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Rilski Sportist vs Balkan Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 69-64
20-10 19-17 15-10 15-27
Position#1
Record9-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game75.1
Rilski Sportist 🏆
Bulgaria
vs
Balkan
Bulgaria
Position#4
Record8-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game79.8
BulgariaNBLRound 15· Arena Samokov
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rilski Sportist v Balkan
17 Mar 2027
RSP v BAL
upcoming
05 Jan 2026
RSP81
BAL79
06 Apr 2025
RSP103
BAL75
20 Jan 2025
RSP100
BAL90
25 May 2024
RSP102
BAL97
23 May 2024
RSP75
BAL62
23 Apr 2024
RSP89
BAL62
07 Jan 2024
RSP69
BAL64
11 Mar 2023
RSP77
BAL76
15 Oct 2022
RSP89
BAL83
04 Jun 2022
RSP82
BAL86
02 Jun 2022
RSP78
BAL69
11 Apr 2022
RSP78
BAL74
04 Dec 2021
RSP85
BAL73
03 Apr 2021
RSP82
BAL77
13 Mar 2021
RSP90
BAL48
23 Jan 2021
RSP71
BAL76
28 Dec 2019
RSP93
BAL94
23 Dec 2018
RSP92
BAL86
10 Dec 2017
RSP86
BAL71
02 May 2017
RSP82
BAL73
27 Apr 2017
RSP81
BAL79
25 Feb 2017
RSP80
BAL73
17 Feb 2017
RSP68
BAL81
15 Oct 2016
RSP91
BAL58
16 Oct 2015
RSP89
BAL96
16 May 2015
RSP85
BAL68
14 May 2015
RSP80
BAL85
14 Feb 2015
RSP83
BAL88
02 Nov 2013
RSP82
BAL91
26 May 2013
RSP79
BAL77
10 Mar 2013
RSP70
BAL66
22 Dec 2012
RSP60
BAL70
10 Apr 2012
RSP77
BAL61
23 Dec 2011
RSP77
BAL75
08 Apr 2011
RSP101
BAL73
25 Jan 2011
RSP91
BAL70
18 Dec 2010
RSP95
BAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rilski Sportist winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Balkan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
82avg 75
H05/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
79-78
79
78
+1
77avg 75
H13/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
65-69
65
69
-4
51avg 75
A20/11
NBL
Levski
#7
W
78-76
78
76
+2
74avg 75
A24/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
79-60
79
60
+19
77avg 75
H29/11
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
90avg 75
H04/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
A08/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
97-70
97
70
+27
98avg 75
A16/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
69-67
69
67
+2
66avg 75
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
93avg 75
A29/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
23-13
20-30
21-15
24-12
12-16
24-20
19-30
15-17
16-13
15-16
19-23
16-22
19-27
19-11
24-16
11-18
22-11
23-14
23-17
31-7
25-25
25-25
15-19
29-15
18-22
20-25
18-23
18-20
25-18
26-19
28-13
24-6
14-14
12-26
19-21
17-20
28-27
29-19
24-21
160.4Avg total
84.2Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.975.1157.1+6.864%
Season at home (7)82.771.1153.9+11.686%
Season away (7)81.179.1160.3+2.043%
Last 10 (10)84.276.2160.4+8.080%
Last 5 (5)91.079.4170.4+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)67.070.5137.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)85.879.0164.8+6.757%
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBalkan
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#29
L
72-90
72
90
-18
63avg 69
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
80-67
80
67
+13
82avg 69
H25/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
74-75
74
75
-1
13avg 69
A29/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
L
86-95
86
95
-9
81avg 69
H03/12
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
63-88
63
88
-25
45avg 69
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
73-75
73
75
-2
68avg 69
A09/12
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 69
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#6
W
96-90 OT
96
90
+6
no box
A17/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
79-75
79
75
+4
73avg 69
H22/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
81-89
81
89
-8
66avg 69
A29/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
10-24
29-21
17-22
28-21
21-18
20-12
11-16
15-21
15-20
24-14
20-20
19-26
25-17
26-23
16-29
12-34
22-18
11-13
18-23
15-20
30-17
20-16
8-22
17-22
14-20
22-17
17-17
17-22
28-23
23-24
18-17
22-21
23-20
23-20
11-14
15-19
17-17
22-27
27-26
159.4Avg total
77.4Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.779.8161.5+1.957%
Season at home (8)84.478.6163.0+5.888%
Season away (6)78.281.3159.5-3.217%
Last 10 (10)77.482.0159.4-4.630%
Last 5 (5)79.881.0160.8-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.680.1157.8-2.550%
vs Similar (4)89.888.2178.0+1.575%
vs Weaker (17)82.175.4157.5+6.871%
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -4.3-4.3
Rilski SportistBalkan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe
#12
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H05/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H13/11
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A20/11
NBL
Levski
#7
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A24/11
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H29/11
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
56-32
56
32
+24
H04/12
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A16/12
