Real Madrid vs Baloncesto Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Mar 2012

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 76-55

21-10 13-12 27-15 15-18

Position#2

Record18-5

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.4

Allowed / game72.3

Real Madrid 🏆

Baloncesto Valladolid

Position#18

Record6-17

FormLLLWW

Points / game69.3

Allowed / game75.2

ACBRound 23

Domestic2011-12

Meetings · Real Madrid v Baloncesto Valladolid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Baloncesto Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#14

69-93

-24

A08/02

Euroleague

Real Betis

98-63

+35

A12/02

ACB

Fuenlabrada

75-66

H17/02

Spanish Cup

Real Betis

92-84

H18/02

Spanish Cup

Barcelona

91-74

+17

A19/02

Spanish Cup

Unicaja

#27

86-65

+21

H23/02

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

#15

90-72

+18

H26/02

ACB

Siena

102-90

102

+12

A01/03

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#14

83-69

+14

A04/03

ACB

Valencia

66-83

-17

A11/03

ACB

14-34

12-18

25-20

18-21

15-11

24-15

32-12

27-25

15-16

20-15

20-22

20-13

27-14

19-30

30-16

16-24

22-17

20-16

23-23

26-18

14-22

27-19

18-12

27-12

18-9

30-25

20-21

22-17

26-28

26-25

24-22

26-15

24-13

16-19

20-12

23-25

22-26

14-23

18-15

12-19

161.1Avg total

85.2Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	83.4	72.3	155.7	+11.0	78%
Season at home (10)	83.5	71.3	154.8	+12.2	90%
Season away (13)	83.3	73.2	156.5	+10.2	69%
Last 10 (10)	85.2	75.9	161.1	+9.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	75.8	161.2	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	83.0	84.0	167.0	-1.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	84.6	74.1	158.7	+10.5	81%

This opponent (Baloncesto Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Baloncesto Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#17

62-69

-7

A03/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

72-63

A08/01

ACB

Bilbao

73-81

-8

H14/01

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

54-65

-11

A22/01

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

58-73

-15

H29/01

ACB

Gipuzkoa

62-71

-9

A05/02

ACB

Unicaja

76-83

-7

H11/02

ACB

Baskonia

65-67

-2

A26/02

ACB

Alicante

69-57

+12

H03/03

ACB

Manresa

#12

79-70

H10/03

ACB

18-14

13-18

11-20

20-17

14-22

21-11

24-22

13-8

26-19

23-18

11-22

13-22

10-18

13-16

12-12

19-19

12-21

17-22

16-17

13-13

18-19

14-12

7-18

23-22

19-14

17-26

21-25

19-18

11-16

21-15

18-24

15-12

13-12

13-18

16-16

27-11

25-19

15-17

16-19

23-15

136.9Avg total

67.0Scored

69.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	69.3	75.2	144.5	-5.9	26%
Season at home (12)	72.9	75.6	148.5	-2.7	42%
Season away (11)	65.4	74.8	140.2	-9.5	9%
Last 10 (10)	67.0	69.9	136.9	-2.9	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	69.6	139.8	+0.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	70.0	75.7	145.7	-5.6	25%
vs Similar (9)	69.0	76.9	145.9	-7.9	33%
vs Weaker (1)	62.0	67.0	129.0	-5.0	0%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridBaloncesto Valladolid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.2	37.5	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	19.5	41.1	+2.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.0	38.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.7	25.0	44.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	69%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.4	20.9	36.3	-5.5	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	17.4	34.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.0	33.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	35%	-
vs Similar (9)	14.3	19.8	34.1	-5.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	20.5	44.3	+3.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.5	41.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	22.2	44.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	25.0	20.3	45.3	+4.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.7	19.7	40.4	+1.0	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.1	19.6	36.6	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	18.8	36.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.4	20.3	36.7	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.7	17.3	34.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	17.6	33.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.2	22.0	38.2	-5.8	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	0.0	13.0	13.0	-13.0	0%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bilbao

#14

26-52

-26

A08/02

Euroleague

Real Betis

39-26

+13

A12/02

ACB

Fuenlabrada

35-31

H17/02

Spanish Cup

Real Betis

46-44

H18/02

Spanish Cup

Barcelona

42-33

A19/02

Spanish Cup

Unicaja

#27

41-41

H23/02

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

#15

48-34

+14

H26/02

ACB

Siena

52-53

-1

A01/03

Euroleague

Obradoiro CAB

#14

40-32

A04/03

ACB

Valencia

36-49

-13

A11/03

ACB

80.0Avg total

40.5Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	37.7	81.8	+6.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	38.3	78.2	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	39.5	80.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	41.8	85.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	44.7	45.3	90.0	-0.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.0	37.4	79.4	+4.5	73%	-

This opponent (Baloncesto Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Baloncesto ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#17

