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Parnu vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-80
22-17 19-17 24-24 13-22
Position#11
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Rapla 🏆
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game84.5
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Parnu Spordihall
Other2024
Meetings · Parnu v Rapla
26 Apr 2025
PAR92
RAPL82
19 Apr 2025
PAR82
RAPL75
03 Dec 2024
PAR78
RAPL80
23 May 2024
PAR65
RAPL68
17 May 2024
PAR59
RAPL68
17 Jan 2024
PAR66
RAPL61
25 Apr 2023
PAR58
RAPL75
17 Apr 2023
PAR83
RAPL71
26 Nov 2022
PAR66
RAPL81
02 May 2022
PAR97
RAPL81
27 Apr 2022
PAR75
RAPL64
18 Apr 2022
PAR79
RAPL72
04 Dec 2021
PAR78
RAPL83
04 May 2021
PAR67
RAPL60
29 Apr 2021
PAR76
RAPL69
06 Apr 2021
PAR v RAPL
upcoming
10 Jan 2021
PAR78
RAPL58
11 Nov 2020
PAR83
RAPL69
20 Apr 2019
PAR88
RAPL76
14 Apr 2019
PAR82
RAPL57
08 Dec 2018
PAR62
RAPL73
22 May 2018
PAR75
RAPL79
16 May 2018
PAR73
RAPL67
10 Feb 2018
PAR70
RAPL75
18 Oct 2017
PAR73
RAPL78
28 Feb 2017
PAR64
RAPL49
24 Jan 2017
PAR65
RAPL59
06 Dec 2016
PAR65
RAPL71
04 Mar 2016
PAR68
RAPL69
17 Jan 2016
PAR79
RAPL80
31 Oct 2015
PAR65
RAPL86
07 Feb 2015
PAR68
RAPL76
05 Oct 2014
PAR77
RAPL75
09 Feb 2014
PAR74
RAPL47
02 Oct 2013
PAR78
RAPL72
30 Mar 2013
PAR61
RAPL63
31 Oct 2012
PAR64
RAPL70
10 Mar 2012
PAR72
RAPL87
16 Nov 2011
PAR61
RAPL68
12 Feb 2011
PAR74
RAPL88
06 Nov 2010
PAR72
RAPL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
72-89
72
89
-17
64avg 70
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 70
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Arges Pitesti
#19
W
73-70
73
70
+3
64avg 70
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
67avg 70
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
67-85
67
85
-18
54avg 70
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
74avg 70
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
59-83
59
83
-24
52avg 70
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
84avg 70
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
74-80
74
80
-6
63avg 70
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
91-94
91
94
-3
89avg 70
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
15-29
20-16
18-22
17-12
13-22
23-22
30-22
16-18
21-21
23-15
13-16
20-23
8-25
27-12
15-15
12-18
17-25
20-23
18-19
17-18
20-23
17-20
22-28
18-19
14-23
12-25
15-16
19-23
28-21
22-17
18-15
19-21
8-14
29-23
18-22
20-21
22-25
23-27
26-21
157.1Avg total
75.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)79.979.5159.4+0.438%
Season at home (4)78.875.5154.2+3.250%
Season away (4)81.083.5164.5-2.525%
Last 10 (10)75.281.9157.1-6.730%
Last 5 (5)77.484.4161.8-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)74.081.8155.8-7.821%
vs Similar (5)74.872.8147.6+2.060%
vs Weaker (6)67.767.7135.3+0.033%
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
65-80
65
80
-15
54avg 66
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
85-80
85
80
+5
78avg 66
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
100-73
100
73
+27
102avg 66
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
62-84
62
84
-22
50avg 66
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
79-60
79
60
+19
66avg 66
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
66-96
66
96
-30
53avg 66
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
110-104 OT
110
104
+6
100avg 66
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
76avg 66
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
63avg 66
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
93-91
93
91
+2
83avg 66
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-14
18-23
19-17
15-26
26-21
22-25
14-20
23-14
26-24
26-15
29-15
19-19
21-21
9-26
12-22
20-15
16-17
22-16
21-20
20-7
25-14
18-28
13-28
10-26
22-22
24-23
19-20
20-20
14-17
24-16
14-22
21-18
18-27
19-22
22-15
16-23
15-17
27-27
25-27
26-20
166.4Avg total
81.9Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.984.5166.4-2.650%
Season at home (6)87.285.2172.3+2.067%
Season away (4)74.083.5157.5-9.525%
Last 10 (10)81.984.5166.4-2.650%
Last 5 (5)85.693.6179.2-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.581.0151.6-10.541%
vs Similar (3)95.795.0190.7+0.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)82.470.0152.4+12.480%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.2+0.2
ParnuRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Arges Pitesti
#19
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H30/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A02/11
Latvia-Estonian League
CSM Oradea
#6
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A06/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Spojnia Stargard
#16
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A13/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BK Ogre
#5
