Sutor Montegranaro vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jan 2013

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 84-86 (OT)

20-17 22-12 19-31 12-13 11-13

Position#14

Record4-10

FormWLLWL

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game86.1

Sutor Montegranaro

Virtus Roma 🏆

Position#6

Record9-5

FormWWLWW

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game75.4

Lega ARound 15

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

74-80 OT

-6

H28/10

Lega A

Venezia

89-83

A04/11

Lega A

Reggiana

80-94

-14

H11/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

78-97

-19

A18/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

76-82

-6

H25/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

82-75

H02/12

Lega A

Varese

88-106

106

-18

A09/12

Lega A

Cantu

79-100

100

-21

H23/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

93-78

+15

A30/12

Lega A

Siena

79-93

-14

A07/01

Lega A

15-10

11-16

15-21

26-20

27-17

26-17

10-21

26-28

21-16

15-28

22-19

22-31

24-23

13-26

21-21

20-27

21-14

21-20

22-23

12-25

13-20

22-21

20-20

27-14

20-26

20-24

19-28

29-28

19-23

20-21

16-32

24-24

32-15

15-19

24-21

22-23

24-28

20-29

14-20

21-16

170.6Avg total

81.8Scored

88.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.9	86.1	166.0	-6.1	29%
Season at home (7)	77.6	85.1	162.7	-7.6	14%
Season away (7)	82.3	87.0	169.3	-4.7	43%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	88.8	170.6	-7.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	90.4	174.6	-6.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	77.0	93.1	170.1	-16.1	0%
vs Similar (19)	80.5	81.0	161.5	-0.5	47%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	75.0	157.0	+7.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#12

86-57

+29

H28/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

75-67

A04/11

Lega A

Siena

70-81

-11

H12/11

Lega A

Venezia

75-67

A18/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

79-85

-6

A25/11

Lega A

Varese

91-87

H02/12

Lega A

Avellino

#11

94-79

+15

A09/12

Lega A

Sassari

81-83

-2

H23/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

86-82

A30/12

Lega A

Biella

#17

67-59

H06/01

Lega A

25-21

17-11

11-13

33-12

20-19

20-15

21-18

14-15

11-25

16-18

22-17

21-21

9-6

21-22

27-19

18-20

20-24

18-19

17-24

24-18

25-19

24-22

16-20

26-26

24-21

25-19

21-28

24-11

15-21

26-18

15-14

25-30

11-20

26-23

20-18

29-21

19-5

7-18

10-19

31-17

155.1Avg total

80.4Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.1	75.4	154.5	+3.8	64%
Season at home (7)	77.4	73.9	151.3	+3.6	57%
Season away (7)	80.9	76.9	157.7	+4.0	71%
Last 10 (10)	80.4	74.7	155.1	+5.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.8	78.0	161.8	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	77.0	80.8	157.8	-3.8	25%
vs Similar (21)	78.5	80.2	158.7	-1.7	48%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	80.2	70.2	150.4	+10.0	80%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sutor MontegranaroVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.3	42.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	21.1	40.3	-2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	21.4	44.5	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	19.2	40.8	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.1	23.1	43.2	-3.0	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	22.1	20.4	42.4	+1.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	13.0	20.0	33.0	-7.0	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.5	38.9	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	17.9	38.1	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	21.5	40.2	-2.8	0%	-
vs Similar (21)	18.8	19.1	38.0	-0.3	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	20.3	39.1	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.8	42.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	19.3	24.4	43.7	-5.1	30%	-
vs Similar (19)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.4	42%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.4	38.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	21.5	42.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	16.8	14.8	31.6	+2.0	60%	-

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

26-26

H28/10

Lega A

Venezia

53-34

+19

A04/11

Lega A

Reggiana

36-44

-8

H11/11

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

37-49

-12

A18/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-34

H25/11

Lega A

Biella

#17

35-41

-6

H02/12

Lega A

Varese

40-50

-10

A09/12

Lega A

Cantu

39-44

-5

H23/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

47-34

+13

A30/12

Lega A

Siena

44-57

-13

A07/01

Lega A

81.2Avg total

39.9Scored

41.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.5	81.5	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.0	40.7	79.7	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	42.4	83.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.3	81.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	45.2	86.2	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	39.4	47.5	86.9	-8.1	20%	-
vs Similar (19)	40.5	38.4	78.9	+2.1	53%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	41.0	76.0	-6.0	0%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#12