31-32

-1

A03/01

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

#14

35-33

A08/01

ACB

Bilbao

49-37

+12

H14/01

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#16

23-34

-11

A22/01

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

#10

29-43

-14

H29/01

ACB

Gipuzkoa

32-31

A05/02

ACB

Unicaja

36-40

-4

H11/02

ACB

Baskonia

32-31

A26/02

ACB

Alicante

26-30

-4

H03/03

ACB

Manresa

#12

40-36

H10/03

ACB

68.0Avg total

33.3Scored

34.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.3	38.6	72.8	-4.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.7	35.9	72.7	+0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	31.8	41.2	73.0	-9.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.3	34.7	68.0	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.2	33.6	66.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	36.7	37.6	74.3	-0.9	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	30.6	41.8	72.3	-11.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (1)	19.0	29.0	48.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.0	39.3	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	18.1	38.4	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.3	17.9	40.1	+4.4	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	17.5	40.5	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.4	36.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	21.8	17.5	39.3	+4.2	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.7	18.5	34.2	-2.8	23%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	15.8	19.5	35.3	-3.7	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.7	17.5	33.2	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.2	19.5	34.7	-4.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	20.4	36.0	-4.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	15.0	19.7	34.7	-4.7	15%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.3	15.4	32.8	+1.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	19.0	40.1	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.6	39.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	18.9	40.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.6	39.6	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.3	37.2	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	15.7	34.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	15.6	37.0	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	17.6	17.8	35.4	-0.1	45%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	19.7	40.8	+1.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	16.0	43.0	+11.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	36.8	78.9	+5.3	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	37.1	78.5	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.9	36.5	79.4	+6.5	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	36.4	81.1	+8.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	38.3	38.7	77.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	42.7	36.7	79.3	+6.0	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.7	36.8	71.5	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.0	37.4	72.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.4	36.1	70.5	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.7	35.2	68.9	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	36.0	73.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	32.6	37.5	70.1	-4.9	25%	-
vs Similar (9)	38.4	35.1	73.6	+3.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (1)	43.0	38.0	81.0	+5.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Baloncesto Valladolid wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/11	Baloncesto Valladolid v Real Madrid	72-84
27/02/11	Baloncesto Valladolid v Real Madrid	74-65
21/11/10	Real Madrid v Baloncesto Valladolid	87-82
18/04/10	Real Madrid v Baloncesto Valladolid	91-71
21/11/09	Baloncesto Valladolid v Real Madrid	69-87

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/12	A	Valencia	66-83
04/03/12	A	Obradoiro CAB	83-69
01/03/12	A	Siena	102-90
26/02/12	H	Gran Canaria	90-72
23/02/12	H	Unicaja	86-65
19/02/12	A	Barcelona	91-74
18/02/12	H	Real Betis	92-84
17/02/12	H	Fuenlabrada	75-66
12/02/12	A	Real Betis	98-63
08/02/12	A	Bilbao	69-93

Baloncesto Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/03/12	H	Manresa	79-70
03/03/12	H	Alicante	69-57
26/02/12	A	Baskonia	65-67
11/02/12	H	Unicaja	76-83
05/02/12	A	Gipuzkoa	62-71
29/01/12	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	58-73
22/01/12	A	Fuenlabrada	54-65
14/01/12	H	Bilbao	73-81
08/01/12	A	Obradoiro CAB	72-63
03/01/12	A	Estudiantes	62-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	78%
Home	WWWLW	90%
Away	WWWWL	69%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	10	13
Win %	78%	90%	69%
Points / game	83.4	83.5	83.3
Allowed / game	72.3	71.3	73.2
Point differential	+11.0	+12.2	+10.2
Avg total	155.7	154.8	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	61%	70%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	50% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Baloncesto Valladolid

ACB 2011-12

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	26%
Home	LLLWW	42%
Away	LWLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	26%	42%	9%
Points / game	69.3	72.9	65.4
Allowed / game	75.2	75.6	74.8
Point differential	-5.9	-2.7	-9.5
Avg total	144.5	148.5	140.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	17%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	4%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Barcelona	24	19	5	79%	76.0	64.5	+11.4
2	Real Madrid	23	18	5	78%	83.4	72.3	+11.0
3	Baskonia	24	17	7	71%	72.5	68.5	+4.0
4	Gipuzkoa	24	14	10	58%	79.3	75.6	+3.7
5	Valencia	24	13	11	54%	73.5	71.5	+2.0
6	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	24	13	11	54%	72.5	71.0	+1.5
7	Unicaja	24	13	11	54%	75.1	74.4	+0.7
8	Alicante	24	13	11	54%	68.5	70.6	-2.0
9	Real Betis	24	12	12	50%	74.2	73.2	+1.1
10	Bilbao	24	12	12	50%	77.4	76.5	+0.9
11	Manresa	24	12	12	50%	72.7	73.6	-0.9
12	Joventut Badalona	24	11	13	46%	72.3	75.2	-2.8
13	Fuenlabrada	23	10	13	43%	71.7	75.9	-4.2
14	Gran Canaria	24	9	15	38%	66.9	70.3	-3.4
15	Obradoiro CAB	24	8	16	33%	70.6	74.1	-3.5
16	Estudiantes	23	7	16	30%	68.6	76.7	-8.1
17	Murcia	24	7	17	29%	68.9	74.5	-5.6
18	Baloncesto Valladolid	23	6	17	26%	69.3	75.2	-5.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	21	13	27	15	76
Baloncesto Valladolid	10	12	15	18	55

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Baloncesto Valladolid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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