Sonora
Other2025
Meetings · Rayos de Hermosillo v Zonkeys de Tijuana
16 Apr 2025
RAYO88
ZONK87
15 Apr 2025
RAYO87
ZONK74
15 Jun 2024
RAYO98
ZONK88
13 Jun 2024
RAYO71
ZONK77
12 Jun 2024
RAYO99
ZONK79
03 Apr 2024
RAYO75
ZONK82
02 Apr 2024
RAYO85
ZONK87
12 Jun 2023
RAYO75
ZONK61
03 Jun 2023
RAYO76
ZONK68
02 Jun 2023
RAYO73
ZONK64
29 Mar 2023
RAYO89
ZONK77
28 Mar 2023
RAYO96
ZONK85
06 Apr 2022
RAYO107
ZONK96
05 Apr 2022
RAYO69
ZONK83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rayos de Hermosillo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zonkeys de Tijuana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 82
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 82
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 82
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
75-94
75
94
-19
66avg 82
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
88-96
88
96
-8
75avg 82
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
87-81
87
81
+6
80avg 82
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
99-85
99
85
+14
100avg 82
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
100-74
100
74
+26
100avg 82
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
84-103
84
103
-19
74avg 82
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
76-73
76
73
+3
70avg 82
A13/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
14-19
19-22
23-20
19-16
24-28
13-18
22-26
11-17
22-18
16-22
25-16
14-30
24-17
23-18
14-29
19-22
28-26
25-25
16-23
24-21
23-20
18-22
22-18
25-23
17-18
27-21
30-23
21-19
27-12
33-13
19-30
25-38
23-16
18-22
18-27
18-15
20-15
16-21
22-22
168.4Avg total
83.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.088.7170.7-6.635%
Season at home (10)82.089.2171.2-7.230%
Season away (10)82.188.1170.2-6.040%
Last 10 (10)83.285.2168.4-2.050%
Last 5 (5)89.283.2172.4+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)87.689.2176.8-1.758%
vs Similar ◀ (16)82.387.9170.2-5.638%
vs Weaker (2)99.579.5179.0+20.0100%
This opponent (Zonkeys de Tijuana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zonkeys de TijuanaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTijuana
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
83-74
83
74
+9
82avg 83
H26/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 83
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
90-120
90
120
-30
80avg 83
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
89-85
89
85
+4
85avg 83
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
W
117-108
117
108
+9
112avg 83
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
57avg 83
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
85-72
85
72
+13
84avg 83
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
108-106 OT
108
106
+2
102avg 83
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
82-99
82
99
-17
70avg 83
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
80-89
80
89
-9
72avg 83
H13/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
25-20
20-25
23-16
11-13
24-23
18-23
21-21
16-41
21-26
26-26
27-27
17-22
24-21
21-22
27-20
30-27
26-29
29-17
32-35
14-21
14-17
16-25
26-27
28-20
19-15
19-21
19-16
21-27
27-28
31-11
15-28
21-32
19-23
29-28
13-16
22-17
22-27
18-21
18-24
180.1Avg total
87.8Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)88.188.7176.8-0.650%
Season at home (10)85.984.6170.5+1.350%
Season away (10)90.392.7183.0-2.450%
Last 10 (10)87.892.3180.1-4.550%
Last 5 (5)85.091.2176.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)85.693.1178.8-7.538%
vs Similar ◀ (16)88.086.9174.9+1.150%
vs Weaker (6)91.386.2177.5+5.267%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -0.9-0.9
Rayos de HermosilloZonkeys de Tijuana
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H03/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A09/04
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A12/04
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/04
CIBACOPA
82.7Avg total
41.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.185.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.542.185.6+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.744.185.9-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)41.341.482.7-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.484.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)43.943.287.1+0.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.344.085.3-2.731%-
vs Weaker (2)45.036.081.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Zonkeys de Tijuana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zonkeys de TijuanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H26/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
37-67
37
67
-30
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A03/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H05/04
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H06/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H12/04
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/04
CIBACOPA
87.8Avg total
41.6Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.245.287.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.842.183.9-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)42.647.990.4-5.319%-
Last 10 (10)41.646.287.8-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.486.8-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.146.586.6-6.412%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)42.644.186.7-1.650%-
vs Weaker (6)44.046.290.2-2.217%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.2
51.5%
53.3%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.68.9
37.7%
35.5%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.413.3
72.3%
73.3%13.3
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zonkeys de Tijuanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zonkeys de Tijuana: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.118.6
51.5%
53.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.610.5
39.5%
35.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.7
75.1%
73.3%18.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rayos de Hermosillo
WLWWWLLWLL
Zonkeys de Tijuana
LLWWLWWLLW
#7
League position
#4
-3.1
Net rating
-5.3
105.5
Offensive rating
112.2
108.6
Defensive rating
117.5
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
19.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
23.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.40
37.7%
3-point %
39.5%
54.5%
Assist %
61.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 112.2Defence108.6 · 117.5Shooting53.3% · 54.8%3-point %37.7% · 39.5%Ball care19.4% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.2% · 23.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Rayos de Hermosillo   ■ Zonkeys de Tijuana
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25AHalcones de Obregon76-73
12/04/25AHalcones de Obregon84-103
10/04/25AFrayles de Guasave100-74
09/04/25AFrayles de Guasave99-85
06/04/25HPioneros de Los Mochis87-81
05/04/25HPioneros de Los Mochis88-96
03/04/25HHalcones de Obregon75-94
02/04/25HHalcones de Obregon74-73
30/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan78-88
29/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan71-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/25HAstros80-89
12/04/25HAstros82-99
06/04/25HOstioneros de Guaymas108-106 OT
05/04/25HOstioneros de Guaymas85-72
03/04/25AAstros70-90
02/04/25AAstros117-108
30/03/25AAngeles CDMX89-85
30/03/25AAngeles CDMX90-120
27/03/25HHalcones de Obregon74-80
26/03/25HHalcones de Obregon83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW35%
HomeLWLLW30%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%30%40%
Points / game82.082.082.1
Allowed / game88.789.288.1
Point differential-6.6-7.2-6.0
Avg total170.7171.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%10%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zonkeys de Tijuana
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game88.185.990.3
Allowed / game88.784.692.7
Point differential-0.6+1.3-2.4
Avg total176.8170.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%30%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros2118386%99.086.8+12.2
2 Angeles CDMX2115671%108.299.7+8.5
3 Halcones de Obregon21111052%87.484.8+2.6
4 Caballeros de Culiacan21111052%87.287.0+0.2
5 Zonkeys de Tijuana20101050%88.188.7-0.6
6 Pioneros de Los Mochis21101148%90.994.0-3.1
7 Venados de Mazatlan2191243%85.387.7-2.3
8 Ostioneros de Guaymas2181338%93.293.2+0.0
9 Rayos de Hermosillo2071335%82.088.7-6.6
10 Frayles de Guasave2151624%86.197.5-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rayos de Hermosillo2423182287
Zonkeys de Tijuana1311272374
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