Castello vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 68-84

21-20 19-23 19-22 9-19

Position#15

Record4-5

FormWWLWL

Points / game82.0

Allowed / game84.9

Castello

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#4

Record7-2

FormWWWWL

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game73.3

Primera FEBRound 10

Other2023-24

Meetings · Castello v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Alicante

#10

100-81

100

+19

no box

H19/05

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

80-93

-13

75avg 74

A07/10

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

90-86

83avg 74

H13/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

65-85

-20

52avg 74

A21/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

81-94

-13

70avg 74

H27/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

98-85

+13

92avg 74

A31/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

83-61

+22

80avg 74

H04/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

82-97

-15

69avg 74

A12/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

79-72 OT

no box

H17/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

80-91

-11

72avg 74

A25/11

Primera FEB

31-18

19-19

20-26

30-18

17-21

18-20

26-19

19-33

24-27

20-17

29-25

17-17

13-21

12-21

30-17

10-26

23-25

16-22

26-31

16-16

27-11

26-26

20-26

25-22

21-11

21-21

23-13

18-16

21-32

16-22

22-30

23-13

17-15

17-17

18-24

17-13

20-30

16-25

27-20

17-16

168.3Avg total

83.8Scored

84.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	82.0	84.9	166.9	-2.9	44%
Season at home (4)	83.2	78.2	161.5	+5.0	75%
Season away (5)	81.0	90.2	171.2	-9.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	84.5	168.3	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	81.2	165.6	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	80.3	86.2	166.5	-5.8	54%
vs Similar (11)	77.0	79.4	156.4	-2.4	45%
vs Weaker (6)	79.8	72.3	152.2	+7.5	83%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

85-87

-2

no box

A02/06

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

83-60

+23

72avg 80

A06/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

76-87

-11

64avg 80

H15/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

86-77

84avg 80

A20/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

93-75

+18

89avg 80

H29/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

103-85

103

+18

103avg 80

H01/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

77-73

70avg 80

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

80-55

+25

75avg 80

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

81-56

+25

85avg 80

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

91-92 OT

-1

no box

H26/11

Primera FEB

22-19

23-19

19-21

21-28

25-14

24-14

19-18

15-14

21-22

7-22

24-17

24-26

27-13

10-14

24-23

25-27

24-21

29-21

32-21

8-12

30-22

27-19

22-19

24-25

22-16

18-15

21-22

16-20

20-14

17-7

22-19

21-15

17-15

15-10

26-15

23-16

28-18

28-31

17-16

7-15

160.2Avg total

85.5Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	85.6	73.3	158.9	+12.2	78%
Season at home (5)	88.8	79.0	167.8	+9.8	60%
Season away (4)	81.5	66.2	147.8	+15.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	85.5	74.7	160.2	+10.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	86.4	72.2	158.6	+14.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	58.5	79.5	138.0	-21.0	0%
vs Similar (9)	86.9	83.1	170.0	+3.8	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	81.4	71.7	153.2	+9.7	68%

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CastelloEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.7	40.8	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.9	41.3	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.8	23.7	43.5	-3.9	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	18.2	39.8	+3.2	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.3	16.6	35.9	+2.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	17.4	41.0	+6.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.0	40.4	+6.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	9.0	17.0	26.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.9	20.3	42.2	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.0	16.2	37.2	+4.8	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.6	37.7	-1.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	18.3	37.6	+1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	20.9	37.8	-4.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	20.7	39.2	-2.2	23%	-
vs Similar (11)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.6	18%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	19.4	39.8	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	16.4	37.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	22.5	40.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.4	20.7	41.1	-0.2	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.0	17.4	36.4	+1.6	58%	-

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#10

50-37

+13

H19/05

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

35-41

-6

A07/10

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

44-44

H13/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

25-42

-17

A21/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

39-47

-8

H27/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

53-37

+16

A31/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

42-32

+10

H04/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

37-54

-17

A12/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

34-32

H17/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

36-55

-19

A25/11

Primera FEB

81.6Avg total

39.5Scored

42.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	41.3	78.5	-4.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	38.9	77.8	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	43.8	79.1	-8.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	42.1	81.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	42.0	82.4	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	38.3	44.4	82.7	-6.1	31%	-
vs Similar (11)	35.7	39.7	75.5	-4.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.2	37.7	74.8	-0.5	33%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Pablo Burgos

