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Zonkeys de Tijuana vs Rayos de Hermosillo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 03:15
Final 85-99
19-23 25-19 25-25 16-32
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Position#7
Record0-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game91.8
MexicoCIBACOPA· Auditorio Zonkeys
Other2025
Meetings · Zonkeys de Tijuana v Rayos de Hermosillo
19 Mar 2025
ZONK90
RAYO58
18 Mar 2025
ZONK85
RAYO99
17 Jun 2024
ZONK70
RAYO79
09 Jun 2024
ZONK98
RAYO77
08 Jun 2024
ZONK102
RAYO105
13 Apr 2024
ZONK102
RAYO90
12 Apr 2024
ZONK95
RAYO90
09 Jun 2023
ZONK90
RAYO78
07 Jun 2023
ZONK72
RAYO96
06 Jun 2023
ZONK86
RAYO82
03 May 2023
ZONK76
RAYO103
02 May 2023
ZONK67
RAYO81
01 Jun 2022
ZONK87
RAYO67
31 May 2022
ZONK74
RAYO87
18 May 2022
ZONK87
RAYO97
17 May 2022
ZONK78
RAYO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zonkeys de Tijuana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rayos de Hermosillo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zonkeys de TijuanaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTijuana
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
79-99
79
99
-20
64avg 84
A13/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
69avg 84
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
79avg 84
A16/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 84
H18/06
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
95-92
95
92
+3
78avg 84
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
96-98
96
98
-2
89avg 84
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
118-94
118
94
+24
117avg 84
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
65-72
65
72
-7
54avg 84
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
70avg 84
H15/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
90-76
90
76
+14
81avg 84
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
24-31
18-20
26-23
27-23
18-15
21-13
11-20
23-26
15-24
18-30
32-18
21-16
24-22
15-17
10-24
22-26
22-22
19-20
32-24
22-16
32-34
22-27
20-21
35-20
20-22
36-27
27-25
10-19
24-20
16-17
15-16
10-25
21-27
16-24
35-17
16-15
28-23
23-16
23-22
173.2Avg total
86.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.087.5178.5+3.550%
Season at home (2)86.084.5170.5+1.550%
Season away (4)93.589.0182.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)86.087.2173.2-1.240%
Last 5 (5)90.286.6176.8+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)89.188.8177.9+0.242%
vs Weaker (18)94.185.3179.3+8.878%
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermosillo
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
98-88
98
88
+10
107avg 83
H16/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
79-70
79
70
+9
80avg 83
A18/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
96-75
96
75
+21
88avg 83
A23/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
98-91
98
91
+7
94avg 83
A23/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
91avg 83
H27/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
107-89
107
89
+18
113avg 83
H28/06
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
74-102
74
102
-28
53avg 83
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 83
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
65-77
65
77
-12
49avg 83
H15/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
86-92
86
92
-6
81avg 83
H16/03
CIBACOPA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
24-15
30-18
18-32
16-21
22-24
17-15
24-10
23-25
29-20
21-19
23-11
28-19
24-20
20-30
26-22
28-17
12-21
24-21
16-21
33-25
24-15
26-26
24-23
20-32
8-28
23-14
23-28
25-27
20-24
20-20
17-25
19-14
8-24
21-17
17-22
21-18
29-19
21-26
15-29
175.5Avg total
88.1Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.891.8168.5-15.00%
Season at home (2)75.584.5160.0-9.00%
Season away (2)78.099.0177.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)88.187.4175.5+0.760%
Last 5 (5)82.891.2174.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)99.287.2186.5+12.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.286.6171.8-1.350%
vs Weaker (8)90.681.8172.4+8.975%
This opponent (Zonkeys de Tijuana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.0-2.0
Zonkeys de TijuanaRayos de Hermosillo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zonkeys de TijuanaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A13/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A16/06
CIBACOPA
Rayos de Hermosillo
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H18/06
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A08/03
CIBACOPA
Pioneros de Los Mochis
#8
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A09/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
W
55-42
55
42
+13
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Frayles de Guasave
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
L
31-52
31
52
-21
H15/03
CIBACOPA
Venados de Mazatlan
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H16/03
CIBACOPA
87.6Avg total
