Real Madrid vs Baloncesto Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 11:40

Final 87-75

25-22 24-24 15-12 23-17

Position#1

Record17-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game89.1

Allowed / game76.1

Real Madrid 🏆

Baloncesto Valladolid

Position#16

Record7-11

FormLLLWL

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game83.3

ACBRound 19

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Real Madrid v Baloncesto Valladolid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Baloncesto Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Madrid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#17

85-71

+14

A23/12

ACB

Alba Berlin

#17

77-63

+14

A27/12

Euroleague

Barcelona

89-96

-7

A30/12

ACB

Bamberg

#27

82-67

+15

A03/01

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#11

88-77

+11

H06/01

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

75-74

H11/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

90-54

+36

H13/01

ACB

Unicaja

72-64

A17/01

Euroleague

Unicaja

91-67

+24

A20/01

ACB

Panathinaikos

58-54

A25/01

Euroleague

22-12

28-22

20-21

15-16

26-20

12-14

22-20

17-9

20-23

24-22

20-28

25-23

26-22

21-16

16-19

19-10

16-15

27-16

20-25

25-21

18-23

22-17

14-12

21-22

19-8

21-11

25-16

25-19

19-16

11-20

13-14

29-14

28-24

22-22

16-13

25-8

11-20

16-17

17-12

14-5

149.4Avg total

80.7Scored

68.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	89.1	76.1	165.1	+13.0	94%
Season at home (8)	89.9	75.2	165.1	+14.6	100%
Season away (10)	88.4	76.7	165.1	+11.7	90%
Last 10 (10)	80.7	68.7	149.4	+12.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	77.2	62.6	139.8	+14.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	88.0	80.3	168.3	+7.7	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	84.1	73.0	157.1	+11.1	89%

This opponent (Baloncesto Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Baloncesto Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#13

81-87

-6

A25/11

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

102-104 OT

102

104

-2

H01/12

ACB

Valencia

74-66

H09/12

ACB

Tenerife

#10

68-74

-6

A15/12

ACB

Baskonia

71-93

-22

H19/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

73-84

-11

H23/12

ACB

Real Betis

#14

57-94

-37

A30/12

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

56-89

-33

A06/01

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

93-88 OT

H13/01

ACB

Barcelona

82-88

-6

H20/01

ACB

18-20

18-23

23-20

22-24

23-31

11-22

23-12

35-27

25-12

14-25

22-11

13-18

14-20

22-15

9-21

23-18

16-26

21-20

19-25

15-22

18-23

15-13

22-28

18-20

16-25

11-30

24-24

6-15

15-22

15-24

15-19

11-24

16-21

20-23

24-10

19-25

22-21

23-20

21-20

16-27

162.4Avg total

75.7Scored

86.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	76.1	83.3	159.4	-7.3	39%
Season at home (10)	80.2	84.1	164.3	-3.9	40%
Season away (8)	70.9	82.4	153.2	-11.5	38%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	86.7	162.4	-11.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	88.6	160.8	-16.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	72.3	81.5	153.9	-9.2	29%
vs Similar (8)	75.1	79.9	155.0	-4.8	38%
vs Weaker (1)	83.0	81.0	164.0	+2.0	100%

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real MadridBaloncesto Valladolid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	16.7	36.3	+3.0	58%	-
Last 30 away (18)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	18.2	37.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	19.0	23.7	42.7	-4.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.3	17.4	37.7	+2.9	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.1	38.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.2	40.2	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	19.9	36.2	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	22.4	39.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	20.1	38.4	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	21.0	27.0	48.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	18.7	41.4	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.9	16.4	40.3	+7.5	92%	-
Last 30 away (18)	21.9	20.2	42.1	+1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.7	38.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	17.4	35.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	22.9	18.7	41.6	+4.1	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-3.0	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	20.3	36.9	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.8	24%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.9	20.4	36.2	-4.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	29.0	53.0	-5.0	0%	-

Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

#17

50-34

+16

A23/12

ACB

Alba Berlin

#17

38-34

A27/12

Euroleague

Barcelona

44-45

-1

A30/12

ACB

Bamberg

#27

47-38

A03/01

Euroleague

Joventut Badalona

#11

43-31

+12

H06/01

ACB

Zalgiris Kaunas

40-40

H11/01

Euroleague

Gran Canaria

40-19

+21

H13/01

ACB

Unicaja

30-36

-6

A17/01

Euroleague

Unicaja

50-46

A20/01

ACB

Panathinaikos

27-37

-10

A25/01

Euroleague

76.9Avg total

40.9Scored

36.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	36.7	79.6	+6.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.6	33.1	76.7	+10.5	83%	-
Last 30 away (18)	42.4	39.1	81.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	36.0	76.9	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	35.6	73.0	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	40.3	42.3	82.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	43.1	36.1	79.2	+7.1	78%	-

This opponent (Baloncesto Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Baloncesto ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Murcia

#13

36-43

-7

A25/11

ACB

Fuenlabrada

#15

34-53

-19

H01/12

ACB

Valencia

39-37

H09/12

ACB

Tenerife

#10

36-35

A15/12

ACB

Baskonia

37-46

-9

H19/12

ACB

Gran Canaria

33-36

-3

H23/12

ACB

Real Betis

#14

27-55

-28

A30/12

ACB

Obradoiro CAB

30-46

-16

A06/01

ACB

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

36-44

-8

H13/01

ACB

Barcelona

45-41

H20/01

ACB

78.9Avg total

35.3Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.2	40.4	75.6	-5.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	40.6	77.8	-3.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	32.9	40.2	73.1	-7.3	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	43.6	78.9	-8.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	44.4	78.6	-10.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.2	39.6	74.8	-4.4	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	34.1	40.5	74.6	-6.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	56.0	101.0	-11.0	0%	-

