Reggiana vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 100-83

21-24 21-23 23-13 35-23

Position#7

Record12-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game72.2

Reggiana 🏆

Sutor Montegranaro

Position#14

Record7-14

FormLLWLW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game84.8

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Reggiana v Sutor Montegranaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Reggiana winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Reggiana

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

64-86

-22

A30/12

Lega A

Cremona

#10

87-71

+16

A06/01

Lega A

Caserta

#12

91-72

+19

H13/01

Lega A

Siena

49-64

-15

A21/01

Lega A

Venezia

69-75

-6

H27/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

96-93

H03/02

Lega A

Siena

73-82

-9

A08/02

Italian Cup

Biella

#17

72-65

A17/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

79-61

+18

H24/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

68-65

A03/03

Lega A

10-21

14-18

20-23

20-24

20-17

22-12

18-26

27-16

26-10

25-17

20-24

20-21

11-19

17-17

13-14

8-14

12-25

25-15

13-17

19-18

25-15

20-17

22-24

29-37

23-23

16-14

18-25

16-20

25-20

16-9

9-23

22-13

25-18

21-19

13-16

20-8

10-17

19-11

18-22

21-15

148.2Avg total

74.8Scored

73.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	75.6	72.2	147.9	+3.4	57%
Season at home (10)	79.0	68.7	147.7	+10.3	70%
Season away (11)	72.5	75.5	148.0	-2.9	45%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	73.4	148.2	+1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.6	73.2	150.8	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	72.0	75.8	147.8	-3.8	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	80.4	67.4	147.9	+13.0	89%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

79-100

100

-21

H23/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

93-78

+15

A30/12

Lega A

Siena

79-93

-14

A07/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

84-86 OT

-2

H13/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

95-71

+24

H20/01

Lega A

Sassari

90-106

106

-16

A27/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

80-83

-3

A03/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

97-76

+21

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

87-89

-2

A24/02

Lega A

Venezia

88-64

+24

H03/03

Lega A

19-23

20-21

16-32

24-24

32-15

15-19

24-21

22-23

24-28

20-29

14-20

21-16

20-17

22-12

19-31

12-13

24-14

23-20

29-20

19-17

24-28

15-24

24-33

27-21

18-20

23-21

12-21

27-21

22-18

31-9

18-21

26-28

27-21

22-24

15-21

23-23

20-13

33-12

17-17

18-22

171.8Avg total

87.2Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	82.9	84.8	167.6	-1.9	33%
Season at home (11)	82.5	81.2	163.6	+1.3	36%
Season away (10)	83.3	88.7	172.0	-5.4	30%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	84.6	171.8	+2.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	83.6	172.0	+4.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	78.7	93.6	172.2	-14.9	0%
vs Similar (17)	84.0	81.3	165.3	+2.7	47%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	75.0	157.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ReggianaSutor Montegranaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.7	17.8	36.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.3	16.0	37.3	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.6	19.3	35.9	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	16.9	18.7	35.6	-1.8	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.7	16.1	36.8	+4.6	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.9	42.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.9	22.1	45.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	19.7	42.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.4	23.0	43.4	-2.6	42%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.2	19.4	41.6	+2.8	65%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.3	16.4	35.7	+2.9	59%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.0	15.5	35.5	+4.5	70%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.8	17.2	35.9	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	14.9	34.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	14.0	32.4	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	20.3	13.6	33.9	+6.8	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	19.2	41.4	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	22.6	40.7	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.0	42.8	+6.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.2	23.3	42.5	-4.2	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.9	19.0	39.9	+1.9	41%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-

ReggianaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

24-39

-15

A30/12

Lega A

Cremona

#10

42-29

+13

A06/01

Lega A

Caserta

#12

51-27

+24

H13/01

Lega A

Siena

28-36

-8

A21/01

Lega A

Venezia

37-40

-3

H27/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

45-32

+13

H03/02

Lega A

Siena

39-37

A08/02

Italian Cup

Biella

#17

41-29

+12

A17/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

46-37

H24/02

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

29-28

A03/03

Lega A

71.6Avg total

38.2Scored

33.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	38.0	34.2	72.3	+3.8	64%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.3	31.5	72.8	+9.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (12)	35.3	36.5	71.8	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	33.4	71.6	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	32.6	72.6	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	35.8	37.4	73.2	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.0	29.7	70.7	+11.3	100%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