45-38

A02/06

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

49-28

+21

A06/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

28-44

-16

H15/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

37-27

+10

A20/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

53-42

+11

H29/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

57-41

+16

H01/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

40-31

A05/11

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

37-21

+16

A11/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

32-25

H19/11

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

56-49

H26/11

Primera FEB

78.0Avg total

43.4Scored

34.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	36.2	76.1	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	37.7	79.5	+4.1	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.6	34.6	72.1	+3.0	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	34.6	78.0	+8.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	33.4	77.8	+11.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.0	39.5	66.5	-12.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	42.3	41.0	83.3	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.0	33.6	73.6	+6.4	84%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	17.7	40.5	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	23.1	47.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.6	44.6	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.7	20.8	40.5	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (11)	22.3	19.5	41.8	+2.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	15.0	37.3	+7.3	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.9	39.9	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.7	39.8	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.3	40.1	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.2	39.8	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	22.5	37.5	-7.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.8	20.6	40.3	-0.8	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.1	40.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+0.9	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.0	38.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	17.2	37.1	+2.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	18.9	39.2	+1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.2	36.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	17.5	34.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	53%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	39.3	80.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.7	36.9	81.6	+7.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	41.7	79.3	-4.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	42.1	85.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	38.6	80.6	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	41.2	41.4	82.5	-0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	40.4	39.4	79.7	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.7	34.7	77.3	+8.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	37.9	78.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	35.9	76.8	+4.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	40.1	79.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	38.9	79.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	36.4	76.2	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.5	40.0	71.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	39.9	81.3	+1.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.4	36.7	77.1	+3.6	68%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Castello wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
09/04/23	Castello v Estudiantes	87-86
11/12/22	Estudiantes v Castello	77-52
15/03/22	Estudiantes v Castello	100-69
10/11/21	Castello v Estudiantes	66-78

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/11/23	A	Estela	80-91
17/11/23	H	Clavijo	79-72 OT
12/11/23	A	Forca Lleida	82-97
04/11/23	H	Oviedo	83-61
31/10/23	A	Fuenlabrada	98-85
27/10/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	81-94
21/10/23	A	Hestia Menorca	65-85
13/10/23	H	Caceres	90-86
07/10/23	A	Ourense	80-93
19/05/23	H	Alicante	100-81

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/11/23	H	Real Valladolid	91-92 OT
19/11/23	H	Hestia Menorca	81-56
11/11/23	A	Fuenlabrada	80-55
05/11/23	A	Clavijo	77-73
01/11/23	H	Tizona Burgos	103-85
29/10/23	H	Alicante	93-75
20/10/23	A	Real Betis	86-77
15/10/23	H	Oviedo	76-87
06/10/23	A	Caceres	83-60
02/06/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	85-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWL	44%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	75%	20%
Points / game	82.0	83.2	81.0
Allowed / game	84.9	78.2	90.2
Point differential	-2.9	+5.0	-9.2
Avg total	166.9	161.5	171.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	25%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	11%	25%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	78%
Home	LWWWL	60%
Away	WWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	78%	60%	100%
Points / game	85.6	88.8	81.5
Allowed / game	73.3	79.0	66.2
Point differential	+12.2	+9.8	+15.2
Avg total	158.9	167.8	147.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	60%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	11%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	9	8	1	89%	84.3	72.7	+11.7
2	Estudiantes	9	7	2	78%	85.6	73.3	+12.2
3	Leyma Coruna	9	7	2	78%	90.0	80.6	+9.4
4	Gipuzkoa	9	7	2	78%	82.0	73.3	+8.7
5	Tizona Burgos	10	7	3	70%	88.7	85.4	+3.3
6	Alicante	9	6	3	67%	77.2	75.0	+2.2
7	Real Valladolid	9	6	3	67%	80.0	81.0	-1.0
8	Ourense	10	6	4	60%	75.5	74.6	+0.9
9	Oviedo	10	5	5	50%	79.3	78.9	+0.4
10	Forca Lleida	9	4	5	44%	78.4	78.2	+0.2
11	Castello	9	4	5	44%	82.0	84.9	-2.9
12	Estela	9	3	6	33%	80.7	84.8	-4.1
13	Caceres	9	3	6	33%	76.9	82.8	-5.9
14	Melilla	9	3	6	33%	73.3	80.4	-7.1
15	Fuenlabrada	9	2	7	22%	72.6	78.4	-5.9
16	Real Betis	10	2	8	20%	77.4	78.1	-0.7
17	Clavijo	10	2	8	20%	64.3	73.9	-9.6
18	Hestia Menorca	10	2	8	20%	65.2	75.3	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Castello	21	19	19	9	68
Estudiantes	20	23	22	19	84

← all games of the day

Castello vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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