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A17/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H28/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
76.6Avg total
34.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.138.073.1-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.834.468.2-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)36.341.778.0-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)34.342.376.6-8.010%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.678.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.941.978.8-4.921%-
vs Similar (5)33.431.064.4+2.460%-
vs Weaker (6)30.531.762.2-1.250%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A13/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#14
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/10
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#1
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A19/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H26/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#3
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#6
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H16/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/11
Latvia-Estonian League
82.0Avg total
40.5Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.276.6-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.941.279.1-3.438%-
Last 30 away (14)34.738.973.6-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)40.541.582.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.242.683.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)34.240.574.7-6.323%-
vs Similar (3)42.040.782.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.838.481.2+4.480%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.617.0
52.1%
51.9%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
32.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.512.7
72.6%
70.6%12.7
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.9 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.323.5
50.8%
51.9%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.8
31.2%
32.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.5%
70.6%13.9
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Parnu
LLWLLLLWWL
Rapla
WLLWLWLWWL
#11
League position
#9
-10.0
Net rating
-2.5
104.0
Offensive rating
102.9
114.0
Defensive rating
105.4
51.6%
Effective FG%
49.5%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.0%
3-point %
31.2%
73.2%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 102.9Defence114.0 · 105.4Shooting51.6% · 49.5%3-point %34.0% · 31.2%Ball care17.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds25.9% · 31.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Parnu   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Parnu wins
4
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
25/05/24Rapla v Parnu82-66
23/05/24Parnu v Rapla65-68
21/05/24Rapla v Parnu55-65
17/05/24Parnu v Rapla59-68
17/01/24Parnu v Rapla66-61
11/11/23Rapla v Parnu81-89 OT
28/04/23Rapla v Parnu65-78
25/04/23Parnu v Rapla58-75
21/04/23Rapla v Parnu72-80
17/04/23Parnu v Rapla83-71
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24ATartu Ulikool91-94
28/11/24HViimsi74-80
17/11/24ABK Ogre87-76
13/11/24ASpojnia Stargard59-83
09/11/24ARigas Zelli76-89
06/11/24ACSM Oradea67-85
02/11/24AVEF Riga70-75
30/10/24HArges Pitesti73-70
26/10/24HValmiera Glass Via83-78
23/10/24HSpojnia Stargard72-89
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/24HTal Tech93-91
16/11/24HBC Kalev/Cramo75-87
13/11/24ATartu Ulikool84-90 OT
05/11/24HVentspils110-104 OT
01/11/24HRigas Zelli66-96
26/10/24HLatvijas Universitate79-60
19/10/24AVEF Riga62-84
15/10/24HKeila KK100-73
13/10/24AViimsi85-80
11/10/24AValmiera Glass Via65-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game79.978.881.0
Allowed / game79.575.583.5
Point differential+0.4+3.2-2.5
Avg total159.4154.2164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%67%25%
Points / game81.987.274.0
Allowed / game84.585.283.5
Point differential-2.6+2.0-9.5
Avg total166.4172.3157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %20%17%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga1312192%81.068.4+12.6
2 BC Kalev/Cramo97278%86.675.4+11.1
3 Rigas Zelli1310377%85.174.2+10.9
4 Tartu Ulikool107370%83.179.0+4.1
5 Valmiera Glass Via128467%82.575.2+7.3
6 Keila Coolbet85362%82.079.1+2.9
7 BK Ogre126650%80.778.9+1.8
8 Rapla105550%81.984.5-2.6
9 Tal Tech126650%81.287.2-6.0
10 BK Liepaja115645%78.478.9-0.5
11 Parnu83538%79.979.5+0.4
12 Ventspils114736%88.388.8-0.5
13 Viimsi112918%67.483.5-16.1
14 Latvijas Universitate131128%70.682.2-11.5
15 Keila KK9090%74.690.7-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Parnu2219241378
Rapla1717242280
← all games of the day
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