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Real Esteli vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 07 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:10
Final 68-98
20-20 19-22 20-34 9-22
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Quimsa 🏆
Position#3
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.0
EuropeChampions League AmericasChampions League Americas - Quarter-finals· Polideportivo Alexis Argüello
Other2023-24
Meetings · Real Esteli v Quimsa
07 Mar 2024
REAL68
QUIM98
07 Mar 2023
REAL86
QUIM94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Esteli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Quimsa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real EsteliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsteli
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
99-93
99
93
+6
no box
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Libertadores
#4
L
90-101
90
101
-11
no box
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
67-103
67
103
-36
no box
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
75avg 74
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
85avg 74
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
63-71
63
71
-8
50avg 74
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
79-104
79
104
-25
77avg 74
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
89-84
89
84
+5
84avg 74
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
75-100
75
100
-25
70avg 74
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-18
25-24
20-27
21-24
21-30
29-24
19-23
21-24
20-28
13-28
22-14
31-24
13-31
14-26
22-29
18-17
15-18
22-15
16-20
27-17
19-16
29-26
20-27
18-17
18-21
16-16
22-14
7-20
22-33
21-25
16-14
20-32
25-14
19-27
22-19
23-24
20-26
25-23
21-25
9-26
173.7Avg total
82.5Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.586.8167.3-6.350%
Season at home (3)85.388.7174.0-3.367%
Season away (3)75.785.0160.7-9.333%
Last 10 (10)82.591.2173.7-8.740%
Last 5 (5)80.690.2170.8-9.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)81.789.2170.9-7.531%
vs Similar (10)82.081.8163.8+0.270%
vs Weaker (7)92.183.7175.9+8.471%
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimsaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimsa
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 83
A27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
L
84-87
84
87
-3
77avg 83
H28/01
Champions League Americas
Regatas
#10
W
98-93
98
93
+5
97avg 83
H01/02
Liga A
Platense
#8
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 83
H04/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
W
85-73
85
73
+12
81avg 83
H08/02
Liga A
Nacional
#7
L
72-78
72
78
-6
70avg 83
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
L
82-94
82
94
-12
75avg 83
A13/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
73avg 83
H19/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
W
90-86
90
86
+4
85avg 83
A01/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
W
97-93
97
93
+4
96avg 83
A02/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
18-18
25-20
20-21
22-20
20-23
22-23
20-21
25-20
19-27
33-17
21-29
20-18
14-22
24-21
35-23
22-25
18-20
25-12
20-16
23-20
20-18
13-18
16-22
15-23
19-28
21-15
27-28
25-15
20-13
19-28
18-29
23-17
18-28
31-27
18-14
27-29
28-28
26-17
16-19
172.0Avg total
86.9Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.080.0167.0+7.050%
Season at home (3)94.076.7170.7+17.367%
Season away (3)80.083.3163.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)86.985.1172.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)84.687.2171.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)76.274.5150.8+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)88.280.2168.5+8.084%
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.9-2.9Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
Real EsteliQuimsa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real EsteliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brampton Honey Badgers
#12
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A08/02
Champions League Americas
Libertadores
#4
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H09/02
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H07/03
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
27-57
27
57
-30
A11/03
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H17/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H19/12
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A21/01
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
43-58
43
58
-15
H22/01
Champions League Americas
Gladiadores
#11
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/02
Champions League Americas
Halcones de Xalapa
#4
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A10/02
Champions League Americas
88.8Avg total
41.9Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.144.084.1-3.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.243.584.8-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)38.844.583.3-5.736%-
Last 10 (10)41.946.988.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.488.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.146.685.7-7.531%-
vs Similar (10)40.141.381.4-1.250%-
vs Weaker (7)42.042.984.9-0.943%-
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#7
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A27/01
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H28/01
Champions League Americas
Regatas
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H01/02
Liga A
Platense
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/02
Liga A
Riachuelo
#14
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H08/02
Liga A
Nacional
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A12/02
Champions League Americas
Sao Paulo
#6
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A13/02
Champions League Americas
San Lorenzo
#5
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H19/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#18
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#19
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A02/03
Liga A
85.0Avg total
41.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.339.080.3+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.836.978.7+4.953%-
Last 30 away (15)40.841.181.9-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.185.0-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.887.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)36.835.872.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.239.781.9+2.448%-
This opponent (Real Esteli) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Estelitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Esteli: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.7 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.021.8
53.3%
52.9%43.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.2
27.6%
33.2%18.5
🏀 Free throws26.017.3
66.7%
73.9%17.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.015.2
48.9%
52.9%30.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.7
40.0%
33.2%29.0
🏀 Free throws21.716.7
76.9%
73.9%16.7
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Esteli
LWLLWWLLLW
Quimsa
WWLLLWWWLW
#8
League position
#3
-7.9
Net rating
+10.4
99.6
Offensive rating
116.1
107.6
Defensive rating
105.6
49.1%
Effective FG%
53.8%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.6%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.39
27.6%
3-point %
40.0%
63.7%
Assist %
67.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 116.1Defence107.6 · 105.6Shooting49.1% · 53.8%3-point %27.6% · 40.0%Ball care18.3% · 14.6%Off. rebounds26.3% · 25.8%Free throws0.41 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Real Esteli   ■ Quimsa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Esteli wins
2
Quimsa wins
DateGameScore
11/03/23Quimsa v Real Esteli103-67
07/03/23Real Esteli v Quimsa86-94
Real Estelilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24AHalcones de Xalapa75-100
09/02/24AGladiadores89-84
22/01/24HHalcones de Xalapa79-104
21/01/24AGladiadores63-71
19/12/23HGladiadores97-92 OT
17/12/23HHalcones de Xalapa80-70
11/03/23AQuimsa67-103
07/03/23HQuimsa86-94
09/02/23HLibertadores90-101
08/02/23ABrampton Honey Badgers99-93
Quimsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AUnion De Santa Fe97-93
01/03/24AIndependiente de Oliva90-86
19/02/24HSan Lorenzo82-85
13/02/24ASao Paulo82-94
12/02/24ANacional72-78
08/02/24HRiachuelo85-73
04/02/24HPlatense93-84
01/02/24HRegatas98-93
28/01/24HSao Paulo84-87
27/01/24ANacional86-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Esteli
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game80.585.375.7
Allowed / game86.888.785.0
Point differential-6.3-3.3-9.3
Avg total167.3174.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Quimsa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game87.094.080.0
Allowed / game80.076.783.3
Point differential+7.0+17.3-3.3
Avg total167.0170.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca76186%97.080.4+16.6
2 Flamengo76186%86.975.6+11.3
3 Halcones de Xalapa74357%87.379.4+7.9
4 Obras Sanitarias74357%89.489.7-0.3
5 Nacional74357%80.683.0-2.4
6 Quimsa63350%87.080.0+7.0
7 Sao Paulo63350%84.288.2-4.0
8 Real Esteli63350%80.586.8-6.3
9 Boca Juniors62433%72.773.5-0.8
10 Gladiadores62433%81.784.7-3.0
11 Hebraica y Macabi72529%74.684.6-10.0
12 U. De Concepcion6060%70.890.5-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Esteli201920968
Quimsa2022342298
← all games of the day
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