PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valencia vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 110-84
30-19 25-20 35-23 20-22
Position#1
Record15-5
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.2
Allowed / game80.9
Valencia 🏆
Spain
vs
Murcia
Spain
Position#4
Record14-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game82.5
SpainACBRound 21· Roig Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Valencia v Murcia
18 Oct 2026
VAL116
MUR93
08 Mar 2026
VAL110
MUR84
05 Apr 2025
VAL71
MUR86
25 May 2024
VAL77
MUR84
18 May 2024
VAL86
MUR96
24 Mar 2024
VAL83
MUR82
16 Oct 2022
VAL74
MUR75
18 Feb 2022
VAL83
MUR86
26 Sep 2021
VAL86
MUR91
20 Dec 2020
VAL89
MUR78
10 Mar 2019
VAL89
MUR65
01 Apr 2018
VAL73
MUR84
14 May 2017
VAL67
MUR70
22 Dec 2015
VAL65
MUR54
24 Jan 2015
VAL81
MUR63
14 Dec 2013
VAL88
MUR86
26 Jan 2013
VAL94
MUR96
24 Mar 2012
VAL87
MUR80
29 Dec 2009
VAL72
MUR67
26 Apr 2009
VAL83
MUR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valencia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValencia
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#15
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 88
A25/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
94-83
94
83
+11
90avg 88
H29/01
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
101-65
101
65
+36
90avg 88
H01/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
90-107
90
107
-17
84avg 88
A03/02
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
W
104-99 OT
104
99
+5
97avg 88
A05/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
87-90
87
90
-3
79avg 88
A08/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
82-67
82
67
+15
73avg 88
H12/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
107-75
107
75
+32
100avg 88
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
108-79
108
79
+29
110avg 88
A26/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
91-87
91
87
+4
87avg 88
H05/03
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
26-14
24-28
21-18
21-27
23-23
22-18
28-15
25-15
27-17
19-19
30-14
14-33
32-24
18-27
26-23
24-21
12-28
25-24
27-15
18-24
27-23
22-25
20-18
22-17
22-16
19-12
19-22
25-23
32-16
26-14
24-22
35-16
33-19
25-23
15-21
25-13
25-26
21-25
20-23
178.6Avg total
95.4Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)95.280.9176.1+14.275%
Season at home (10)96.277.3173.5+18.990%
Season away (10)94.184.5178.6+9.660%
Last 10 (10)95.483.2178.6+12.280%
Last 5 (5)95.079.6174.6+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)94.389.9184.1+4.471%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)92.580.8173.3+11.770%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
82-96
82
96
-14
69avg 79
A10/01
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
no box
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 79
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
77avg 79
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
W
84-83
84
83
+1
83avg 79
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-66
92
66
+26
86avg 79
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
106-95
106
95
+11
97avg 79
A07/02
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
89-82
89
82
+7
87avg 79
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
101-82
101
82
+19
94avg 79
H14/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
23-23
15-23
27-32
14-18
24-21
23-17
24-21
18-24
27-10
32-20
13-30
21-15
28-19
15-24
16-17
24-20
24-17
21-25
10-17
18-30
24-21
19-17
23-15
22-16
21-20
28-10
21-20
29-24
27-22
27-27
23-22
22-20
24-13
17-30
26-19
28-15
20-24
20-22
33-21
172.9Avg total
89.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)89.282.5171.6+6.770%
Season at home (10)87.880.6168.4+7.280%
Season away (10)90.584.3174.8+6.260%
Last 10 (10)89.783.2172.9+6.580%
Last 5 (5)94.481.6176.0+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)92.080.0172.0+12.0100%
vs Similar (5)82.882.6165.4+0.280%
vs Weaker (24)88.878.7167.5+10.175%
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
ValenciaMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ValenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#15
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A25/01
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H29/01
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#14
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H01/02
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#19
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A03/02
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A05/02
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A08/02
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H12/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
57-39
57
39
+18
A15/02
ACB
Baskonia
#18
W
68-35
68
35
+33
A26/02
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#5
