Palencia vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2021

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 87-69

21-6 18-16 27-17 21-30

Position#16

Record4-5

FormLLWLW

Points / game71.2

Allowed / game69.6

Palencia 🏆

Ourense

Position#15

Record2-7

FormWLLLL

Points / game74.1

Allowed / game79.9

Primera FEBRound 11

Other2020-21

Meetings · Palencia v Ourense

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ourense winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Palencia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#10

87-82

A06/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

81-50

+31

H16/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

68-75

-7

A24/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

66-73

-7

A01/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

76-65

+11

H06/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

71-85

-14

H20/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

64-66

-2

A06/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

79-78

A09/12

Primera FEB

Breogan

65-76

-11

H13/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

71-58

+13

A22/12

Primera FEB

21-20

25-16

18-20

23-26

20-15

18-15

23-14

20-6

11-26

20-17

18-18

19-14

15-23

13-14

17-11

21-25

19-19

21-19

22-14

14-13

16-19

28-29

9-25

18-12

10-15

17-22

14-19

23-10

11-17

19-18

20-18

29-25

10-21

16-19

22-10

17-26

10-12

33-17

13-15

15-14

143.6Avg total

72.8Scored

70.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	71.2	69.6	140.8	+1.7	44%
Season at home (4)	73.2	69.0	142.2	+4.2	50%
Season away (5)	69.6	70.0	139.6	-0.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	72.8	70.8	143.6	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	72.6	142.6	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	64.5	71.0	135.5	-6.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	74.5	73.5	148.0	+0.9	46%
vs Weaker (15)	85.7	77.5	163.1	+8.2	73%

This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ourense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

74-86

-12

H07/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

87-89

-2

A18/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

#16

75-68

H24/10

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

66-75

-9

A30/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

69-82

-13

H06/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

80-69

+11

A13/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

71-88

-17

H21/11

Primera FEB

Breogan

71-79

-8

A05/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

70-81

-11

A18/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

78-88

-10

H23/12

Primera FEB

23-23

11-23

22-27

18-13

25-16

11-18

30-27

21-28

26-11

17-20

18-18

14-19

22-19

14-14

11-19

19-23

21-20

18-22

15-22

15-18

15-10

26-11

27-21

12-27

18-21

17-25

12-19

24-23

6-20

17-20

23-20

25-19

11-21

18-21

22-16

19-23

25-18

19-24

14-24

20-22

154.6Avg total

74.1Scored

80.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	74.1	79.9	154.0	-5.8	22%
Season at home (4)	73.2	81.5	154.8	-8.2	25%
Season away (5)	74.8	78.6	153.4	-3.8	20%
Last 10 (10)	74.1	80.5	154.6	-6.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.0	81.0	155.0	-7.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	68.3	80.1	148.5	-11.8	7%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	74.5	74.5	149.0	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker (1)	65.0	55.0	120.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PalenciaOurense

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	18.8	36.1	-1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	19.2	38.1	-0.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	18.7	33.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	11.4	16.8	28.2	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	10.0	18.0	28.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	16.5	18.5	35.0	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.1	19.1	38.2	-0.1	53%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	19.6	40.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.8	17.9	34.7	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.9	37.1	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.5	19.3	36.7	-1.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.9	18.5	39.4	+2.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	17.0	14.0	31.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.1	40.4	+2.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	19.9	42.6	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.2	18.5	38.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	18.6	39.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.0	43.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	20.5	37.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	22.5	19.3	41.7	+3.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	19.0	36.3	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	19.9	37.2	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	18.2	35.3	-1.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.8	36.6	-3.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.0	19.9	36.9	-2.9	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.1	21%	-
vs Weaker (1)	14.0	8.0	22.0	+6.0	100%	-

PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Castello

#10

46-36

+10

A06/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

38-30

H16/10

Primera FEB

Ourense

#15

31-43

-12

A24/10

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

28-37

-9

A01/11

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

40-38

H06/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

44-48

-4

H20/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

27-37

-10

A06/12

Primera FEB

Oviedo

30-35

-5

A09/12

Primera FEB

Breogan

26-40

-14

H13/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

43-29

+14

A22/12

Primera FEB

72.6Avg total

35.3Scored

37.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.9	76.6	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.5	39.2	80.7	+2.4	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.5	36.9	73.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.3	37.3	72.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	37.8	71.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.5	38.5	65.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	37.2	37.2	74.5	+0.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.5	38.4	79.9	+3.1	60%	-

This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caceres

34-46

-12

H07/03

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

36-34

A18/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

#16

43-31

+12

H24/10

Primera FEB

Caceres

#13

36-33

A30/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

39-42

-3

H06/11

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

#18

41-21

+20

A13/11

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

35-46

-11

H21/11

Primera FEB

Breogan

23-40

-17

A05/12

Primera FEB

Melilla

#14

29-42

-13

A18/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

44-42

H23/12

Primera FEB

73.7Avg total

36.0Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	37.8	74.1	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	39.5	78.1	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.9	36.1	70.0	-2.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	37.7	73.7	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	38.2	72.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	34.5	39.2	73.7	-4.7	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.6	37.4	76.0	+1.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (1)	31.0	22.0	53.0	+9.0	100%	-