42.5Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.942.387.2+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.438.982.4+4.571%-
Last 30 away (16)46.245.291.4+0.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.545.187.6-2.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.944.689.5+0.350%-
vs Weaker (18)44.940.885.7+4.156%-
This opponent (Rayos de Hermosillo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rayos de HermosilloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H16/06
CIBACOPA
Zonkeys de Tijuana
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A18/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A23/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A23/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H27/06
CIBACOPA
Astros
#2
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H28/06
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
28-60
28
60
-32
A12/03
CIBACOPA
Ostioneros de Guaymas
#5
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A13/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
L
27-38
27
38
-11
H15/03
CIBACOPA
Caballeros de Culiacan
#6
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/03
CIBACOPA
87.0Avg total
43.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.484.8+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.936.681.6+8.381%-
Last 30 away (14)43.744.888.5-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)43.943.187.0+0.860%-
Last 5 (5)41.445.286.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)50.240.590.8+9.8100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)43.042.185.1+0.956%-
vs Weaker (8)44.536.881.2+7.875%-
This opponent (Zonkeys de Tijuana) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zonkeys de Tijuanatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zonkeys de Tijuana: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.9
53.3%
53.3%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.19.8
32.6%
35.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.511.4
73.5%
73.3%11.4
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rayos de Hermosillotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rayos de Hermosillo: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 90.2 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.2
56.0%
53.3%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.211.2
34.8%
35.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws18.412.7
69.0%
73.3%12.7
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zonkeys de Tijuana
WLLWLWLLWL
Rayos de Hermosillo
LLLLWWWWWW
#4
League position
#7
-0.5
Net rating
+2.2
107.7
Offensive rating
105.6
108.2
Defensive rating
103.5
51.4%
Effective FG%
54.1%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
14.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.6%
3-point %
34.8%
55.4%
Assist %
68.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 105.6Defence108.2 · 103.5Shooting51.4% · 54.1%3-point %32.6% · 34.8%Ball care14.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.9% · 20.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Zonkeys de Tijuana   ■ Rayos de Hermosillo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan90-76
15/03/25HVenados de Mazatlan82-93
13/03/25AFrayles de Guasave65-72
12/03/25AFrayles de Guasave118-94
09/03/25APioneros de Los Mochis96-98
08/03/25APioneros de Los Mochis95-92
18/06/24HRayos de Hermosillo70-79
16/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo88-98
14/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo77-71
13/06/24ARayos de Hermosillo79-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/25HCaballeros de Culiacan86-92
15/03/25HCaballeros de Culiacan65-77
13/03/25AOstioneros de Guaymas82-96
12/03/25AOstioneros de Guaymas74-102
28/06/24HAstros107-89
27/06/24HAstros96-94 OT
23/06/24AAstros98-91
23/06/24AAstros96-75
18/06/24AZonkeys de Tijuana79-70
16/06/24HZonkeys de Tijuana98-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zonkeys de Tijuana
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game91.086.093.5
Allowed / game87.584.589.0
Point differential+3.5+1.5+4.5
Avg total178.5170.5182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rayos de Hermosillo
CIBACOPA 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.875.578.0
Allowed / game91.884.599.0
Point differential-15.0-9.0-21.0
Avg total168.5160.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Astros770100%94.181.7+12.4
2 Angeles CDMX76186%107.994.9+13.0
3 Pioneros de Los Mochis65183%91.787.0+4.7
4 Zonkeys de Tijuana63350%91.087.5+3.5
5 Caballeros de Culiacan63350%89.589.5+0.0
6 Frayles de Guasave73443%87.999.4-11.6
7 Ostioneros de Guaymas62433%88.386.3+2.0
8 Venados de Mazatlan61517%84.791.0-6.3
9 Halcones de Obregon5050%87.099.0-12.0
10 Rayos de Hermosillo4040%76.891.8-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zonkeys de Tijuana1925251685
Rayos de Hermosillo2319253299
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