This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	19.3	39.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	13.4	30.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	22.3	19.3	41.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.4	48%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.6	37.7	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.0	39.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.2	19.7	36.9	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	9.0	29.0	+11.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	17.5	38.8	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	23.6	19.8	43.3	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	19.8	15.9	35.7	+3.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	14.7	36.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	13.6	36.4	+9.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	25.3	18.7	44.0	+6.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	20.9	17.3	38.2	+3.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.3	38.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	21.1	41.3	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.6	19.4	36.1	-2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	22.0	39.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	22.2	36.2	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	48%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	19.2	37.5	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	36.7	78.0	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	44.4	39.5	83.9	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (18)	39.2	34.9	74.1	+4.3	72%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	32.7	72.5	+7.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	27.0	66.8	+12.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (3)	47.7	38.0	85.7	+9.7	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)	40.6	36.6	77.1	+4.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	39.1	75.7	-2.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	38.2	77.3	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.7	40.1	73.8	-6.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.2	42.4	77.6	-7.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	35.9	40.6	76.5	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.1	36.9	75.0	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	25.0	63.0	+13.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Madrid wins

Baloncesto Valladolid wins

Date	Game	Score
03/10/12	Baloncesto Valladolid v Real Madrid	75-100
13/03/12	Real Madrid v Baloncesto Valladolid	76-55
16/10/11	Baloncesto Valladolid v Real Madrid	72-84
27/02/11	Baloncesto Valladolid v Real Madrid	74-65
21/11/10	Real Madrid v Baloncesto Valladolid	87-82
18/04/10	Real Madrid v Baloncesto Valladolid	91-71
21/11/09	Baloncesto Valladolid v Real Madrid	69-87

Real Madridlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/01/13	A	Panathinaikos	58-54
20/01/13	A	Unicaja	91-67
17/01/13	A	Unicaja	72-64
13/01/13	H	Gran Canaria	90-54
11/01/13	H	Zalgiris Kaunas	75-74
06/01/13	H	Joventut Badalona	88-77
03/01/13	A	Bamberg	82-67
30/12/12	A	Barcelona	89-96
27/12/12	A	Alba Berlin	77-63
23/12/12	A	Gipuzkoa	85-71

Baloncesto Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/01/13	H	Barcelona	82-88
13/01/13	H	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	93-88 OT
06/01/13	A	Obradoiro CAB	56-89
30/12/12	A	Real Betis	57-94
23/12/12	H	Gran Canaria	73-84
19/12/12	H	Baskonia	71-93
15/12/12	A	Tenerife	68-74
09/12/12	H	Valencia	74-66
01/12/12	H	Fuenlabrada	102-104 OT
25/11/12	A	Murcia	81-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	94%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWLW	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	94%	100%	90%
Points / game	89.1	89.9	88.4
Allowed / game	76.1	75.2	76.7
Point differential	+13.0	+14.6	+11.7
Avg total	165.1	165.1	165.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	72%	75%	70%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Baloncesto Valladolid

ACB 2012-13

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWL	39%
Home	WLLWL	40%
Away	WLLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	39%	40%	38%
Points / game	76.1	80.2	70.9
Allowed / game	83.3	84.1	82.4
Point differential	-7.3	-3.9	-11.5
Avg total	159.4	164.3	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	6%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	67% (3)	100% (2)
Overtime %	17%	20%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Real Madrid	18	17	1	94%	89.1	76.1	+13.0
2	Baskonia	19	16	3	84%	82.4	75.8	+6.5
3	Gran Canaria	18	12	6	67%	74.7	71.6	+3.1
4	Valencia	19	12	7	63%	82.3	77.3	+5.0
5	Bilbao	19	12	7	63%	81.6	76.8	+4.8
6	Barcelona	19	11	8	58%	78.8	72.0	+6.8
7	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	19	11	8	58%	77.1	72.2	+4.9
8	Estudiantes	18	9	9	50%	81.3	77.6	+3.7
9	Joventut Badalona	18	9	9	50%	77.5	80.6	-3.1
10	Obradoiro CAB	19	9	10	47%	74.2	73.6	+0.5
11	Unicaja	18	8	10	44%	72.4	73.3	-0.9
12	Murcia	19	8	11	42%	77.9	83.3	-5.4
13	Baloncesto Valladolid	18	7	11	39%	76.1	83.3	-7.3
14	Real Betis	19	7	12	37%	72.0	76.1	-4.1
15	Tenerife	19	7	12	37%	75.3	79.7	-4.4
16	Fuenlabrada	19	6	13	32%	74.4	79.8	-5.4
17	Manresa	18	3	15	17%	76.4	84.0	-7.6
18	Gipuzkoa	18	3	15	17%	68.8	79.7	-10.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Madrid	25	24	15	23	87
Baloncesto Valladolid	22	24	12	17	75

← all games of the day

Real Madrid vs Baloncesto Valladolid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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