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Rigas Zelli vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-58
23-11 12-17 22-20 16-10
Position#3
Record10-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#9
Record6-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2024
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v Rapla
07 Dec 2024
RZE73
RAPL58
09 Mar 2024
RZE77
RAPL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
87-80
87
80
+7
82avg 74
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
71-77
71
77
-6
61avg 74
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
66-70
66
70
-4
57avg 74
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
88-71
88
71
+17
79avg 74
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
113-76
113
76
+37
118avg 74
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
W
96-66
96
66
+30
98avg 74
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
89-76
89
76
+13
85avg 74
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
72-61
72
61
+11
60avg 74
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
83-66
83
66
+17
84avg 74
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
84-70
84
70
+14
79avg 74
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
18-21
15-23
27-19
10-20
20-19
18-12
23-26
28-18
14-18
14-19
10-15
23-23
24-7
17-21
24-20
35-13
25-22
24-17
29-24
14-25
28-18
28-13
26-10
18-17
23-20
20-17
28-22
20-21
13-15
21-14
18-11
20-21
12-12
18-18
33-15
29-19
18-17
19-15
18-19
156.2Avg total
84.9Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.174.2159.2+10.977%
Season at home (6)85.274.3159.5+10.8100%
Season away (7)85.074.0159.0+11.057%
Last 10 (10)84.971.3156.2+13.680%
Last 5 (5)84.867.8152.6+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.182.6157.7-7.414%
vs Similar (7)84.679.4164.0+5.186%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.374.2159.5+11.175%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 67
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
102avg 67
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
62-84
62
84
-22
50avg 67
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
79-60
79
60
+19
66avg 67
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
66-96
66
96
-30
53avg 67
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
110-104 OT
110
104
+6
100avg 67
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
76avg 67
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 67
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
93-91
93
91
+2
83avg 67
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
70avg 67
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
22-25
14-20
23-14
26-24
26-15
29-15
19-19
21-21
9-26
12-22
20-15
16-17
22-16
21-20
20-7
25-14
18-28
13-28
10-26
22-22
24-23
19-20
20-20
14-17
24-16
14-22
21-18
18-27
19-22
22-15
16-23
15-17
27-27
25-27
26-20
17-22
17-19
24-24
22-13
167.7Avg total
83.4Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)81.783.9165.6-2.255%
Season at home (6)87.285.2172.3+2.067%
Season away (5)75.282.4157.6-7.240%
Last 10 (10)83.484.3167.7-0.960%
Last 5 (5)88.490.0178.4-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)70.582.0152.5-11.538%
vs Similar (3)95.795.0190.7+0.767%
vs Weaker (6)82.071.3153.3+10.783%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +2.6+2.6Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
Rigas ZelliRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keila Coolbet
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H12/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#5
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A30/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
78.2Avg total
41.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.980.7+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.880.1+4.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.181.3+1.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.936.378.2+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.076.0+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.339.176.4-1.914%-
vs Similar (7)43.339.682.9+3.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)43.138.681.6+4.556%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#11
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
82.7Avg total
40.8Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.476.6-4.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.841.779.5-3.933%-
Last 30 away (15)34.739.173.7-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.982.7-1.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.481.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)34.040.874.8-6.919%-
vs Similar (3)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker (6)41.338.880.2+2.567%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.8
53.5%
51.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.6
35.2%
32.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.212.7
73.8%
70.6%12.7
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.324.0
51.8%
51.9%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.26.9
31.1%
32.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
70.6%13.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
WWWWWWWLLW
Rapla
WWLLWLWLWW
#3
League position
#9
+17.8
Net rating
-0.6
114.6
Offensive rating
105.4
96.7
Defensive rating
106.0
53.2%
Effective FG%
50.1%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.1%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.2%
3-point %
31.1%
68.4%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 105.4Defence96.7 · 106.0Shooting53.2% · 50.1%3-point %35.2% · 31.1%Ball care15.2% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.4% · 32.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rigas Zelli wins
1
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
01/11/24Rapla v Rigas Zelli66-96
09/03/24Rigas Zelli v Rapla77-78
05/12/23Rapla v Rigas Zelli68-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HBC Kalev/Cramo84-70
27/11/24ALatvijas Universitate83-66
17/11/24HValmiera Glass Via72-61
09/11/24HParnu89-76
01/11/24ARapla96-66
30/10/24ATal Tech113-76
26/10/24HBK Ogre88-71
20/10/24AViimsi66-70
18/10/24ATartu Ulikool71-77
12/10/24HKeila Coolbet87-80
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/24AParnu80-78
30/11/24HTal Tech93-91
16/11/24HBC Kalev/Cramo75-87
13/11/24ATartu Ulikool84-90 OT
05/11/24HVentspils110-104 OT
01/11/24HRigas Zelli66-96
26/10/24HLatvijas Universitate79-60
19/10/24AVEF Riga62-84
15/10/24HKeila KK100-73
13/10/24AViimsi85-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %77%100%57%
Points / game85.185.285.0
Allowed / game74.274.374.0
Point differential+10.9+10.8+11.0
Avg total159.2159.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%67%40%
Points / game81.787.275.2
Allowed / game83.985.282.4
Point differential-2.2+2.0-7.2
Avg total165.6172.3157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %18%17%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1413193%81.967.4+14.5
2 BC Kalev/Cramo97278%86.675.4+11.1
3 Rigas Zelli1310377%85.174.2+10.9
4 Valmiera Glass Via139469%82.273.1+9.1
5 Tartu Ulikool128467%82.278.6+3.6
6 Keila Coolbet95456%79.080.8-1.8
7 Rapla116555%81.783.9-2.2
8 BK Ogre137654%79.777.9+1.8
9 Tal Tech146843%78.187.0-8.9
10 Ventspils125742%89.388.2+1.2
11 BK Liepaja125742%78.680.8-2.2
12 Parnu104640%81.178.7+2.4
13 Viimsi112918%67.483.5-16.1
14 Latvijas Universitate131128%70.682.2-11.5
15 Keila KK100100%75.690.5-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli2312221673
Rapla1117201058
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