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H23/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A29/12
NBL
75.6Avg total
40.9Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.479.5+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.377.6+5.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.940.281.1+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.934.775.6+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)45.834.880.6+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.526.559.0+6.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.739.281.0+2.554%-
This opponent (Balkan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BalkanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#29
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#9
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H25/11
NBL
Beroe
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/11
NBL
CSKA Sofia
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H03/12
NBL
FC Porto
#12
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H06/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A09/12
NBL
Gottingen
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A13/12
FIBA Europe Cup
Shumen
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H22/12
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A29/12
NBL
80.4Avg total
38.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.080.2+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.137.679.7+4.571%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.980.8-1.154%-
Last 10 (10)38.142.380.4-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.279.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.641.682.2-1.050%-
vs Similar (4)43.241.084.2+2.275%-
vs Weaker (17)41.838.179.9+3.771%-
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.7
57.0%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.5
30.7%
31.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
71.1%15.0
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Balkantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Balkan: 68.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.817.8
56.0%
54.3%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.1
29.5%
31.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws12.08.3
69.2%
71.1%8.3
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rilski Sportist
WWWLWWWLWW
Balkan
LWWLLLLLWL
#1
League position
#4
+9.6
Net rating
-9.0
109.2
Offensive rating
101.2
99.6
Defensive rating
110.2
52.7%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
17.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.20
30.7%
3-point %
29.5%
66.8%
Assist %
66.0%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 101.2Defence99.6 · 110.2Shooting52.7% · 50.5%3-point %30.7% · 29.5%Ball care17.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds29.1% · 31.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Rilski Sportist   ■ Balkan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rilski Sportist wins
4
Balkan wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Balkan v Rilski Sportist81-70
11/03/23Rilski Sportist v Balkan77-76 OT
28/12/22Balkan v Rilski Sportist68-83
15/10/22Rilski Sportist v Balkan89-83
03/10/22Balkan v Rilski Sportist60-70
09/06/22Balkan v Rilski Sportist66-54
07/06/22Balkan v Rilski Sportist88-65
04/06/22Rilski Sportist v Balkan82-86
02/06/22Rilski Sportist v Balkan78-69
11/04/22Rilski Sportist v Balkan78-74
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23AShumen98-87
23/12/23HChernomorets69-67
16/12/23AMinyor97-70
08/12/23ASpartak Pleven95-97 OT
04/12/23HYambol96-76
29/11/23HCherno More79-60
24/11/23ALevski78-76
20/11/23AAcademic Plovdiv65-69
13/11/23HCSKA Sofia79-78
05/11/23HBeroe86-82
Balkanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23ACherno More81-89
22/12/23HLevski79-75
17/12/23AShumen96-90 OT
13/12/23AGottingen70-76
09/12/23AAcademic Plovdiv73-75
06/12/23HFC Porto63-88
03/12/23HCSKA Sofia86-95
29/11/23ABeroe74-75
25/11/23HYambol80-67
22/11/23ASporting CP72-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rilski Sportist
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game81.982.781.1
Allowed / game75.171.179.1
Point differential+6.8+11.6+2.0
Avg total157.1153.9160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Balkan
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%88%17%
Points / game81.784.478.2
Allowed / game79.878.681.3
Point differential+1.9+5.8-3.2
Avg total161.5163.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)100% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets1513287%84.372.7+11.5
2 CSKA Sofia1411379%87.276.8+10.4
3 Spartak Pleven1510567%85.879.7+6.1
4 Rilski Sportist149564%81.975.1+6.8
5 Balkan148657%81.779.8+1.9
6 Beroe146843%81.184.4-3.2
7 Yambol146843%80.885.4-4.6
8 Cherno More156940%80.085.0-5.0
9 Minyor156940%75.885.3-9.5
10 Levski1441029%75.378.1-2.9
11 Shumen1541127%83.186.7-3.6
12 Academic Plovdiv1541127%77.384.7-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rilski Sportist2019151569
Balkan1017102764
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