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RIG Lulea W vs AIK Basket W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 55-105
14-30 15-33 18-25 8-17
Position#13
Record1-20
FormLLLLL
Points / game53.3
Allowed / game84.5
RIG Lulea W
Sweden
vs
AIK Basket W 🏆
Sweden
Position#5
Record13-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game74.8
SwedenBasketligan W· Halsans hus
Women2025-26
Meetings · RIG Lulea W v AIK Basket W
21 Feb 2026
RIG 55
AIK 105
17 Sep 2022
RIG 60
AIK 57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

RIG Lulea W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AIK Basket W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RIG Lulea WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
31-104
31
104
-73
14avg 54
A05/12
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
60-64
60
64
-4
57avg 54
A13/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
62-81
62
81
-19
49avg 54
H10/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
65-97
65
97
-32
no box
H18/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
59-75
59
75
-16
46avg 54
H24/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
73-88
73
88
-15
71avg 54
A31/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
54avg 54
A01/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
67-86
67
86
-19
60avg 54
A07/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
44-61
44
61
-17
29avg 54
A08/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
60-66
60
66
-6
53avg 54
H14/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-29
5-26
6-29
11-20
10-20
15-18
12-18
23-8
15-21
20-22
18-19
9-19
20-17
13-26
17-31
15-23
21-14
13-26
4-12
21-23
18-20
20-19
16-23
19-26
16-19
18-23
13-24
11-15
17-16
22-21
9-25
19-24
17-20
14-22
6-13
7-6
13-15
19-12
7-26
21-13
138.2Avg total
57.9Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)53.384.5137.8-31.25%
Season at home (9)56.685.4142.0-28.911%
Season away (12)50.883.8134.6-32.90%
Last 10 (10)57.980.3138.2-22.40%
Last 5 (5)60.476.4136.8-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)51.985.7137.6-33.80%
vs Similar (2)66.572.5139.0-6.050%
vs Weaker (9)88.853.8142.6+35.0100%
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WSwedenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#10
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 65
H17/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
60avg 65
A20/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
64-80
64
80
-16
59avg 65
H04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
W
83-67
83
67
+16
72avg 65
A10/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 65
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
92-59
92
59
+33
86avg 65
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 65
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
62-90
62
90
-28
44avg 65
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
61-80
61
80
-19
52avg 65
A20/02
Basketligan W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
16-11
22-19
22-21
23-16
17-24
14-17
19-23
16-14
12-32
16-19
20-15
13-11
21-25
26-16
23-15
14-22
24-15
22-18
21-17
21-16
10-10
23-24
15-30
29-18
24-13
17-14
22-14
20-18
28-22
17-26
22-19
12-28
21-18
16-24
13-20
16-13
17-18
12-25
16-24
151.3Avg total
75.0Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.174.8153.0+3.362%
Season at home (10)75.573.9149.4+1.660%
Season away (11)80.575.6156.2+4.964%
Last 10 (10)75.076.3151.3-1.350%
Last 5 (5)74.278.8153.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)69.981.9151.8-12.027%
vs Similar (7)77.478.6156.0-1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.570.3148.8+8.267%
This opponent (RIG Lulea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -11.2-11.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-14-7+0+7+14Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -11.2-11.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
RIG Lulea WAIK Basket W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RIG Lulea WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lulea W
#1
L
14-55
14
55
-41
A05/12
Basketligan W
AIK Basket W
#5
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A13/12
Basketligan W
Sodertalje W
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H10/01
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H18/01
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H24/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A31/01
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A01/02
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A07/02
Basketligan W
Malbas Malmo W
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A08/02
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H14/02
Basketligan W
72.1Avg total
31.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.337.769.9-5.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.935.570.3-0.653%-
Last 30 away (15)29.739.969.5-10.227%-
Last 10 (10)31.540.672.1-9.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.472.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)28.243.771.9-15.511%-
vs Similar (2)29.033.562.5-4.550%-
vs Weaker (9)41.625.967.4+15.7100%-
This opponent (AIK Basket W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AIK Basket WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alvik W
#10
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H17/12
Basketligan W
Lund W
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
L
28-46
28
46
-18
H04/01
Basketligan W
Alvik W
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A10/01
Basketligan W
Norrkoping W
#7
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A18/01
Basketligan W
Brahe W
#11
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H24/01
Basketligan W
Visby W
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H31/01
Basketligan W
Ostersund W
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A07/02
Basketligan W
Uppsala W
#2
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A11/02
Basketligan W
Lulea W
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/02
Basketligan W
73.5Avg total
37.2Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.075.4+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.336.775.0+1.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.537.375.7+1.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.236.373.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)39.634.874.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.140.676.7-4.545%-
vs Similar (7)41.637.779.3+3.986%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.633.271.8+5.367%-
This opponent (RIG Lulea W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
RIG Lulea Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