39-44

-5

H23/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

47-34

+13

A30/12

Lega A

Siena

44-57

-13

A07/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

42-29

+13

H13/01

Lega A

Avellino

#11

47-34

+13

H20/01

Lega A

Sassari

39-52

-13

A27/01

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

41-41

A03/02

Lega A

Caserta

#12

53-27

+26

H17/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

49-45

A24/02

Lega A

Venezia

53-25

+28

H03/03

Lega A

84.2Avg total

45.4Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.4	41.7	83.1	-0.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.9	39.1	80.0	+1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.0	44.6	86.6	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	38.8	84.2	+6.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.0	38.0	85.0	+9.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	39.6	46.3	85.9	-6.8	25%	-
vs Similar (17)	43.1	38.4	81.5	+4.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	41.0	76.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Reggiana) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	17.6	20.9	38.5	-3.2	23%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.3	19.3	37.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.1	22.2	39.2	-5.1	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	21.4	37.8	-5.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	17.2	20.7	37.9	-3.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.1	20.7	38.8	-2.6	22%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	21.3	39.1	-3.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	21.5	38.6	-4.4	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	23.7	42.5	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.6	39.8	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.7	24.7	42.3	-7.0	8%	-
vs Similar (17)	17.8	18.9	36.7	-1.2	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.8	17.6	37.4	+2.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.4	17.9	37.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.6	38.8	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.6	40.2	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	42%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.3	17.1	38.4	+4.2	78%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.9	43.6	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	21.4	41.4	-1.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	23.6	22.5	46.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.0	47.2	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	42%	-
vs Similar (17)	22.1	22.7	44.8	-0.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	14.0	41.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	37.5	38.5	75.9	-1.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	37.7	37.2	74.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.2	39.5	76.8	-2.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	40.0	76.6	-3.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	40.6	78.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (12)	36.2	38.4	74.7	-2.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	39.4	37.8	77.2	+1.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	43.2	82.6	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	42.5	80.9	-4.1	19%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.6	44.0	84.6	-3.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	44.5	85.2	-3.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	45.6	87.0	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	38.2	46.2	84.3	-8.0	8%	-
vs Similar (17)	39.9	41.6	81.5	-1.8	24%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	34.0	81.0	+13.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Reggiana wins

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/12	Sutor Montegranaro v Reggiana	80-94

Reggianalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/13	A	Pesaro	68-65
24/02/13	H	Olimpia Milano	79-61
17/02/13	A	Biella	72-65
08/02/13	A	Siena	73-82
03/02/13	H	Virtus Roma	96-93
27/01/13	H	Venezia	69-75
21/01/13	A	Siena	49-64
13/01/13	H	Caserta	91-72
06/01/13	A	Cremona	87-71
30/12/12	A	Cantu	64-86

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/03/13	H	Venezia	88-64
24/02/13	A	Cremona	87-89
17/02/13	H	Caserta	97-76
03/02/13	A	Virtus Bologna	80-83
27/01/13	A	Sassari	90-106
20/01/13	H	Avellino	95-71
13/01/13	H	Virtus Roma	84-86 OT
07/01/13	A	Siena	79-93
30/12/12	A	Pesaro	93-78
23/12/12	H	Cantu	79-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Reggiana

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	57%
Home	WWLWW	70%
Away	LWLWW	45%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	10	11
Win %	57%	70%	45%
Points / game	75.6	79.0	72.5
Allowed / game	72.2	68.7	75.5
Point differential	+3.4	+10.3	-2.9
Avg total	147.9	147.7	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	33%
Home	LLWWW	36%
Away	WLLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	11	10
Win %	33%	36%	30%
Points / game	82.9	82.5	83.3
Allowed / game	84.8	81.2	88.7
Point differential	-1.9	+1.3	-5.4
Avg total	167.6	163.6	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	27%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	10%	18%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Sassari	21	17	4	81%	89.2	81.0	+8.2
3	Varese	21	17	4	81%	83.8	76.8	+7.0
4	Siena	21	14	7	67%	77.3	69.2	+8.0
5	Virtus Roma	21	14	7	67%	77.5	74.9	+2.6
6	Cantu	21	13	8	62%	74.0	67.2	+6.9
7	Olimpia Milano	21	13	8	62%	80.0	75.5	+4.4
8	Reggiana	21	12	9	57%	75.6	72.2	+3.4
9	Venezia	21	11	10	52%	77.0	79.0	-2.0
10	Brindisi	21	10	11	48%	81.0	80.4	+0.6
11	Cremona	21	8	13	38%	77.7	80.0	-2.3
12	Caserta	21	8	13	38%	71.2	77.8	-6.6
13	Virtus Bologna	20	7	13	35%	72.5	77.2	-4.8
14	Sutor Montegranaro	21	7	14	33%	82.9	84.8	-1.9
15	Avellino	20	6	14	30%	74.7	82.3	-7.7
16	Pesaro	21	5	16	24%	71.4	76.9	-5.4
17	Biella	21	5	16	24%	71.0	82.1	-11.2
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Reggiana	21	21	23	35	100
Sutor Montegranaro	24	23	13	23	83

← all games of the day

Reggiana vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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