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Nacional vs Quimsa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:10
Final 78-86
19-23 18-18 20-25 21-20
Position#7
Record1-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game85.0
Nacional
vs
Quimsa 🏆
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game99.0
Allowed / game71.5
EuropeChampions League Americas· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nacional v Quimsa
12 Feb 2024
NACI78
QUIM72
27 Jan 2024
NACI78
QUIM86
03 Feb 2022
NACI91
QUIM81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Quimsa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NacionalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNacional
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
W
99-91
99
91
+8
82avg 87
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 87
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
89avg 87
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
L
78-86
78
86
-8
72avg 87
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 87
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
94-82
94
82
+12
95avg 87
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
111-61
111
61
+50
111avg 87
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
99-79
99
79
+20
96avg 87
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
111-105 OT
111
105
+6
no box
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
86-61
86
61
+25
83avg 87
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
23-28
18-13
29-17
30-20
17-26
18-22
12-29
17-8
26-23
21-24
12-21
18-18
24-13
13-28
23-27
29-14
15-24
18-25
22-20
24-17
34-12
14-26
22-27
32-13
31-25
25-14
23-9
16-24
30-13
32-21
21-21
18-26
25-30
36-21
19-21
20-22
21-14
26-8
19-17
175.7Avg total
92.8Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.585.0168.5-1.550%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)83.585.0168.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)92.882.9175.7+9.980%
Last 5 (5)100.277.6177.8+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.881.3159.2-3.542%
vs Similar (7)88.786.7175.4+2.086%
vs Weaker (11)96.078.7174.7+17.391%
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimsaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQuimsa
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
W
98-75
98
75
+23
100avg 83
A06/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
W
75-67
75
67
+8
65avg 83
A07/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
W
72-67
72
67
+5
73avg 83
A09/12
Liga A
Sao Paulo
#6
W
112-65
112
65
+47
119avg 83
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 83
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Gimnasia
#2
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
H21/12
Super Cup
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
103avg 83
H11/01
Liga A
La Union
#16
W
86-85
86
85
+1
80avg 83
A16/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
96-89
96
89
+7
95avg 83
A18/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
65avg 83
A23/01
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
23-14
23-30
30-12
18-17
13-17
25-11
19-22
15-20
18-19
20-14
19-14
24-12
24-24
39-10
25-19
18-18
13-24
28-13
27-23
22-20
16-15
24-19
24-17
29-16
30-17
24-21
16-31
20-28
25-20
21-17
20-20
20-29
24-14
32-24
20-22
21-16
14-20
20-15
19-17
163.4Avg total
88.4Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)99.071.5170.5+27.5100%
Season at home (2)99.071.5170.5+27.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.475.0163.4+13.4100%
Last 5 (5)88.279.6167.8+8.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)76.274.5150.8+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)86.675.4161.9+11.296%
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +8.2+8.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +8.2+8.2Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
NacionalQuimsa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NacionalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Sao Paulo
#6
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A17/12
Champions League Americas
Quimsa
#3
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A18/12
Champions League Americas
Malvin
#5
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
58-29
58
29
+29
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
63-38
63
38
+25
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A19/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H23/01
Liga Uruguaya
88.2Avg total
47.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.641.586.0+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.741.787.4+4.062%-
Last 30 away (17)43.741.385.0+2.459%-
Last 10 (10)47.940.388.2+7.680%-
Last 5 (5)50.239.289.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.640.880.4-1.242%-
vs Similar (7)45.346.191.4-0.943%-
vs Weaker (11)49.539.288.7+10.491%-
This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penarol
#11
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A06/12
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#5
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A07/12
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A09/12
Liga A
Sao Paulo
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H16/12
Champions League Americas
Nacional
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H18/12
Champions League Americas
Gimnasia
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H21/12
Super Cup
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
59-33
59
33
+26
H11/01
Liga A
La Union
#16
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A16/01
Liga A
Comunicaciones Mercedes
#20
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A18/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A23/01
Liga A
78.8Avg total
40.9Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.835.976.6+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.434.475.8+6.975%-
Last 30 away (14)40.137.577.6+2.664%-
Last 10 (10)40.937.978.8+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.083.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)36.835.872.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.535.977.4+5.672%-
This opponent (Nacional) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nacionaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nacional: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.4
54.0%
52.9%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.9
39.6%
33.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
73.9%14.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 99.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.5
53.8%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.511.5
41.8%
33.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws28.021.5
76.8%
73.9%21.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nacional
WWWWWWLWLW
Quimsa
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#3
+10.1
Net rating
+38.4
115.0
Offensive rating
128.9
104.9
Defensive rating
90.5
56.3%
Effective FG%
57.4%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
41.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
11.6%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.41
39.6%
3-point %
41.8%
65.6%
Assist %
71.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 128.9Defence104.9 · 90.5Shooting56.3% · 57.4%3-point %39.6% · 41.8%Ball care17.7% · 11.6%Off. rebounds31.1% · 30.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Nacional   ■ Quimsa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nacional wins
3
Quimsa wins
DateGameScore
18/12/23Quimsa v Nacional86-78
12/03/22Quimsa v Nacional95-72
03/02/22Nacional v Quimsa91-81
11/12/21Quimsa v Nacional81-71
Nacionallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24HCordon86-61
19/01/24AAguada111-105 OT
16/01/24ATrouville99-79
13/01/24HGoes111-61
10/01/24ALarre Borges94-82
05/01/24AMalvin84-83
18/12/23AQuimsa78-86
17/12/23ASao Paulo89-84 OT
13/12/23HPenarol77-97
09/12/23ADefensor99-91
Quimsalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/24AOlimpico74-68
18/01/24AComunicaciones Mercedes96-89
16/01/24ALa Union86-85
11/01/24HObras Sanitarias99-85
21/12/23HGimnasia86-71
18/12/23HNacional86-78
16/12/23HSao Paulo112-65
09/12/23ABoca Juniors72-67
07/12/23ASan Lorenzo75-67
06/12/23APenarol98-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
Home--
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game83.5-83.5
Allowed / game85.0-85.0
Point differential-1.5--1.5
Avg total168.5-168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %50%-50%
Quimsa
Champions League Americas 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game99.099.0-
Allowed / game71.571.5-
Point differential+27.5+27.5-
Avg total170.5170.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa220100%99.071.5+27.5
2 Franca440100%99.881.8+18.0
3 Flamengo43175%74.273.5+0.8
4 Halcones de Xalapa42250%85.578.8+6.8
5 Obras Sanitarias42250%92.588.5+4.0
6 Hebraica y Macabi42250%75.874.0+1.8
7 Nacional21150%83.585.0-1.5
8 Gladiadores42250%79.882.0-2.2
9 Real Esteli42250%79.884.2-4.5
10 Boca Juniors41325%67.069.5-2.5
11 U. De Concepcion4040%72.094.0-22.0
12 Sao Paulo2020%74.5100.5-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nacional1918202178
Quimsa2318252086
← all games of the day
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