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Forli vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 85-72
19-27 29-18 21-19 16-8
Position#17
Record5-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game80.8
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#19
Record6-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game81.7
ItalySerie A2Round 16· PalaGalassi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Forli v Pistoia
07 Apr 2027
FORL v PIS
upcoming
08 Dec 2025
FORL85
PIS72
16 Oct 2022
FORL76
PIS72
17 Mar 2021
FORL81
PIS72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 69
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 69
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 69
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 69
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 69
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
59-86
59
86
-27
52avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 69
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 69
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 69
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 69
A30/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
21-25
17-23
24-25
19-14
15-18
14-17
36-30
25-19
26-27
19-19
15-15
21-18
23-11
12-14
17-19
26-20
11-8
21-23
22-19
5-16
20-23
17-26
17-21
17-21
22-22
17-24
18-18
15-19
20-23
21-15
16-24
24-24
20-23
17-24
27-20
19-26
26-22
13-15
24-25
158.8Avg total
77.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)75.380.8156.1-5.533%
Season at home (7)79.080.7159.7-1.743%
Season away (8)72.080.9152.9-8.925%
Last 10 (10)77.980.9158.8-3.040%
Last 5 (5)75.086.2161.2-11.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.081.8153.8-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.777.6157.3+2.158%
vs Weaker (1)67.086.0153.0-19.00%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 69
A19/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
85avg 69
H26/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 69
A29/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 69
H02/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
74-89
74
89
-15
72avg 69
H09/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
81-73
81
73
+8
72avg 69
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
71-77
71
77
-6
71avg 69
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
53avg 69
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 69
H30/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
29-18
21-22
16-11
26-24
19-18
18-22
26-27
18-11
18-23
10-22
27-26
17-17
12-17
23-30
24-17
23-21
23-22
15-19
13-27
19-21
21-22
19-27
18-22
15-21
19-17
23-18
24-17
9-30
22-13
18-15
22-19
14-24
12-14
17-19
22-21
26-17
24-17
14-23
27-23
160.1Avg total
78.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.381.7161.0-2.540%
Season at home (8)79.883.1162.9-3.438%
Season away (7)78.780.1158.9-1.443%
Last 10 (10)78.581.6160.1-3.130%
Last 5 (5)77.080.0157.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)74.986.0160.9-11.222%
vs Similar ◀ (7)86.485.3171.7+1.157%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
ForliPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A30/11
Serie A2
78.8Avg total
39.5Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.981.1+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.540.677.1-4.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.378.8+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.881.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.738.474.1-2.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.839.781.5+2.158%-
vs Weaker (1)30.054.084.0-24.00%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A19/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A29/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H02/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H09/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A12/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A23/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H30/11
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
38.8Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.742.580.2-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.142.780.8-4.631%-
Last 30 away (14)37.242.379.5-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.977.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.275.4-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.942.178.0-6.226%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.443.787.1-0.343%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.2
45.8%
50.8%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.811.6
43.3%
34.6%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.113.2
77.2%
74.4%13.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.515.7
49.8%
50.8%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.9
38.2%
34.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.8
78.9%
74.4%13.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
LLLLLWWWWL
Pistoia
WLLWLLLLLW
#17
League position
#19
-3.1
Net rating
-3.8
110.9
Offensive rating
110.0
114.0
Defensive rating
113.8
54.3%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.5%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
24.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
43.3%
3-point %
38.2%
56.3%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 110.0Defence114.0 · 113.8Shooting54.3% · 53.4%3-point %43.3% · 38.2%Ball care14.5% · 15.5%Off. rebounds20.2% · 24.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Forli   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
2
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
08/01/23Pistoia v Forli74-62
16/10/22Forli v Pistoia76-72
17/03/21Forli v Pistoia81-72
20/01/21Pistoia v Forli79-75
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25ARoseto82-88
26/11/25HPesaro88-91
23/11/25AFortitudo Bologna72-81
16/11/25HVerona74-85
12/11/25ALibertas Livorno59-86
09/11/25HUrania Milano80-70
02/11/25ABasket Torino73-62
29/10/25HMestre85-80
25/10/25ABrindisi84-79
19/10/25HScafati82-87
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25HCento91-80
26/11/25HAvellino Basket65-78
23/11/25AScafati71-77
16/11/25HRoseto81-73
12/11/25AUrania Milano77-92
09/11/25HMestre74-89
02/11/25HFortitudo Bologna76-81
29/10/25APesaro73-82
26/10/25HJuVi Cremona89-91
19/10/25ASebastiani Rieti88-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%43%25%
Points / game75.379.072.0
Allowed / game80.880.780.9
Point differential-5.5-1.7-8.9
Avg total156.1159.7152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayWWLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %40%38%43%
Points / game79.379.878.7
Allowed / game81.783.180.1
Point differential-2.5-3.4-1.4
Avg total161.0162.9158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi1511473%78.270.7+7.5
2 Pesaro1611569%82.077.6+4.4
3 Verona1611569%78.373.9+4.4
4 Fortitudo Bologna1510567%76.872.5+4.3
5 Cividale149564%78.275.8+2.4
6 Libertas Livorno1610662%77.972.4+5.5
7 Rimini159660%82.377.6+4.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%80.977.9+3.1
9 Avellino Basket169756%80.477.0+3.4
10 Scafati168850%82.180.1+2.0
11 Cento168850%79.479.3+0.1
12 Basket Torino168850%73.674.1-0.6
13 Blu Basket Bergamo146843%82.782.9-0.2
14 Pistoia156940%79.381.7-2.5
15 Mestre156940%79.181.7-2.6
16 JuVi Cremona1661038%73.580.0-6.5
17 Forli1551033%75.380.8-5.5
18 Urania Milano1551033%78.184.6-6.5
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1641225%74.685.3-10.7
20 Roseto1631319%80.586.8-6.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli1929211685
Pistoia271819872
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