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Pistoia vs Roseto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 81-73
15-21 19-17 23-18 24-17
Position#19
Record4-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game83.5
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#20
Record2-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game88.7
ItalySerie A2Round 12· PalaCarrara
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Roseto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
93-83
93
83
+10
76avg 69
H28/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
77avg 69
A05/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
69-90
69
90
-21
59avg 69
H08/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 69
A12/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
88-73
88
73
+15
84avg 69
A19/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
85avg 69
H26/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
66avg 69
A29/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
70avg 69
H02/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
74-89
74
89
-15
72avg 69
H09/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
77-92
77
92
-15
68avg 69
A12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
19-20
25-26
28-19
16-15
19-19
21-20
21-23
18-13
17-27
16-27
18-23
18-25
17-19
20-22
27-10
22-22
29-18
21-22
16-11
26-24
19-18
18-22
26-27
18-11
18-23
10-22
27-26
17-17
12-17
23-30
24-17
23-21
23-22
15-19
13-27
19-21
21-22
19-27
18-22
165.6Avg total
81.2Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.183.5163.5-3.436%
Season at home (5)80.286.8167.0-6.620%
Season away (6)80.080.7160.7-0.750%
Last 10 (10)81.284.4165.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)77.887.0164.8-9.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)76.688.1164.7-11.520%
vs Similar ◀ (5)86.688.8175.4-2.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
L
91-101
91
101
-10
90avg 78
A27/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
83-92
83
92
-9
75avg 78
A05/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 78
H08/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 78
H12/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 78
A19/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 78
H26/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 78
A29/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
81-93
81
93
-12
78avg 78
H02/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
82avg 78
H09/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 78
A12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
25-22
13-21
26-26
24-25
21-24
21-18
17-25
21-27
18-15
25-25
16-22
25-20
24-28
26-18
16-26
21-18
21-19
14-18
19-31
20-12
24-16
20-31
19-20
21-20
15-23
27-26
15-16
20-25
27-23
14-26
20-19
23-21
28-26
15-21
20-21
6-24
20-21
27-18
28-25
172.3Avg total
82.9Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.288.7171.9-5.518%
Season at home (6)84.587.3171.8-2.833%
Season away (5)81.690.4172.0-8.80%
Last 10 (10)82.989.4172.3-6.510%
Last 5 (5)81.886.8168.6-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)79.486.8166.2-7.515%
vs Similar ◀ (9)85.682.9168.4+2.756%
vs Weaker (8)87.678.6166.2+9.075%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -3.5-3.5
PistoiaRoseto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H08/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A19/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H26/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A29/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H02/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H09/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A12/11
Serie A2
78.4Avg total
39.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.544.182.6-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.245.184.3-5.927%-
Last 30 away (15)37.843.180.9-5.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.278.4+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.278.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)37.443.681.0-6.224%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.046.890.8-2.840%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mestre
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A27/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H12/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H26/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H02/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A12/11
Serie A2
87.2Avg total
43.1Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.681.7+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.138.982.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.481.4-3.521%-
Last 10 (10)43.144.187.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.042.083.0-1.046%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.237.476.7+1.844%-
vs Weaker (8)43.641.885.4+1.938%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.815.8
49.7%
50.8%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.5
39.6%
34.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.916.7
79.9%
74.4%16.7
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.119.2
58.0%
50.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
34.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.518.6
82.7%
74.4%18.6
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLWWLWW
Roseto
LLLLWLLLLL
#19
League position
#20
-5.6
Net rating
-9.0
106.0
Offensive rating
111.5
111.6
Defensive rating
120.5
54.1%
Effective FG%
54.3%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
59.5%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.6%
21.8%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
39.6%
3-point %
32.9%
51.0%
Assist %
58.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.0 · 111.5Defence111.6 · 120.5Shooting54.1% · 54.3%3-point %39.6% · 32.9%Ball care17.9% · 16.6%Off. rebounds21.8% · 24.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Pistoia   ■ Roseto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pistoia wins
0
Roseto wins
No previous meetings.
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25AUrania Milano77-92
09/11/25HMestre74-89
02/11/25HFortitudo Bologna76-81
29/10/25APesaro73-82
26/10/25HJuVi Cremona89-91
19/10/25ASebastiani Rieti88-73
12/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia82-76
08/10/25HLibertas Livorno69-90
05/10/25ABasket Torino91-87 OT
28/09/25HBlu Basket Bergamo93-83
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ARuvo Di Puglia81-88
09/11/25HCividale86-89
02/11/25HAvellino Basket81-93
29/10/25ARimini78-85
26/10/25HSebastiani Rieti83-79
19/10/25ACento75-86
12/10/25HJuVi Cremona91-92
08/10/25HPesaro80-89
05/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo83-92
27/09/25AMestre91-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%20%50%
Points / game80.180.280.0
Allowed / game83.586.880.7
Point differential-3.4-6.6-0.7
Avg total163.5167.0160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL18%
HomeLLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game83.284.581.6
Allowed / game88.787.390.4
Point differential-5.5-2.8-8.8
Avg total171.9171.8172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1210283%84.076.4+7.6
2 Fortitudo Bologna118373%79.671.5+8.1
3 Brindisi117464%78.271.8+6.4
4 Sebastiani Rieti117464%81.276.5+4.7
5 Verona117464%76.072.9+3.1
6 Libertas Livorno127558%78.873.6+5.2
7 Cividale127558%77.675.8+1.8
8 Rimini116555%82.178.8+3.3
9 Avellino Basket116555%79.277.0+2.2
10 Cento116555%78.977.5+1.4
11 Blu Basket Bergamo115645%83.182.3+0.8
12 Scafati115645%79.079.0+0.0
13 Forli115645%73.978.8-4.9
14 JuVi Cremona115645%72.480.4-8.0
15 Mestre114736%79.582.8-3.3
16 Pistoia114736%80.183.5-3.4
17 Basket Torino114736%70.276.0-5.8
18 Ruvo Di Puglia114736%77.084.0-7.0
19 Urania Milano123925%77.284.3-7.2
20 Roseto112918%83.288.7-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1519232481
Roseto2117181773
← all games of the day
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