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Reggiana vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 84-85
21-16 21-35 18-21 24-13
Position#12
Record7-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game72.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupFIBA Europe Cup - Quarter-finals· PalaBigi
European cup2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ReggianaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormReggiana
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
90-68
90
68
+22
90avg 73
H10/01
Lega A
KK Bosna
#4
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
A18/01
Lega A
Cedevita Junior
#25
W
83-60
83
60
+23
76avg 73
H21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#15
L
78-79
78
79
-1
85avg 73
H25/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
76-61
76
61
+15
70avg 73
A01/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#7
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 73
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#4
L
71-85
71
85
-14
57avg 73
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
W
81-79
81
79
+2
66avg 73
A15/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 73
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
21-16
25-17
19-20
21-14
20-18
30-12
22-23
25-22
13-24
28-18
24-21
19-12
24-16
18-14
22-18
20-19
25-12
13-25
20-23
24-10
11-16
20-14
21-21
15-16
22-18
15-21
25-26
23-21
14-26
20-21
14-17
25-25
20-15
17-19
19-20
24-21
24-7
31-12
18-21
156.2Avg total
83.6Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.574.2157.8+9.258%
Season at home (6)85.867.5153.3+18.367%
Season away (6)81.281.0162.2+0.250%
Last 10 (10)83.672.6156.2+11.070%
Last 5 (5)80.473.4153.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)69.586.5156.0-17.00%
vs Similar (9)79.782.8162.4-3.133%
vs Weaker (19)84.774.9159.6+9.758%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Rostock
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 78
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
77avg 78
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 78
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-66
92
66
+26
86avg 78
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
106-95
106
95
+11
97avg 78
A07/02
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
87avg 78
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
94avg 78
H14/02
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
84-110
84
110
-26
60avg 78
A08/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
24-21
23-17
24-21
18-24
27-10
32-20
13-30
21-15
28-19
15-24
16-17
24-20
24-17
21-25
10-17
18-30
24-21
19-17
23-15
22-16
21-20
28-10
21-20
29-24
27-22
27-27
23-22
22-20
24-13
17-30
26-19
28-15
20-24
20-22
33-21
19-30
20-25
23-35
22-20
174.5Avg total
89.9Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.972.3159.2+14.692%
Season at home (6)86.368.5154.8+17.8100%
Season away (6)87.576.2163.7+11.383%
Last 10 (10)89.984.6174.5+5.380%
Last 5 (5)94.487.0181.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)88.095.0183.0-7.050%
vs Similar (5)82.882.6165.4+0.280%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)89.379.4168.7+10.074%
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
ReggianaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#16
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H10/01
Lega A
KK Bosna
#4
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Udine
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A18/01
Lega A
Cedevita Junior
#25
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#15
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H25/01
Lega A
Varese
#8
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A01/02
Lega A
CSM Oradea
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A04/02
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Bosna
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A15/02
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H07/03
Lega A
75.8Avg total
41.5Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.680.0+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.638.181.7+5.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.239.078.2+0.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.534.375.8+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)40.435.075.4+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)30.044.074.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (9)41.441.883.2-0.344%-
vs Weaker (19)42.636.579.1+6.179%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/02
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/02
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A08/03
ACB
85.8Avg total
45.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.040.984.9+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.339.180.4+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)46.442.588.9+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)45.440.485.8+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)46.441.888.2+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.044.584.5-4.550%-
vs Similar (5)42.242.084.2+0.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.740.385.1+4.465%-
This opponent (Reggiana) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Reggianatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Reggiana: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.5
53.0%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.2
30.8%
34.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.311.7
67.6%
73.4%11.7
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.9
52.9%
52.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.111.0
36.5%
34.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.8
74.7%
73.4%14.8
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Reggiana
WWLLWLWWWW
Murcia
LWWWWWLWWW
#12
League position
#2
+5.4
Net rating
+2.3
96.9
Offensive rating
101.3
91.5
Defensive rating
99.0
50.2%
Effective FG%
53.8%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.2%
Turnover %
13.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
46.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.8%
3-point %
36.5%
58.9%
Assist %
56.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 101.3Defence91.5 · 99.0Shooting50.2% · 53.8%3-point %30.8% · 36.5%Ball care12.2% · 13.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 46.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Reggiana   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Reggiana wins
0
Murcia wins
No previous meetings.
Reggianalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HTrieste97-61
15/02/26AVenezia81-79
11/02/26AKK Bosna71-85
04/02/26ACSM Oradea77-81
01/02/26AVarese76-61
25/01/26HCantu78-79
21/01/26HCedevita Junior83-60
18/01/26AUdine90-85
14/01/26HKK Bosna93-67
10/01/26HSassari90-68
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26AValencia84-110
14/02/26HSan Pablo Burgos101-82
11/02/26ARostock89-82
07/02/26ABreogan106-95
03/02/26HTrefl Sopot92-66
01/02/26HBarcelona84-83
25/01/26AUnicaja88-92 OT
21/01/26ASzombathely80-75
18/01/26HBasket Zaragoza90-84
14/01/26HRostock85-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game83.585.881.2
Allowed / game74.267.581.0
Point differential+9.2+18.3+0.2
Avg total157.8153.3162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Murcia
FIBA Europe Cup 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game86.986.387.5
Allowed / game72.368.576.2
Point differential+14.6+17.8+11.3
Avg total159.2154.8163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bilbao1312192%95.268.6+26.5
2 Murcia1211192%86.972.3+14.6
3 PAOK1310377%88.279.9+8.3
4 Peristeri1310377%85.277.9+7.2
5 KK Bosna1510567%78.575.1+3.5
6 Basketball Braunschweig64267%83.781.3+2.3
7 CSM Oradea128467%83.181.0+2.1
8 Vechta85362%86.080.2+5.8
9 Petkim Spor138562%83.073.6+9.4
10 Szombathely138562%81.679.4+2.2
11 Reggiana127558%83.574.2+9.2
12 Basket Zaragoza127558%86.278.3+7.8
13 Rostock127558%85.378.4+6.9
14 Anwil Wloclawek84450%91.484.6+6.8
15 Antwerp Giants63350%84.079.3+4.7
16 Dijon63350%83.583.3+0.2
17 Neftchi IK63350%87.088.7-1.7
18 Cibona84450%81.083.1-2.1
19 AEK Larnaca63350%81.084.7-3.7
20 Bashkimi84450%78.584.1-5.6
21 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%82.589.8-7.3
22 BC Prievidza146843%80.383.9-3.6
23 Sassari125742%81.880.0+1.8
24 Sporting CP125742%82.482.4+0.0
25 Cedevita Junior125742%85.185.5-0.4
26 Trefl Sopot125742%83.684.4-0.8
27 Absheron Lions83538%86.287.6-1.4
28 Brno83538%77.585.5-8.0
29 Bakken Bears62433%85.786.5-0.8
30 Lublin62433%79.784.8-5.2
31 Tartu Ulikool62433%82.890.7-7.8
32 FC Porto62433%76.085.8-9.8
33 Keravnos62433%78.090.2-12.2
34 Corona Brasov82625%78.284.4-6.1
35 Anorthosis82625%72.091.1-19.1
36 Pelister61517%80.393.3-13.0
37 Rilski Sportist61517%68.781.7-13.0
38 Valcea61517%71.398.8-27.5
39 Kutaisi61517%63.798.3-34.7
40 Parnu2020%72.082.0-10.0
41 Trepca6060%75.786.5-10.8
42 Balkan2020%71.082.5-11.5
43 Mechelen2020%69.582.0-12.5
44 BC Dnipro2020%66.589.0-22.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Reggiana2121182484
Murcia1635211385
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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