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Rilski Sportist vs Balkan Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 17 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#1
Record5-0
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game71.6
BulgariaNBLRound 21· Arena Samokov
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rilski Sportist v Balkan
17 Mar 2027
RSP v BAL
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
RSP81
BAL79
06 Apr 2025
RSP103
BAL75
20 Jan 2025
RSP100
BAL90
25 May 2024
RSP102
BAL97
23 May 2024
RSP75
BAL62
23 Apr 2024
RSP89
BAL62
07 Jan 2024
RSP69
BAL64
11 Mar 2023
RSP77
BAL76
15 Oct 2022
RSP89
BAL83
04 Jun 2022
RSP82
BAL86
02 Jun 2022
RSP78
BAL69
11 Apr 2022
RSP78
BAL74
04 Dec 2021
RSP85
BAL73
03 Apr 2021
RSP82
BAL77
13 Mar 2021
RSP90
BAL48
23 Jan 2021
RSP71
BAL76
28 Dec 2019
RSP93
BAL94
23 Dec 2018
RSP92
BAL86
10 Dec 2017
RSP86
BAL71
02 May 2017
RSP82
BAL73
27 Apr 2017
RSP81
BAL79
25 Feb 2017
RSP80
BAL73
17 Feb 2017
RSP68
BAL81
15 Oct 2016
RSP91
BAL58
16 Oct 2015
RSP89
BAL96
16 May 2015
RSP85
BAL68
14 May 2015
RSP80
BAL85
14 Feb 2015
RSP83
BAL88
02 Nov 2013
RSP82
BAL91
26 May 2013
RSP79
BAL77
10 Mar 2013
RSP70
BAL66
22 Dec 2012
RSP60
BAL70
10 Apr 2012
RSP77
BAL61
23 Dec 2011
RSP77
BAL75
08 Apr 2011
RSP101
BAL73
25 Jan 2011
RSP91
BAL70
18 Dec 2010
RSP95
BAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilski Sportist win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
93avg 84
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 84
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
114-76
114
76
+38
112avg 84
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 84
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
86-103
86
103
-17
84avg 84
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
88-79
88
79
+9
76avg 84
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
95-65
95
65
+30
no box
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
86-76
86
76
+10
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
no box
A14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
28-19
32-15
27-26
27-16
22-26
20-16
15-22
13-22
16-16
17-21
22-37
31-29
25-14
20-25
20-17
23-23
17-24
22-20
12-28
19-20
27-16
21-10
25-22
22-17
23-18
25-16
23-23
15-19
16-14
17-22
21-23
28-17
166.0Avg total
84.9Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.874.3165.2+16.583%
Season at home (2)101.077.5178.5+23.5100%
Season away (4)85.872.8158.5+13.075%
Last 10 (10)84.981.1166.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)84.277.6161.8+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.888.8164.6-13.020%
vs Similar ◀ (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
vs Weaker (20)93.279.7172.9+13.580%
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#9
W
91-66
91
66
+25
74avg 78
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#18
L
72-77 OT
72
77
-5
62avg 78
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
101-83
101
83
+18
98avg 78
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#21
L
57-64
57
64
-7
54avg 78
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
84-73
84
73
+11
78avg 78
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
65-76
65
76
-11
52avg 78
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
94-65
94
65
+29
94avg 78
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
78-69
78
69
+9
no box
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#7
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
56-79
56
79
-23
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
28-14
24-15
16-13
12-13
21-16
12-18
24-22
26-22
23-14
26-25
26-22
10-13
15-20
20-16
12-15
22-20
19-15
24-16
19-22
17-25
19-14
14-15
15-22
35-14
17-19
21-20
21-12
18-24
23-15
20-16
17-14
22-19
12-25
22-12
21-15
12-19
20-34
9-19
15-7
149.8Avg total
77.5Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.471.6161.0+17.8100%
Season at home (2)97.574.0171.5+23.5100%
Season away (3)84.070.0154.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.572.3149.8+5.260%
Last 5 (5)74.072.0146.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.480.6148.0-13.114%
vs Similar ◀ (1)79.078.0157.0+1.0100%
vs Weaker (22)88.277.6165.9+10.682%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
Rilski SportistBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#2
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#7
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#34
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Polytechnica
#14
W
48-26
48
26
+22
A07/11
NBL
Sporting CP
#28
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Beroe
#10
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A14/11
NBL
80.4Avg total
42.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.440.785.1+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.942.488.4+3.557%-
Last 30 away (16)43.039.282.2+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.180.4+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.878.4+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.442.880.2-5.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker (20)45.939.585.4+6.465%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botev 2012
#9
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A10/10
NBL
BC Roma
#18
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A13/10
Eurocup
Levski
#12
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H16/10
NBL
Lietkabelis
#21
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H20/10
Eurocup
Yambol
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A23/10
NBL
Manresa
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H27/10
Eurocup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H30/10
NBL
KK Bosna
#23
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/11
Eurocup
Spartak Pleven
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A07/11
NBL
PAOK
#7
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H10/11
Eurocup
77.3Avg total
39.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.881.9+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.140.480.5-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)42.241.283.4+1.064%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.977.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.442.975.3-10.429%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)35.043.078.0-8.00%-
vs Weaker (22)44.140.084.1+4.168%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.2
56.8%
55.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
29.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
71.2%18.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.6
54.5%
55.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.2
30.4%
29.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws16.011.1
69.4%
71.2%11.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rilski Sportist
WWWLWLLWLW
Balkan
LWWWLWLWLW
#3
League position
#1
+3.2
Net rating
+3.6
100.6
Offensive rating
91.7
97.3
Defensive rating
88.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
14.9%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.1%
3-point %
30.4%
62.3%
Assist %
60.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 91.7Defence97.3 · 88.1Shooting53.4% · 50.8%3-point %32.1% · 30.4%Ball care14.9% · 17.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Rilski Sportist   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rilski Sportist wins
4
Balkan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABeroe82-76
11/11/26HSporting CP86-76
07/11/26APolytechnica95-65
03/11/26HKolossos Rhodes70-92
31/10/26HLok. Plovdiv88-79
28/10/26ASCM Craiova86-103
25/10/26ASpartak Pleven70-86
17/10/26HCSKA Sofia114-76
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HPAOK56-79
07/11/26ASpartak Pleven77-71
04/11/26AKK Bosna78-69
30/10/26HCSKA Sofia94-65
27/10/26HManresa65-76
23/10/26AYambol84-73
20/10/26HLietkabelis57-64
16/10/26HLevski101-83
13/10/26ABC Roma72-77 OT
10/10/26ABotev 201291-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rilski Sportist
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game90.8101.085.8
Allowed / game74.377.572.8
Point differential+16.5+23.5+13.0
Avg total165.2178.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Balkan
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.497.584.0
Allowed / game71.674.070.0
Point differential+17.8+23.5+14.0
Avg total161.0171.5154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Botev Academic65183%90.381.0+9.3
5 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
6 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
7 Spartak Pleven64267%81.575.2+6.3
8 Shumen64267%89.588.0+1.5
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
11 CSKA Sofia61517%77.596.7-19.2
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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