PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Real Murcia vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-69
24-20 15-18 19-14 23-17
Position#11
Record6-13
FormWLWLL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#15
Record7-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game78.0
SpainPrimera FEBRound 11
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#3
L
83-88 OT
83
88
-5
A22/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
68-65
68
65
+3
H03/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H30/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A05/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
A10/02
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
H14/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
H23/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
105-81
105
81
+24
A28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H07/03
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A19/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
19-19
7-17
28-22
11-17
21-17
19-17
17-14
12-13
17-20
15-17
13-16
17-8
21-13
12-26
14-22
16-22
14-21
25-14
24-29
18-15
10-25
26-18
23-19
19-20
11-26
17-16
21-18
35-15
21-23
25-20
24-23
19-14
15-18
18-19
11-17
20-14
19-21
8-16
21-23
151.2Avg total
74.8Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)71.174.9146.0-3.832%
Season at home (9)68.172.6140.7-4.444%
Season away (10)73.877.0150.8-3.220%
Last 10 (10)74.876.4151.2-1.630%
Last 5 (5)79.478.0157.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.587.0157.5-16.50%
vs Similar ◀ (17)71.973.7145.6-1.841%
vs Weaker (11)79.269.7148.9+9.573%
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#14
L
70-81
70
81
-11
A18/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
L
78-88
78
88
-10
H23/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A03/01
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
73-67
73
67
+6
H10/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A16/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H30/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A06/02
Primera FEB
Breogan
#1
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H13/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H07/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
W
88-77 OT
88
77
+11
H21/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
18-21
22-16
19-23
25-18
19-24
14-24
20-22
6-21
16-18
17-27
30-21
17-17
21-17
13-14
22-19
22-16
20-27
15-23
18-17
20-20
22-13
25-18
22-19
18-17
20-15
18-25
19-29
24-13
16-19
19-17
18-22
12-24
22-10
15-15
21-17
20-18
14-16
20-13
15-22
154.0Avg total
76.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)75.578.0153.5-2.541%
Season at home (9)76.775.2151.9+1.467%
Season away (8)74.181.1155.2-7.012%
Last 10 (10)76.477.6154.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)79.874.0153.8+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.981.4153.3-9.58%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.474.5149.9+0.953%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
Real MurciaOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A22/12
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H03/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H30/01
Primera FEB
Real Canoe
#19
W
38-21
38
21
+17
A05/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A10/02
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H14/02
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H23/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H07/03
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/03
Primera FEB
71.4Avg total
35.6Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.435.371.7+1.045%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.835.871.5+0.046%-
Last 30 away (16)36.935.071.9+1.944%-
Last 10 (10)35.635.871.4-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.275.6-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.540.572.0-9.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)35.237.472.5-2.235%-
vs Weaker (10)39.430.970.3+8.560%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#14
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A18/12
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A03/01
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H10/01
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A16/01
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H30/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A06/02
Primera FEB
Breogan
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H13/02
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H07/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H21/03
Primera FEB
72.8Avg total
36.3Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.374.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.237.076.2+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)34.137.671.7-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)36.336.572.8-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.633.070.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.339.275.5-2.931%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.335.873.1+1.559%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Real Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Real Murcia wins
0
Ourense wins
No previous meetings.
Real Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/03/21ACaceres68-74
07/03/21HFibwi Palma63-68
28/02/21AAlicante105-81
23/02/21HGranada68-80
14/02/21HBasquet Girona93-87 OT
10/02/21AAlmansa79-86
05/02/21AReal Canoe64-69
30/01/21HForca Lleida57-66
03/01/21HHuesca68-65
22/12/20ACastello83-88 OT
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/21HForca Lleida88-77 OT
07/03/21HMelilla70-66
13/02/21HBreogan77-71
06/02/21ALeyma Coruna75-86
30/01/21HTizona Burgos89-70
16/01/21AOviedo75-83
10/01/21HCaceres73-67
03/01/21APalencia69-87
23/12/20HReal Valladolid78-88
18/12/20AMelilla70-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Murcia
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL32%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%44%20%
Points / game71.168.173.8
Allowed / game74.972.677.0
Point differential-3.8-4.4-3.2
Avg total146.0140.7150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %11%11%10%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW41%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%67%12%
Points / game75.576.774.1
Allowed / game78.075.281.1
Point differential-2.5+1.4-7.0
Avg total153.5151.9155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Breogan1714382%79.170.6+8.5
2 Castello2015575%80.074.6+5.3
3 Leyma Coruna1812667%75.970.7+5.3
4 Oviedo1812667%79.977.7+2.2
5 Granada2013765%78.472.9+5.5
6 Alicante2012860%80.275.5+4.8
7 Fibwi Palma1911858%78.678.4+0.2
8 Real Valladolid1810856%82.680.9+1.7
9 Almansa20101050%77.676.2+1.4
10 Palencia189950%72.971.9+1.1
11 Basquet Girona189950%78.077.0+1.0
12 Forca Lleida1991047%76.176.5-0.4
13 Ourense1771041%75.578.0-2.5
14 Melilla1871139%75.678.9-3.3
15 Tizona Burgos1761135%78.884.1-5.3
16 Caceres1761135%71.977.4-5.5
17 Real Murcia1961332%71.174.9-3.8
18 Huesca1951426%70.476.6-6.3
19 Real Canoe2031715%71.381.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Murcia2415192381
Ourense2018141769
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.