Real Valladolid vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Dec 2023

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 89-71

25-19 23-17 20-20 21-15

Position#9

Record7-3

FormWWWWW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game79.4

Real Valladolid 🏆

Castello

Position#15

Record4-6

FormWLWLL

Points / game80.6

Allowed / game84.8

Primera FEBRound 11

Other2023-24

Meetings · Real Valladolid v Castello

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Castello winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValladolid

Date

Competition

Tizona Burgos

86-92

-6

82avg 69

A06/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

70-66

60avg 69

H14/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

75-54

+21

70avg 69

A20/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

94-111

111

-17

85avg 69

H28/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

69-94

-25

59avg 69

A31/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

72-66

70avg 69

H04/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

82-81

74avg 69

A12/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

80-74

69avg 69

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

92-91 OT

no box

A26/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

71-65

55avg 69

H29/11

Primera FEB

33-20

16-20

21-26

16-26

22-14

12-21

25-15

11-16

21-13

9-6

18-20

27-15

30-32

23-26

19-20

22-33

25-29

7-18

18-23

19-24

23-14

16-19

12-17

21-16

15-20

25-27

24-18

18-16

19-24

27-13

15-18

19-19

18-28

31-28

16-17

15-7

22-17

22-16

12-18

15-14

158.5Avg total

79.1Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	79.1	79.4	158.5	-0.3	70%
Season at home (5)	77.4	76.4	153.8	+1.0	80%
Season away (5)	80.8	82.4	163.2	-1.6	60%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	79.4	158.5	-0.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	75.4	154.8	+4.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	77.3	81.8	159.1	-4.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	78.7	79.1	157.8	-0.4	73%
vs Weaker (9)	79.9	73.6	153.4	+6.3	67%

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Castello

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCastello

Date

Competition

Ourense

#12

80-93

-13

75avg 73

A07/10

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

90-86

83avg 73

H13/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

65-85

-20

52avg 73

A21/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

81-94

-13

70avg 73

H27/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

98-85

+13

92avg 73

A31/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

83-61

+22

80avg 73

H04/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

82-97

-15

69avg 73

A12/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

79-72 OT

no box

H17/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

80-91

-11

72avg 73

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

68-84

-16

67avg 73

H29/11

Primera FEB

17-21

18-20

26-19

19-33

24-27

20-17

29-25

17-17

13-21

12-21

30-17

10-26

23-25

16-22

26-31

16-16

27-11

26-26

20-26

25-22

21-11

21-21

23-13

18-16

21-32

16-22

22-30

23-13

17-15

17-17

18-24

17-13

20-30

16-25

27-20

17-16

21-20

19-23

19-22

9-19

165.4Avg total

80.6Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.6	84.8	165.4	-4.2	40%
Season at home (5)	80.2	79.4	159.6	+0.8	60%
Season away (5)	81.0	90.2	171.2	-9.2	20%
Last 10 (10)	80.6	84.8	165.4	-4.2	40%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	81.0	159.4	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	79.4	86.7	166.1	-7.3	46%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	77.0	79.4	156.4	-2.4	45%
vs Weaker (6)	79.8	72.3	152.2	+7.5	83%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real ValladolidCastello

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.5	40.3	-0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	19.9	41.6	+1.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	21.1	43.9	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.4	19.3	36.6	-1.9	55%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.3	20.2	40.6	+0.1	56%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.8	40.8	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	20.7	40.3	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.9	41.3	-4.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.3	41.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.8	23.8	43.6	-4.1	31%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.5	18.2	35.7	-0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.6	37.9	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	19.4	37.9	-0.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.6	44.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (9)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	20.9	37.8	-4.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.6	39.4	-3.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.0	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.6	18%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	33%	-

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tizona Burgos

49-40

A06/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

34-35

-1

H14/10

Primera FEB

Alicante

30-19

+11

A20/10

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

53-58

-5

H28/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

32-47

-15

A31/10

Primera FEB

Real Betis

39-33

H04/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

40-47

-7

A12/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

46-37

H18/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

49-56

-7

A26/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

44-33

+11

H29/11

Primera FEB

82.1Avg total

41.6Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.1	78.3	+0.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.9	37.6	79.5	+4.2	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	40.3	77.2	-3.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	40.5	82.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	41.2	84.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.2	40.3	81.5	+0.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	37.1	40.3	77.4	-3.2	45%	-
vs Weaker (9)	39.6	36.2	75.8	+3.3	78%	-

