Real Betis vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Feb 2024

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 98-77

17-11 23-25 26-14 32-27

Position#8

Record6-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game79.5

Real Betis 🏆

Castello

Position#15

Record5-13

FormLLLLW

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game84.7

Primera FEBRound 19· Palacio Municipal De Deportes San Pablo

Other2023-24

Meetings · Real Betis v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Betis winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Betis Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBetis

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

75-88

-13

65avg 70

A24/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

88-57

+31

89avg 70

H29/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

85-94 OT

-9

no box

H03/12

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

100-88

100

+12

93avg 70

A08/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

80-70

+10

74avg 70

H15/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

61-64

-3

48avg 70

A21/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

71-81

-10

62avg 70

A30/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

97-78

+19

90avg 70

H07/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

94-82

+12

91avg 70

A12/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

87-93

-6

75avg 70

A21/01

Primera FEB

18-16

18-22

21-26

18-24

25-15

27-12

20-16

16-14

18-21

15-22

26-22

16-10

30-20

23-26

26-25

21-17

19-17

16-17

15-11

30-25

15-14

17-13

16-24

13-13

16-19

16-25

22-15

17-22

27-24

21-17

17-26

32-11

18-18

26-23

24-14

26-27

18-21

24-29

21-20

24-23

163.3Avg total

83.8Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.5	79.5	160.0	+1.0	33%
Season at home (8)	83.6	79.2	162.9	+4.4	38%
Season away (10)	78.0	79.7	157.7	-1.7	30%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	79.5	163.3	+4.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	79.6	161.6	+2.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	78.8	84.0	162.8	-5.2	17%
vs Similar (9)	84.6	82.4	167.0	+2.1	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	78.7	73.0	151.7	+5.7	56%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Estela

#14

80-91

-11

72avg 70

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

68-84

-16

67avg 70

H29/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

71-89

-18

59avg 70

A02/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

88-100

100

-12

85avg 70

H08/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

80-90

-10

72avg 70

H16/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

66-80

-14

59avg 70

A21/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

65-76

-11

60avg 70

A29/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

74-83

-9

65avg 70

H05/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

64-86

-22

55avg 70

A13/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

77-73

72avg 70

H19/01

Primera FEB

20-30

16-25

27-20

17-16

21-20

19-23

19-22

9-19

19-25

17-23

20-20

15-21

20-30

26-23

25-26

17-21

13-31

19-16

21-25

27-18

19-22

21-13

13-20

13-25

8-22

20-20

19-15

18-19

10-18

22-17

21-24

20-22

11-25

13-22

20-17

22-9

14-27

23-21

18-16

158.5Avg total

73.3Scored

85.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	77.3	84.7	162.0	-7.4	28%
Season at home (9)	80.0	82.6	162.6	-2.6	44%
Season away (9)	74.6	86.9	161.4	-12.3	11%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	85.2	158.5	-11.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	69.2	79.6	148.8	-10.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	77.2	86.2	163.4	-8.9	35%
vs Similar (10)	77.2	79.8	157.0	-2.6	50%
vs Weaker (3)	83.7	77.0	160.7	+6.7	67%

This opponent (Real Betis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real BetisCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.5	38.5	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	19.7	39.3	-0.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	19.4	37.9	-0.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	20.7	39.2	-2.1	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.0	17.9	37.9	+2.1	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	21.7	40.9	-2.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	21.2	40.9	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	22.3	40.9	-3.6	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	22.9	40.1	-5.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	18.6	34.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.2	22.7	41.9	-3.5	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.1	21.3	40.4	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.7	39.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	18.1	37.8	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	21.1	41.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.4	42.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-1.9	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	20.3	40.8	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.7	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	20.6	38.6	-2.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.3	22.0	38.3	-5.7	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.2	39.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	20.4	38.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	16.3	19.2	35.5	-2.9	10%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	33%	-

Real BetisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Forca Lleida

36-38

-2

A24/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

52-27

+25

H29/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

33-43

-10

H03/12

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

53-46

A08/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

35-34

H15/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

32-27

A21/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

32-44

-12

A30/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

48-41

H07/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

44-41

A12/01

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

42-50

-8

A21/01

Primera FEB

79.8Avg total

40.7Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	39.3	78.1	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	37.9	77.1	+1.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	40.5	78.9	-2.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	39.1	79.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	40.6	80.2	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	37.4	40.7	78.1	-3.2	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	39.0	41.0	80.0	-2.0	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	40.4	35.7	76.1	+4.8	67%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estela

