PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rayos de Hermosillo vs Halcones de Obregon Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 75-94
14-30 24-17 23-18 14-29
Position#7
Record3-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game89.8
vs
Position#3
Record4-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game89.5
MexicoCIBACOPA· Arena Sonora
Other2025
Meetings · Rayos de Hermosillo v Halcones de Obregon
02 Apr 2025
RAYO75
HALC94
01 Apr 2025
RAYO74
HALC73
05 Jun 2024
RAYO84
HALC72
04 Jun 2024
RAYO87
HALC83
24 May 2024
RAYO73
HALC82
23 May 2024
RAYO99
HALC84
16 Mar 2024
RAYO90
HALC67
15 Mar 2024
RAYO83
HALC79
20 May 2023
RAYO86
HALC82
19 May 2023
RAYO90
HALC87
09 May 2023
RAYO88
HALC83
08 May 2023
RAYO97
HALC105
12 Apr 2023
RAYO80
HALC72
11 Apr 2023
RAYO86
HALC78
13 Jun 2022
RAYO64
HALC72
12 Jun 2022
RAYO79
HALC77
11 Jun 2022
RAYO67
HALC61
21 May 2022
RAYO88
HALC96
20 May 2022
RAYO80
HALC65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rayos de Hermosillo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Halcones de Obregon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
81avg 82
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
99-85
99
85
+14
93avg 82
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
58-90
58
90
-32
45avg 82
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
99-102
99
102
-3
94avg 82
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
96-86
96
86
+10
91avg 82
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
74-105
74
105
-31
68avg 82
H26/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 82
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 82
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
78-88
78
88
-10
69avg 82
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 82
H02/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
29-19
21-26
15-29
23-19
19-25
25-25
32-16
9-20
22-13
13-35
14-22
18-28
25-26
22-26
34-22
24-31
27-19
20-22
25-14
21-25
19-25
17-27
17-28
19-17
16-19
15-27
26-23
15-24
14-19
19-22
23-20
19-16
24-28
13-18
22-26
11-17
22-18
16-22
25-16
170.3Avg total
81.1Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.489.8169.2-10.423%
Season at home (7)81.488.7170.1-7.329%
Season away (6)77.091.0168.0-14.017%
Last 10 (10)81.189.2170.3-8.130%
Last 5 (5)74.687.4162.0-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)90.789.0179.7+1.767%
vs Similar (21)83.387.2170.5-3.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormObregon
Date
Competition
Astros
#1
L
84-92
84
92
-8
75avg 83
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
99-113
99
113
-14
94avg 83
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
98-115
98
115
-17
88avg 83
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
82avg 83
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
93-82
93
82
+11
90avg 83
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
74-83
74
83
-9
64avg 83
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
80-74
80
74
+6
74avg 83
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
87-71
87
71
+16
82avg 83
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
74-80
74
80
-6
70avg 83
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
60avg 83
A02/04
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-19
23-27
19-22
27-30
27-29
30-28
15-26
21-31
26-30
25-34
26-20
11-19
20-25
25-23
27-16
17-25
25-16
28-15
23-26
13-15
20-25
25-20
16-23
13-11
23-24
23-18
21-21
17-11
19-24
24-17
27-19
21-13
11-23
20-20
22-24
17-11
18-22
22-16
16-25
172.6Avg total
85.3Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.089.5174.5-4.531%
Season at home (6)86.084.0170.0+2.050%
Season away (7)84.194.1178.3-10.014%
Last 10 (10)85.387.3172.6-2.040%
Last 5 (5)77.676.4154.0+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.5101.8189.2-14.20%
vs Similar (13)91.893.8185.6-2.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.283.8170.0+2.346%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
Rayos de HermosilloHalcones de Obregon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H26/03
CIBACOPA
Astros
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H27/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A30/03
CIBACOPA
Halcones de Obregon
#3
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H02/04
CIBACOPA
82.3Avg total
39.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.485.0+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.139.682.6+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)42.145.787.8-3.629%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.682.3-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.677.6-5.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)44.843.087.8+1.856%-
vs Similar (21)41.742.283.9-0.543%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Halcones de Obregon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Halcones de ObregonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#1
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A19/03
CIBACOPA
Angeles CDMX
#2
L
47-61
47
61
-14
A20/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H22/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H23/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A26/03
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#4
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A27/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H30/03
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A02/04
CIBACOPA
81.5Avg total
38.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.245.086.3-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.244.585.8-3.338%-
Last 30 away (17)41.245.486.6-4.235%-
Last 10 (10)38.842.781.5-3.940%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.870.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)43.849.593.2-5.825%-
vs Similar (13)43.247.890.9-4.631%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.540.979.5-2.446%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.3
52.4%
53.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.09.0
36.0%
35.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.810.7
72.3%
73.3%10.7
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Halcones de Obregontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Halcones de Obregon: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.019.7
46.9%
53.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.8
34.0%
35.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.815.5
78.3%
73.3%15.5
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rayos de Hermosillo
WLLLLWLLWL
Halcones de Obregon
LLWWLWWLLL
#7
League position
#3
-8.3
Net rating
-2.8
100.2
Offensive rating
107.5
108.5
Defensive rating
110.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
20.4%
Turnover %
15.4%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.0%
3-point %
34.0%
55.5%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 107.5Defence108.5 · 110.3Shooting53.1% · 48.6%3-point %36.0% · 34.0%Ball care20.4% · 15.4%Off. rebounds23.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Rayos de Hermosillo   ■ Halcones de Obregon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25HHalcones de Obregon74-73
30/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan78-88
29/03/25AVenados de Mazatlan71-85
27/03/25HAstros76-86
26/03/25HAstros74-105
23/03/25HAngeles CDMX96-86
22/03/25HAngeles CDMX99-102
20/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana58-90
19/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana99-85
16/03/25HCaballeros de Culiacan86-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/25ARayos de Hermosillo73-74
30/03/25HFrayles de Guasave74-80
29/03/25HFrayles de Guasave87-71
27/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana80-74
26/03/25AZonkeys de Tijuana74-83
23/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan93-82
22/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan91-89 OT
20/03/25AAngeles CDMX98-115
19/03/25AAngeles CDMX99-113
16/03/25AAstros84-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLWLLW29%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %23%29%17%
Points / game79.481.477.0
Allowed / game89.888.791.0
Point differential-10.4-7.3-14.0
Avg total169.2170.1168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Halcones de Obregon
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL31%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%50%14%
Points / game85.086.084.1
Allowed / game89.584.094.1
Point differential-4.5+2.0-10.0
Avg total174.5170.0178.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros1614288%98.485.2+13.2
2 Angeles CDMX149564%104.896.3+8.5
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis138562%90.490.4+0.0
4 Caballeros de Culiacan137654%89.488.8+0.5
5 Ostioneros de Guaymas147750%92.791.4+1.3
6 Zonkeys de Tijuana168850%87.987.9+0.0
7 Frayles de Guasave135838%84.294.2-10.0
8 Venados de Mazatlan134931%84.887.3-2.5
9 Halcones de Obregon134931%85.089.5-4.5
10 Rayos de Hermosillo1331023%79.489.8-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rayos de Hermosillo1424231475
Halcones de Obregon3017182994
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.