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Rimini vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 95-69
25-20 20-14 27-23 23-12
Position#8
Record12-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Position#19
Record6-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game81.6
ItalySerie A2Round 19· Palasport Flaminio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rimini v Pistoia
24 Jan 2027
RIMI v PIS
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
RIMI95
PIS69
26 Mar 2023
RIMI74
PIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 72
A02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 72
H09/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
72avg 72
A12/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
84-58
84
58
+26
85avg 72
H16/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
78-87
78
87
-9
64avg 72
A22/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
69avg 72
A26/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
92-79
92
79
+13
84avg 72
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
78avg 72
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
74-67
74
67
+7
68avg 72
H17/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
86-77
86
77
+9
77avg 72
A21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
21-25
16-24
28-22
22-20
17-18
22-18
14-16
17-17
24-26
16-20
21-22
19-13
20-22
27-7
18-16
24-21
17-22
17-10
20-34
24-10
17-20
13-24
24-19
31-19
26-12
18-25
17-23
20-23
28-15
11-18
24-12
17-18
20-19
18-17
19-13
18-19
21-22
20-22
27-14
156.1Avg total
81.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.176.4158.6+5.767%
Season at home (8)80.172.2152.4+7.975%
Season away (10)83.779.8163.5+3.960%
Last 10 (10)81.175.0156.1+6.170%
Last 5 (5)82.672.8155.4+9.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)77.777.0154.7+0.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)83.271.9155.1+11.4100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 67
H02/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
74-89
74
89
-15
72avg 67
H09/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 67
A12/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 67
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 67
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
53avg 67
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 67
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 67
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 67
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 67
A21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
12-17
23-30
24-17
23-21
23-22
15-19
13-27
19-21
21-22
19-27
18-22
15-21
19-17
23-18
24-17
9-30
22-13
18-15
22-19
14-24
12-14
17-19
22-21
26-17
24-17
14-23
27-23
27-19
18-29
19-21
8-16
23-25
25-18
14-20
16-18
22-20
21-10
15-19
10-27
156.5Avg total
75.3Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.281.6159.7-3.433%
Season at home (9)79.682.9162.4-3.333%
Season away (9)76.880.2157.0-3.433%
Last 10 (10)75.381.2156.5-5.920%
Last 5 (5)74.880.0154.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.084.4159.4-9.522%
vs Similar (7)80.983.7164.6-2.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.3-2.3
RiminiPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H09/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A22/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A26/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
57-31
57
31
+26
A06/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H14/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H17/12
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A21/12
Serie A2
79.5Avg total
42.1Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.478.8+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.337.780.1+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)42.535.077.5+7.573%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.479.5+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.435.479.8+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (22)42.237.079.1+5.268%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)43.134.877.9+8.488%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H02/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H09/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A12/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/12
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
39.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.179.3-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.741.379.1-3.640%-
Last 30 away (15)38.640.979.5-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.478.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.681.0+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.640.877.3-4.235%-
vs Similar (7)43.442.185.6+1.343%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.216.6
50.0%
50.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.8
39.1%
34.6%32.4
🏀 Free throws20.114.3
71.1%
74.4%14.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.415.6
49.7%
50.8%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
34.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws15.612.9
82.7%
74.4%12.9
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
WWWWWLWLWL
Pistoia
LLLWLLWLLL
#8
League position
#19
+8.1
Net rating
-7.8
113.0
Offensive rating
106.5
104.9
Defensive rating
114.4
53.9%
Effective FG%
51.8%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.8%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.1%
3-point %
36.2%
56.6%
Assist %
55.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 106.5Defence104.9 · 114.4Shooting53.9% · 51.8%3-point %39.1% · 36.2%Ball care15.3% · 15.8%Off. rebounds27.6% · 23.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Rimini   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rimini wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Rimini v Pistoia74-77
18/12/22Pistoia v Rimini79-62
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AForli86-77
17/12/25HCividale74-67
14/12/25HFortitudo Bologna83-68
06/12/25AScafati92-79
26/11/25ACento78-73
22/11/25AAvellino Basket78-87
16/11/25HRuvo Di Puglia84-58
12/11/25ABrindisi78-85
09/11/25HBasket Torino75-72
02/11/25ALibertas Livorno83-84
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ABrindisi68-76
14/12/25HCividale78-81
08/12/25AForli72-85
30/11/25HCento91-80
26/11/25HAvellino Basket65-78
23/11/25AScafati71-77
16/11/25HRoseto81-73
12/11/25AUrania Milano77-92
09/11/25HMestre74-89
02/11/25HFortitudo Bologna76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %67%75%60%
Points / game82.180.183.7
Allowed / game76.472.279.8
Point differential+5.7+7.9+3.9
Avg total158.6152.4163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%38%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game78.279.676.8
Allowed / game81.682.980.2
Point differential-3.4-3.3-3.4
Avg total159.7162.4157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1813572%82.476.7+5.7
2 Rimini1812667%82.176.4+5.7
3 Brindisi1812667%78.172.8+5.2
4 Verona1812667%77.873.7+4.2
5 Libertas Livorno1811761%77.672.3+5.3
6 Fortitudo Bologna1811761%75.971.7+4.3
7 Avellino Basket1811761%81.077.0+4.0
8 Cividale1811761%77.675.6+2.0
9 Scafati1810856%82.378.9+3.3
10 Sebastiani Rieti1810856%79.978.3+1.6
11 Basket Torino1910953%74.673.4+1.2
12 Mestre189950%78.580.1-1.6
13 Blu Basket Bergamo178947%81.482.1-0.7
14 Cento1881044%78.179.2-1.1
15 Pistoia1861233%78.281.6-3.4
16 Forli1861233%76.181.1-5.0
17 JuVi Cremona1861233%73.279.7-6.5
18 Urania Milano1861233%77.083.5-6.5
19 Roseto1841422%79.885.8-5.9
20 Ruvo Di Puglia1841422%73.585.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rimini2520272395
Pistoia2014231269
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