42-32

+10

H28/10

Lega A

Cremona

#10

40-34

A04/11

Lega A

Siena

27-43

-16

H12/11

Lega A

Venezia

30-28

A18/11

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

38-43

-5

A25/11

Lega A

Varese

49-41

H02/12

Lega A

Avellino

#11

49-40

A09/12

Lega A

Sassari

41-39

H23/12

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

37-43

-6

A30/12

Lega A

Biella

#17

26-23

H06/01

Lega A

74.5Avg total

37.9Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	38.9	77.1	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	37.5	76.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.9	40.3	78.2	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	36.6	74.5	+1.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	39.5	43.0	82.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar (21)	37.8	39.2	77.0	-1.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	38.8	34.4	73.2	+4.4	80%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-3.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	20.9	38.4	-3.5	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.7	36.9	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	22.6	40.9	-4.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	24.2	42.8	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	16.9	23.2	40.1	-6.3	10%	-
vs Similar (19)	17.4	18.8	36.2	-1.5	37%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	19.9	38.9	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	18.4	37.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.5	40.3	-2.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	19.8	36.2	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.2	18.5	34.8	-2.2	25%	-
vs Similar (21)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	14.4	20.6	35.0	-6.2	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	22.3	43.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	21.9	43.1	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	22.7	44.5	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	23.6	46.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	21.0	45.6	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	20.7	22.4	43.1	-1.7	40%	-
vs Similar (19)	21.7	22.6	44.4	-0.9	37%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	14.0	41.0	+13.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	19.2	40.0	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	21.3	40.9	-1.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.0	17.1	39.1	+4.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.5	19.1	43.6	+5.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	21.0	48.0	+6.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.2	19.2	40.5	+2.0	75%	-
vs Similar (21)	19.2	20.2	39.4	-1.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	27.0	15.2	42.2	+11.8	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	42.6	81.5	-3.7	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	42.8	81.5	-4.1	13%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.0	42.4	81.4	-3.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	46.2	87.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	45.2	88.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)	37.6	45.6	83.2	-8.0	10%	-
vs Similar (19)	39.1	41.5	80.6	-2.4	21%	-
vs Weaker (1)	47.0	34.0	81.0	+13.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	39.2	78.9	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.7	39.7	78.4	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.9	38.6	79.5	+2.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	38.1	80.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	37.8	75.2	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (21)	39.8	40.2	80.0	-0.4	48%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	41.4	35.8	77.2	+5.6	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
08/02/12	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	76-69
23/10/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	67-76
01/05/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	75-66
06/01/11	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	88-73
03/04/10	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	75-72
06/12/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	103-97
19/04/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	75-84
28/12/08	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	88-70

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/01/13	A	Siena	79-93
30/12/12	A	Pesaro	93-78
23/12/12	H	Cantu	79-100
09/12/12	A	Varese	88-106
02/12/12	H	Biella	82-75
25/11/12	H	Olimpia Milano	76-82
18/11/12	A	Brindisi	78-97
11/11/12	H	Reggiana	80-94
04/11/12	A	Venezia	89-83
28/10/12	H	Cremona	74-80 OT

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/01/13	H	Biella	67-59
30/12/12	A	Brindisi	86-82
23/12/12	H	Sassari	81-83
09/12/12	A	Avellino	94-79
02/12/12	H	Varese	91-87
25/11/12	A	Virtus Bologna	79-85
18/11/12	A	Venezia	75-67
12/11/12	H	Siena	70-81
04/11/12	A	Cremona	75-67
28/10/12	H	Caserta	86-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	29%
Home	LLLWL	14%
Away	WLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	29%	14%	43%
Points / game	79.9	77.6	82.3
Allowed / game	86.1	85.1	87.0
Point differential	-6.1	-7.6	-4.7
Avg total	166.0	162.7	169.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	64%
Home	WLWLW	57%
Away	WWLWW	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	64%	57%	71%
Points / game	79.1	77.4	80.9
Allowed / game	75.4	73.9	76.9
Point differential	+3.8	+3.6	+4.0
Avg total	154.5	151.3	157.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	29%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	50% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	14	13	1	93%	87.3	78.1	+9.1
3	Siena	14	11	3	79%	77.2	65.4	+11.9
4	Sassari	14	11	3	79%	85.9	80.4	+5.4
5	Cantu	14	10	4	71%	79.4	69.3	+10.1
6	Virtus Roma	14	9	5	64%	79.1	75.4	+3.8
7	Brindisi	14	8	6	57%	82.1	79.0	+3.1
8	Reggiana	14	7	7	50%	76.0	73.0	+3.0
9	Olimpia Milano	14	7	7	50%	79.1	78.8	+0.3
10	Caserta	14	7	7	50%	71.4	76.7	-5.4
11	Venezia	14	6	8	43%	77.0	78.2	-1.2
12	Virtus Bologna	14	6	8	43%	71.8	74.0	-2.2
13	Cremona	14	4	10	29%	74.0	79.6	-5.6
14	Sutor Montegranaro	14	4	10	29%	79.9	86.1	-6.1
15	Avellino	14	4	10	29%	78.5	85.8	-7.3
16	Biella	14	3	11	21%	69.6	79.9	-10.2
17	Pesaro	14	2	12	14%	70.1	78.8	-8.6
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Sutor Montegranaro	20	22	19	12	11	84
Virtus Roma	17	12	31	13	13	86

← all games of the day

Sutor Montegranaro vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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