#14

36-55

-19

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

40-43

-3

H29/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

36-48

-12

A02/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

46-53

-7

H08/12

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-47

-15

H16/12

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

40-35

A21/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

28-42

-14

A29/12

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

32-35

-3

H05/01

Primera FEB

Alicante

31-47

-16

A13/01

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

36-36

H19/01

Primera FEB

79.8Avg total

35.7Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	42.3	79.5	-5.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.5	40.3	79.8	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.0	44.3	79.3	-9.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.7	44.1	79.8	-8.4	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	39.0	72.4	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	37.6	44.1	81.8	-6.5	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	35.4	40.5	75.9	-5.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	38.0	79.0	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Real Betis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.3	41.1	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.4	40.6	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.9	40.7	+0.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.8	39.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	58%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.4	18.0	37.4	+1.4	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.5	41.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	20.4	43.5	+2.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.4	38.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.8	21.9	41.8	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.6	19.2	42.8	+4.4	70%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.0	16.7	39.7	+6.3	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.2	21.8	41.0	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.7	17.3	40.0	+5.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.6	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	21.1	38.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.6	37.1	-2.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.8	20.1	39.9	-0.4	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.2	19.8	37.0	-2.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	40.0	80.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.2	40.1	81.3	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.6	39.9	80.6	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	38.5	80.6	+3.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.0	81.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.2	42.5	82.8	-2.2	42%	-
vs Similar (9)	44.4	39.3	83.8	+5.1	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	38.2	37.3	75.6	+0.9	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.3	40.7	81.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	39.8	83.5	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	41.7	78.5	-4.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	41.1	78.7	-3.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.6	76.4	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	39.6	42.1	81.6	-2.5	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	40.8	39.0	79.8	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	42.7	39.0	81.7	+3.7	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Betistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Betis: 79.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.8	19.4	47.5%	51.8%	38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.1	31.5%	33.7%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	21.6	16.1	74.5%	73.6%	16.1

They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	19.1	55.0%	51.8%	38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	9.7	32.4%	33.7%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	17.8	12.8	71.9%	73.6%	12.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	17.9	48.7%	51.8%	35.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.8	8.8	31.8%	33.7%	26.5
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.4	72.4%	73.6%	13.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.2	54.1%	51.8%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	10.1	36.1%	33.7%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	18.5	13.3	72.1%	73.6%	13.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Betis wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
08/12/23	Castello v Real Betis	88-100
26/04/19	Real Betis v Castello	78-63
04/01/19	Castello v Real Betis	69-74

Real Betislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/01/24	A	Estudiantes	87-93
12/01/24	A	San Pablo Burgos	94-82
07/01/24	H	Alicante	97-78
30/12/23	A	Fuenlabrada	71-81
21/12/23	A	Caceres	61-64
15/12/23	H	Estela	80-70
08/12/23	A	Castello	100-88
03/12/23	H	Oviedo	85-94 OT
29/11/23	H	Hestia Menorca	88-57
24/11/23	A	Forca Lleida	75-88

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/01/24	H	Fuenlabrada	77-73
13/01/24	A	Alicante	64-86
05/01/24	H	Leyma Coruna	74-83
29/12/23	A	Melilla	65-76
21/12/23	A	Tizona Burgos	66-80
16/12/23	H	Gipuzkoa	80-90
08/12/23	H	Real Betis	88-100
02/12/23	A	Real Valladolid	71-89
29/11/23	H	Estudiantes	68-84
25/11/23	A	Estela	80-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Betis

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	33%
Home	LWLWW	38%
Away	WLLWL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	33%	38%	30%
Points / game	80.5	83.6	78.0
Allowed / game	79.5	79.2	79.7
Point differential	+1.0	+4.4	-1.7
Avg total	160.0	162.9	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	38%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	0% (3)	33% (3)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Castello

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	28%
Home	LLLLW	44%
Away	LLLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	28%	44%	11%
Points / game	77.3	80.0	74.6
Allowed / game	84.7	82.6	86.9
Point differential	-7.4	-2.6	-12.3
Avg total	162.0	162.6	161.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	11%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	6%	11%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Estudiantes	18	15	3	83%	86.3	74.0	+12.3
2	Leyma Coruna	18	14	4	78%	89.2	79.9	+9.3
3	San Pablo Burgos	18	13	5	72%	85.7	76.4	+9.2
4	Gipuzkoa	18	13	5	72%	81.7	74.3	+7.4
5	Tizona Burgos	18	12	6	67%	88.1	82.6	+5.5
6	Forca Lleida	18	12	6	67%	79.7	74.8	+4.9
7	Alicante	18	11	7	61%	79.6	76.6	+3.1
8	Real Valladolid	18	11	7	61%	78.7	79.3	-0.6
9	Ourense	18	9	9	50%	73.0	78.9	-5.9
10	Oviedo	18	8	10	44%	80.2	80.8	-0.6
11	Melilla	18	7	11	39%	74.4	78.9	-4.5
12	Real Betis	18	6	12	33%	80.5	79.5	+1.0
13	Estela	18	6	12	33%	79.0	82.5	-3.5
14	Fuenlabrada	18	6	12	33%	75.1	79.1	-4.1
15	Hestia Menorca	18	6	12	33%	70.6	75.9	-5.3
16	Castello	18	5	13	28%	77.3	84.7	-7.4
17	Caceres	18	5	13	28%	73.8	83.8	-9.9
18	Clavijo	18	3	15	17%	65.2	75.9	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Betis	17	23	26	32	98
Castello	11	25	14	27	77

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Real Betis vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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