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H05/03
Euroleague
90.2Avg total
48.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.242.687.8+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.141.487.6+4.771%-
Last 30 away (16)44.443.687.9+0.838%-
Last 10 (10)48.741.590.2+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)52.838.691.4+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)43.344.988.1-1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)45.841.987.7+3.957%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/01
ACB
Rostock
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H14/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H18/01
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Unicaja
#9
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A25/01
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H01/02
ACB
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/02
ACB
Rostock
#10
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/02
ACB
84.5Avg total
45.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.083.7+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.538.378.8+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)46.941.788.5+5.267%-
Last 10 (10)45.539.084.5+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)47.041.088.0+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar (5)42.242.084.2+0.240%-
vs Weaker (24)44.139.883.9+4.267%-
This opponent (Valencia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valencia: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.221.7
61.6%
50.0%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.5
39.0%
42.2%34.5
🏀 Free throws19.212.9
67.2%
74.7%12.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.8
53.2%
50.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.0
37.4%
42.2%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.214.6
72.3%
74.7%14.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valencia
WWWWLWLWWW
Murcia
WWWWWLWWWL
#1
League position
#4
+11.8
Net rating
+4.4
102.4
Offensive rating
103.3
90.6
Defensive rating
98.9
60.2%
Effective FG%
54.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
11.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.0%
3-point %
37.4%
62.0%
Assist %
57.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 103.3Defence90.6 · 98.9Shooting60.2% · 54.5%3-point %39.0% · 37.4%Ball care11.8% · 14.6%Off. rebounds- · 42.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Valencia   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Valencia wins
6
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Murcia v Valencia92-80
05/04/25Valencia v Murcia71-86
15/12/24Murcia v Valencia88-96
25/05/24Valencia v Murcia77-84
22/05/24Murcia v Valencia72-83
18/05/24Valencia v Murcia86-96
24/03/24Valencia v Murcia83-82
10/12/23Murcia v Valencia77-85 OT
19/04/23Murcia v Valencia90-82
16/10/22Valencia v Murcia74-75
Valencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HZalgiris Kaunas91-87
26/02/26ABaskonia108-79
15/02/26AMoraBanc Andorra107-75
12/02/26HLyon-Villeurbanne82-67
08/02/26AJoventut Badalona87-90
05/02/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv104-99 OT
03/02/26AAnadolu Efes90-107
01/02/26HForca Lleida101-65
29/01/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv94-83
25/01/26AGran Canaria90-80
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HSan Pablo Burgos101-82
11/02/26ARostock89-82
07/02/26ABreogan106-95
03/02/26HTrefl Sopot92-66
01/02/26HBarcelona84-83
25/01/26AUnicaja88-92 OT
21/01/26ASzombathely80-75
18/01/26HBasket Zaragoza90-84
14/01/26HRostock85-77
10/01/26ABilbao82-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valencia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW75%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game95.296.294.1
Allowed / game80.977.384.5
Point differential+14.2+18.9+9.6
Avg total176.1173.5178.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game89.287.890.5
Allowed / game82.580.684.3
Point differential+6.7+7.2+6.2
Avg total171.6168.4174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2018290%92.882.5+10.2
2 Valencia2015575%95.280.9+14.2
3 Barcelona2115671%89.680.0+9.7
4 Murcia2014670%89.282.5+6.7
5 Baskonia1913668%92.987.0+5.9
6 Unicaja2114767%88.484.7+3.7
7 Joventut Badalona2113862%84.980.6+4.3
8 Tenerife2112957%87.084.4+2.5
9 Bilbao22121055%84.485.6-1.2
10 Basquet Girona21101148%86.990.0-3.2
11 Manresa2191243%84.992.0-7.1
12 Forca Lleida2081240%81.587.6-6.0
13 Breogan2181338%89.693.6-4.0
14 Gran Canaria2071335%79.584.1-4.7
15 Basket Zaragoza2161529%86.791.8-5.0
16 MoraBanc Andorra2161529%85.493.4-8.0
17 San Pablo Burgos2151624%87.792.4-4.7
18 Granada211205%79.791.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valencia30253520110
Murcia1920232284
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.