This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#12

35-41

-6

A07/10

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

44-44

H13/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

25-42

-17

A21/10

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

39-47

-8

H27/10

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

53-37

+16

A31/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#13

42-32

+10

H04/11

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

37-54

-17

A12/11

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

34-32

H17/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

36-55

-19

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

40-43

-3

H29/11

Primera FEB

81.2Avg total

38.5Scored

42.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	41.6	78.5	-4.6	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	39.3	77.9	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	43.8	79.1	-8.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	42.7	81.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.2	81.0	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.8	44.9	82.8	-7.1	23%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.7	39.7	75.5	-4.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.2	37.7	74.8	-0.5	33%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.8	38.0	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	21.4	39.2	-3.5	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.6	33.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.8	21.0	37.8	-4.2	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.2	20.3	39.5	-1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.3	40.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	17.9	40.8	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	20.7	40.2	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	22.7	46.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.8	43.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.3	19.5	41.8	+2.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.3	15.0	37.3	+7.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	19.0	39.6	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.0	18.2	38.2	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.2	19.6	40.9	+1.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.6	36.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	14.4	32.0	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.1	19.4	37.5	-1.3	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.9	18.3	40.2	+3.6	73%	-
vs Weaker (9)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	20.0	39.8	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	19.1	36.2	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	15.4	32.2	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.5	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	38.8	77.6	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	36.3	74.7	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.1	41.0	80.1	-1.9	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.3	37.8	74.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	32.0	65.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.9	40.4	75.3	-5.5	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.1	38.5	79.6	+2.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.3	37.3	77.7	+3.0	78%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	39.3	80.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	36.9	81.2	+7.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.7	41.7	79.3	-4.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.1	41.8	82.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.2	75.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	40.7	41.4	82.1	-0.7	46%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	40.4	39.4	79.7	+1.0	64%	-
vs Weaker (6)	42.7	34.7	77.3	+8.0	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Valladolid wins

Castello wins

Date	Game	Score
29/04/23	Real Valladolid v Castello	92-82
27/12/22	Castello v Real Valladolid	80-77
30/04/22	Real Valladolid v Castello	82-77
13/02/22	Castello v Real Valladolid	83-77
02/05/21	Real Valladolid v Castello	83-88
26/03/21	Castello v Real Valladolid	87-79

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/23	H	Gipuzkoa	71-65
26/11/23	A	Estudiantes	92-91 OT
18/11/23	H	Forca Lleida	80-74
12/11/23	A	Estela	82-81
04/11/23	H	Real Betis	72-66
31/10/23	A	San Pablo Burgos	69-94
28/10/23	H	Leyma Coruna	94-111
20/10/23	A	Alicante	75-54
14/10/23	H	Hestia Menorca	70-66
06/10/23	A	Tizona Burgos	86-92

Castellolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/11/23	H	Estudiantes	68-84
25/11/23	A	Estela	80-91
17/11/23	H	Clavijo	79-72 OT
12/11/23	A	Forca Lleida	82-97
04/11/23	H	Oviedo	83-61
31/10/23	A	Fuenlabrada	98-85
27/10/23	H	San Pablo Burgos	81-94
21/10/23	A	Hestia Menorca	65-85
13/10/23	H	Caceres	90-86
07/10/23	A	Ourense	80-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	70%
Home	WLWWW	80%
Away	LWLWW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Points / game	79.1	77.4	80.8
Allowed / game	79.4	76.4	82.4
Point differential	-0.3	+1.0	-1.6
Avg total	158.5	153.8	163.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	10%	0%	20%

Castello

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	40%
Home	WLWWL	60%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	40%	60%	20%
Points / game	80.6	80.2	81.0
Allowed / game	84.8	79.4	90.2
Point differential	-4.2	+0.8	-9.2
Avg total	165.4	159.6	171.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	20%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	10	9	1	90%	83.6	72.9	+10.7
2	Estudiantes	10	8	2	80%	85.4	72.8	+12.6
3	Leyma Coruna	10	7	3	70%	88.5	80.2	+8.3
4	Gipuzkoa	10	7	3	70%	80.3	73.1	+7.2
5	Tizona Burgos	10	7	3	70%	88.7	85.4	+3.3
6	Real Valladolid	10	7	3	70%	79.1	79.4	-0.3
7	Alicante	10	6	4	60%	76.9	75.4	+1.5
8	Ourense	10	6	4	60%	75.5	74.6	+0.9
9	Forca Lleida	10	5	5	50%	78.5	77.8	+0.7
10	Oviedo	10	5	5	50%	79.3	78.9	+0.4
11	Estela	10	4	6	40%	80.1	83.2	-3.1
12	Castello	10	4	6	40%	80.6	84.8	-4.2
13	Fuenlabrada	10	3	7	30%	74.7	77.3	-2.6
14	Melilla	10	3	7	30%	72.9	79.9	-7.0
15	Caceres	10	3	7	30%	75.9	83.9	-8.0
16	Real Betis	10	2	8	20%	77.4	78.1	-0.7
17	Clavijo	10	2	8	20%	64.3	73.9	-9.6
18	Hestia Menorca	10	2	8	20%	65.2	75.3	-10.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Valladolid	25	23	20	21	89
Castello	19	17	20	15	71

← all games of the day

Real Valladolid vs Castello Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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