This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	17.7	36.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	16.4	34.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	17.4	33.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	14.5	32.5	+3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	17.0	16.9	33.9	+0.1	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.2	36.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.1	18.9	34.9	-2.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	19.5	37.4	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.3	40.7	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	20.0	39.6	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	16.3	20.5	36.8	-4.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.2	17.9	36.1	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	18.0	28.0	-8.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.2	40.4	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.2	19.6	41.8	+2.5	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	17.1	37.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.4	37.8	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	19.5	18.7	38.2	+0.8	62%	-
vs Weaker (15)	24.0	20.3	44.3	+3.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	19.7	37.5	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	18.3	35.2	-1.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.1	39.9	-2.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	21.5	40.2	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.8	42.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-2.9	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.6	21%	-
vs Weaker (1)	24.0	15.0	39.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	37.1	77.5	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.8	36.1	76.9	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.1	37.9	78.0	+2.1	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.5	33.5	71.0	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	34.8	70.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.0	32.5	70.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	36.5	35.6	72.1	+0.8	46%	-
vs Weaker (15)	44.1	39.1	83.2	+5.1	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	38.9	73.7	-4.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	32.9	37.2	70.1	-4.3	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.7	40.6	77.3	-3.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	42.8	80.9	-4.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	42.8	82.4	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)	33.9	40.9	74.8	-7.1	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	35.9	37.1	73.0	-1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (1)	34.0	33.0	67.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Palencia wins

Ourense wins

Date	Game	Score
24/10/20	Ourense v Palencia	75-68
07/02/20	Palencia v Ourense	87-80
20/10/19	Ourense v Palencia	72-81
21/04/19	Ourense v Palencia	52-55
30/12/18	Palencia v Ourense	76-88
01/04/18	Palencia v Ourense	74-72
10/12/17	Ourense v Palencia	71-74
12/04/17	Ourense v Palencia	68-76
16/12/16	Palencia v Ourense	83-77
08/04/16	Palencia v Ourense	78-65

Palencialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/12/20	A	Melilla	71-58
13/12/20	H	Breogan	65-76
09/12/20	A	Oviedo	79-78
06/12/20	A	Leyma Coruna	64-66
20/11/20	H	Tizona Burgos	71-85
06/11/20	H	Caceres	76-65
01/11/20	A	Real Valladolid	66-73
24/10/20	A	Ourense	68-75
16/10/20	H	Melilla	81-50
06/03/20	A	Castello	87-82

Ourenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/12/20	H	Real Valladolid	78-88
18/12/20	A	Melilla	70-81
05/12/20	A	Breogan	71-79
21/11/20	H	Leyma Coruna	71-88
13/11/20	A	Tizona Burgos	80-69
06/11/20	H	Oviedo	69-82
30/10/20	A	Caceres	66-75
24/10/20	H	Palencia	75-68
18/10/20	A	Real Valladolid	87-89
07/03/20	H	Caceres	74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia

Primera FEB 2020-21

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	44%
Home	WWLL	50%
Away	LLLWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	44%	50%	40%
Points / game	71.2	73.2	69.6
Allowed / game	69.6	69.0	70.0
Point differential	+1.7	+4.2	-0.4
Avg total	140.8	142.2	139.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	50%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Ourense

Primera FEB 2020-21

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	22%
Home	WLLL	25%
Away	LLWLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	22%	25%	20%
Points / game	74.1	73.2	74.8
Allowed / game	79.9	81.5	78.6
Point differential	-5.8	-8.2	-3.8
Avg total	154.0	154.8	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	0%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Alicante	10	9	1	90%	83.6	71.5	+12.1
2	Breogan	10	9	1	90%	78.4	67.7	+10.7
3	Castello	11	9	2	82%	80.5	72.4	+8.1
4	Granada	10	7	3	70%	81.8	73.0	+8.8
5	Leyma Coruna	10	7	3	70%	75.3	69.0	+6.3
6	Real Valladolid	10	6	4	60%	81.0	78.9	+2.1
7	Almansa	10	6	4	60%	76.2	74.3	+1.9
8	Fibwi Palma	10	5	5	50%	80.8	82.9	-2.1
9	Palencia	9	4	5	44%	71.2	69.6	+1.7
10	Oviedo	9	4	5	44%	75.2	75.9	-0.7
11	Forca Lleida	9	4	5	44%	70.9	73.3	-2.4
12	Caceres	7	3	4	43%	72.0	73.6	-1.6
13	Real Murcia	11	4	7	36%	68.5	73.8	-5.3
14	Melilla	9	3	6	33%	73.4	79.6	-6.1
15	Tizona Burgos	9	3	6	33%	75.2	84.3	-9.1
16	Basquet Girona	8	2	6	25%	75.9	80.4	-4.5
17	Ourense	9	2	7	22%	74.1	79.9	-5.8
18	Huesca	10	2	8	20%	70.7	80.1	-9.4
19	Real Canoe	9	1	8	11%	75.1	84.7	-9.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Palencia	21	18	27	21	87
Ourense	6	16	17	30	69

← all games of the day

Palencia vs Ourense Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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