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Rigas Zelli vs Rapla Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 77-78
12-14 24-16 23-21 18-27
Position#6
Record16-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game74.1
vs
Rapla 🏆
Position#10
Record11-15
FormWWWWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game76.7
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Cesis Sports Complex
Other2023
Meetings · Rigas Zelli v Rapla
07 Dec 2024
RZE73
RAPL58
09 Mar 2024
RZE77
RAPL78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rigas Zelli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapla winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
A19/01
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
W
78-71
78
71
+7
73avg 72
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A28/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#6
W
90-65
90
65
+25
no box
H02/02
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
78avg 72
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
68avg 72
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
77-98
77
98
-21
69avg 72
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
69-94
69
94
-25
no box
A17/02
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
L
75-83
75
83
-8
60avg 72
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
64-69
64
69
-5
49avg 72
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
27-18
22-18
21-17
18-17
22-15
24-20
14-19
18-24
25-17
26-13
21-25
24-14
26-10
20-23
20-18
20-37
26-24
17-18
29-21
22-18
19-19
23-20
17-7
20-26
14-24
24-23
19-25
9-18
23-27
20-19
17-30
26-20
19-20
17-24
13-19
16-10
19-16
16-17
13-26
159.5Avg total
80.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.874.1153.9+5.759%
Season at home (12)80.871.9152.7+8.875%
Season away (15)79.175.9154.9+3.247%
Last 10 (10)80.079.5159.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)73.281.6154.8-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.187.0161.1-12.914%
vs Similar (5)79.881.4161.2-1.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.069.6152.6+13.478%
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRapla
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
78avg 67
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
85-64
85
64
+21
88avg 67
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
61-66
61
66
-5
52avg 67
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 67
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
45avg 67
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
98-89 OT
98
89
+9
94avg 67
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
72-61
72
61
+11
62avg 67
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 67
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
72-54
72
54
+18
68avg 67
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
72-76
72
76
-4
70avg 67
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
20-22
22-14
26-22
21-19
20-19
17-13
27-13
12-11
11-18
21-19
17-18
25-24
19-20
21-20
21-30
11-27
18-26
12-11
13-18
21-24
25-13
20-21
17-25
20-22
19-12
12-17
21-10
21-26
16-16
20-19
22-17
20-17
19-11
13-17
20-9
9-22
16-11
29-21
18-22
150.2Avg total
75.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)74.876.7151.6-1.942%
Season at home (13)77.178.2155.2-1.146%
Season away (13)72.675.3147.9-2.738%
Last 10 (10)75.974.3150.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)78.671.6150.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)69.578.7148.3-9.227%
vs Similar (12)76.679.1155.7-2.533%
vs Weaker (7)77.968.4146.3+9.471%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -4.1-4.1Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +1.8+1.8
Rigas ZelliRapla
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valmiera Glass Via
#4
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A19/01
Latvian Cup
Keila KK
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A28/01
Latvian Cup
BK Liepaja
#6
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H02/02
Latvian Cup
Ventspils
#4
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A07/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H10/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A14/02
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/02
Latvian Cup
BK Ogre
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H27/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
80.0Avg total
40.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.577.7+4.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.235.276.3+6.062%-
Last 30 away (17)41.237.678.8+3.671%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.380.0+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.677.0-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.942.380.1-4.414%-
vs Similar (5)40.641.281.8-0.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.733.075.7+9.789%-
This opponent (Rapla) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RaplaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tal Tech
#9
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H22/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A17/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H20/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H30/01
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#7
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#5
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H28/02
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
39-28
39
28
+11
A02/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H05/03
Latvia-Estonian League
73.6Avg total
35.5Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.239.875.9-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.440.776.1-5.327%-
Last 30 away (15)36.938.875.7-1.953%-
Last 10 (10)35.538.173.6-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.872.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.042.473.4-11.49%-
vs Similar (12)38.839.978.8-1.142%-
vs Weaker (7)39.735.475.1+4.386%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.4
50.4%
50.5%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.3
33.3%
32.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws17.412.3
70.7%
70.5%12.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Raplatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapla: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.4
57.6%
50.5%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.3
29.3%
32.1%21.9
🏀 Free throws16.810.8
64.3%
70.5%10.8
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rigas Zelli
LLLLWLWWWW
Rapla
LWWWWLLLWW
#6
League position
#10
+0.8
Net rating
+8.9
103.2
Offensive rating
107.0
102.4
Defensive rating
98.1
50.2%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.3%
3-point %
29.3%
60.3%
Assist %
63.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 107.0Defence102.4 · 98.1Shooting50.2% · 52.4%3-point %33.3% · 29.3%Ball care17.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds27.8% · 31.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Rigas Zelli   ■ Rapla
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rigas Zelli wins
0
Rapla wins
DateGameScore
05/12/23Rapla v Rigas Zelli68-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AParnu64-69
27/02/24HBK Ogre75-83
17/02/24AVEF Riga69-94
14/02/24AVEF Riga77-98
10/02/24HViimsi81-64
07/02/24AVentspils92-100
02/02/24HBK Liepaja90-65
28/01/24ABK Liepaja90-79
24/01/24AKeila KK78-71
19/01/24AValmiera Glass Via84-72
Raplalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/24HVentspils72-76
02/03/24ALatvijas Universitate72-54
28/02/24HTartu Ulikool79-78
21/02/24HBK Ogre72-61
30/01/24HBK Liepaja98-89 OT
24/01/24ABC Kalev/Cramo54-82
20/01/24HKeila KK86-94
17/01/24AParnu61-66
06/01/24HViimsi85-64
22/12/23HTal Tech80-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL59%
HomeLWLWL75%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %59%75%47%
Points / game79.880.879.1
Allowed / game74.171.975.9
Point differential+5.7+8.8+3.2
Avg total153.9152.7154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%42%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Rapla
Latvia-Estonian League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeLWWWL46%
AwayLWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game74.877.172.6
Allowed / game76.778.275.3
Point differential-1.9-1.1-2.7
Avg total151.6155.2147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%15%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %15%15%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Kalev/Cramo2625196%87.469.8+17.7
2 Prometey2622485%87.267.6+19.7
3 VEF Riga2722581%86.471.4+15.0
4 Ventspils2719870%91.984.0+7.9
5 Tartu Ulikool2718967%76.169.0+7.1
6 Rigas Zelli27161159%79.874.1+5.7
7 BK Ogre28161257%79.676.2+3.4
8 Parnu28141450%77.476.4+1.1
9 Tal Tech27131448%78.880.4-1.6
10 Rapla26111542%74.876.7-1.9
11 BK Liepaja27101737%78.281.9-3.7
12 Keila KK2791833%79.885.8-6.0
13 Valmiera Glass Via2662023%74.184.2-10.0
14 Viimsi2652119%67.285.7-18.5
15 Tallinna Kalev2642215%70.389.7-19.4
16 Latvijas Universitate2742315%67.784.7-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rigas Zelli1224231877
Rapla1416212778
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