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Regatas vs Ferro Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.6
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio José Jorge Conte
Other2026-27
Meetings · Regatas v Ferro
28 Jan 2027
REGA v FERR
upcoming
18 May 2026
REGA85
FERR87
10 May 2026
REGA81
FERR60
08 May 2026
REGA89
FERR95
23 Mar 2026
REGA77
FERR70
27 Mar 2025
REGA84
FERR80
09 Feb 2024
REGA93
FERR47
13 Jan 2023
REGA71
FERR61
23 Mar 2022
REGA83
FERR92
20 Mar 2021
REGA74
FERR77
21 Nov 2019
REGA82
FERR83
16 Apr 2019
REGA74
FERR80
15 Jan 2018
REGA80
FERR82
25 Mar 2017
REGA92
FERR95
30 Jan 2016
REGA76
FERR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RegatasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegatas
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 72
A13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
63avg 72
A15/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 72
H19/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
73-63
73
63
+10
61avg 72
H03/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 72
H18/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
63-72
63
72
-9
56avg 72
A26/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 72
A28/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
L
65-70
65
70
-5
no box
A07/11
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
A09/11
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
17-16
25-30
17-20
20-21
21-21
20-15
18-14
31-24
23-17
13-19
18-27
17-12
12-19
18-16
26-16
16-25
23-17
18-19
23-22
22-18
21-19
8-12
12-23
14-32
20-23
25-21
24-19
20-14
11-17
20-13
14-26
17-16
15-19
25-22
23-11
21-21
22-25
14-15
12-18
153.0Avg total
75.2Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)73.375.7149.0-2.429%
Season at home (2)76.573.0149.5+3.550%
Season away (5)72.076.8148.8-4.820%
Last 10 (10)75.277.8153.0-2.630%
Last 5 (5)72.076.8148.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)83.095.0178.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)75.376.3151.6-1.045%
vs Weaker (9)88.079.8167.8+8.278%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 71
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
46avg 71
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 71
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 71
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
83avg 71
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 71
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 71
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
49avg 71
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
33-28
14-23
27-23
23-18
17-12
22-20
12-22
22-19
20-16
28-24
18-24
20-27
30-20
20-17
19-14
17-30
14-23
19-22
15-11
13-17
20-18
26-12
19-21
19-36
20-22
19-13
18-15
19-35
163.3Avg total
78.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.585.6167.1-4.125%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (5)81.286.4167.6-5.220%
Last 10 (10)78.784.6163.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.887.6170.4-4.820%
vs Similar ◀ (24)78.280.0158.3-1.846%
vs Weaker (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -6.8-6.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -6.8-6.8
RegatasFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A15/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H19/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H18/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A28/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/11
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/11
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/11
Liga A
77.9Avg total
37.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.939.577.4-1.531%-
Last 30 away (17)40.639.980.5+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.077.9-2.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.640.877.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.055.089.0-21.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)37.439.677.0-2.225%-
vs Weaker (9)44.638.282.8+6.378%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
Liga A
80.9Avg total
40.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.382.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.337.082.3+8.382%-
Last 30 away (19)40.542.382.7-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.180.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)41.840.582.2+1.354%-
vs Weaker (1)59.036.095.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Regatastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regatas: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.2
50.8%
54.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.7
33.8%
32.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.414.6
75.3%
72.7%14.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.5
25.5%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
72.7%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Regatas
LWLLLLWLWL
Ferro
LLLWLLWLLW
#15
League position
#16
+6.4
Net rating
-4.4
113.1
Offensive rating
107.2
106.8
Defensive rating
111.6
50.8%
Effective FG%
47.6%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.8%
3-point %
25.5%
43.7%
Assist %
51.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 107.2Defence106.8 · 111.6Shooting50.8% · 47.6%3-point %33.8% · 25.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Regatas   ■ Ferro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Regatas wins
3
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
19/05/26Regatas v Ferro85-87
15/05/26Ferro v Regatas71-79
13/05/26Ferro v Regatas90-75
11/05/26Regatas v Ferro81-60
08/05/26Regatas v Ferro89-95
24/03/26Regatas v Ferro77-70
19/12/25Ferro v Regatas77-79
28/03/25Regatas v Ferro84-80
31/01/25Ferro v Regatas88-93 OT
10/02/24Regatas v Ferro93-47
Regataslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AArgentino69-79
09/11/26ARacing de Chivilcoy80-68
07/11/26ASan Lorenzo65-70
28/10/26ABoca Juniors83-95
26/10/26ALanus63-72
18/10/26HOlimpico80-83
03/10/26HInstituto de Cordoba73-63
19/05/26HFerro85-87
15/05/26AFerro79-71
13/05/26AFerro75-90
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPenarol76-85
11/11/26HSan Martin84-87
29/10/26AGimnasia61-73
21/10/26HPlatense86-81
13/10/26AAtenas86-91
10/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba94-97 OT
09/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva97-92
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game73.376.572.0
Allowed / game75.773.076.8
Point differential-2.4+3.5-4.8
Avg total149.0149.5148.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game81.582.081.2
Allowed / game85.684.386.4
Point differential-4.1-2.3-5.2
Avg total167.1166.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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