RIG Lulea W: 55.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.117.3
42.1%
46.4%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.53.9
22.3%
31.2%11.7
🏀 Free throws15.98.9
56.0%
72.5%8.9
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AIK Basket Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AIK Basket W: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.9 points a game
50%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.8
44.9%
46.4%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
31.2%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.512.3
74.5%
72.5%12.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
RIG Lulea W
LLLLLLLLLL
AIK Basket W
LLWWLWWLLW
#13
League position
#5
-30.6
Net rating
-1.8
56.2
Offensive rating
85.9
86.8
Defensive rating
87.7
39.5%
Effective FG%
45.3%
45.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
30.3%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
22.3%
3-point %
30.6%
65.1%
Assist %
61.3%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence56.2 · 85.9Defence86.8 · 87.7Shooting39.5% · 45.3%3-point %22.3% · 30.6%Ball care30.3% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 32.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)0% · 50%
■ RIG Lulea W   ■ AIK Basket W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
RIG Lulea W wins
2
AIK Basket W wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25AIK Basket W v RIG Lulea W64-60
04/03/23AIK Basket W v RIG Lulea W81-58
17/09/22RIG Lulea W v AIK Basket W60-57
RIG Lulea Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26HBrahe W60-66
08/02/26AMalbas Malmo W44-61
07/02/26ALund W67-86
01/02/26AUppsala W58-81
31/01/26AOstersund W73-88
24/01/26HMalbas Malmo W59-75
18/01/26HLund W65-97
10/01/26HSodertalje W62-81
13/12/25AAIK Basket W60-64
05/12/25ALulea W31-104
AIK Basket Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/26ALulea W61-80
11/02/26AUppsala W62-90
07/02/26AOstersund W87-85
31/01/26HVisby W92-59
24/01/26HBrahe W69-80
18/01/26ANorrkoping W81-72
10/01/26AAlvik W83-67
04/01/26HLulea W64-80
20/12/25ALund W73-80
17/12/25HAlvik W78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

RIG Lulea W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeWLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %5%11%0%
Points / game53.356.650.8
Allowed / game84.585.483.8
Point differential-31.2-28.9-32.9
Avg total137.8142.0134.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AIK Basket W
Basketligan W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %62%60%64%
Points / game78.175.580.5
Allowed / game74.873.975.6
Point differential+3.3+1.6+4.9
Avg total153.0149.4156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%20%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lulea W2119290%91.763.0+28.6
2 Uppsala W2016480%81.071.0+10.1
3 Hogsbo W1914574%84.373.3+11.0
4 Ostersund W1912763%82.374.8+7.5
5 AIK Basket W2113862%78.174.8+3.3
6 Sodertalje W2012860%79.070.5+8.4
7 Norrkoping W2011955%81.773.9+7.8
8 Malbas Malmo W2011955%74.576.5-2.0
9 Alvik W2081240%74.773.6+1.1
10 Lund W2071335%77.579.8-2.2
11 Brahe W2161529%66.676.6-10.0
12 Visby W201195%58.489.3-30.9
13 RIG Lulea W211205%53.384.5-31.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
RIG Lulea W141518855
AIK Basket W30332517105
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