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Rio Claro vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 101-109 (OT)
22-19 18-23 15-25 26-14 20-28
Position#15
Record4-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Pato 🏆
Brazil
Position#17
Record3-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game79.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Felipe Karam
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rio Claro v Pato
09 Dec 2025
RIO 101
PATO109
02 Feb 2023
RIO 100
PATO93
10 Feb 2022
RIO 79
PATO65
04 Mar 2020
RIO 77
PATO57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Claro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
79-92
79
92
-13
76avg 69
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-68
61
68
-7
53avg 69
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
74-108
74
108
-34
56avg 69
H08/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
99-77
99
77
+22
94avg 69
H12/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
55-95
55
95
-40
38avg 69
A14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
61-74
61
74
-13
47avg 69
A20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 69
A22/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
84-81
84
81
+3
76avg 69
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
78-85
78
85
-7
73avg 69
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
98-95
98
95
+3
94avg 69
H06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
29-23
9-18
23-27
10-14
11-23
19-14
21-17
19-27
20-26
18-30
17-25
24-17
26-11
27-32
22-17
11-24
24-32
11-22
9-17
23-19
7-13
17-24
14-18
17-25
22-20
19-18
14-21
15-16
24-22
23-16
22-27
22-20
22-20
17-30
17-15
26-27
27-29
31-19
14-20
162.0Avg total
76.1Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.389.1167.4-10.829%
Season at home (7)89.692.0181.6-2.443%
Season away (7)67.086.1153.1-19.114%
Last 10 (10)76.185.9162.0-9.830%
Last 5 (5)78.683.8162.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)75.091.1166.0-16.114%
vs Similar ◀ (7)82.979.7162.6+3.157%
vs Weaker (2)100.599.5200.0+1.050%
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 68
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 68
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
75-82
75
82
-7
57avg 68
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
63-101
63
101
-38
42avg 68
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
62-77
62
77
-15
36avg 68
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
82-79
82
79
+3
75avg 68
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
58-86
58
86
-28
49avg 68
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
68-87
68
87
-19
52avg 68
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
57avg 68
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
67-59
67
59
+8
55avg 68
H06/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
16-25
13-12
22-14
22-19
11-20
20-8
17-18
16-20
14-26
16-16
29-20
16-24
14-24
17-24
16-29
20-15
14-18
15-17
13-27
21-19
26-18
12-13
23-29
13-32
19-15
10-18
16-21
12-19
15-17
24-30
17-21
12-25
19-23
22-20
18-18
20-12
18-17
18-18
11-12
147.8Avg total
68.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)70.179.3149.4-9.223%
Season at home (5)71.072.4143.4-1.440%
Season away (8)69.583.6153.1-14.112%
Last 10 (10)68.579.3147.8-10.830%
Last 5 (5)69.279.4148.6-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.884.4157.2-11.76%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.877.1157.9+3.764%
vs Weaker (3)76.782.0158.7-5.333%
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -2.7-2.7
Rio ClaroPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A03/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A05/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H08/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H12/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A20/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/11
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A25/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H04/12
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H06/12
NBB
82.9Avg total
39.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.544.183.6-4.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.545.688.1-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)36.942.879.7-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)39.743.282.9-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.283.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.945.084.0-6.119%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.438.376.7+0.157%-
vs Weaker (2)50.054.5104.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A07/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A09/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H14/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A19/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A22/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/12
NBB
74.4Avg total
33.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.180.8-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.838.076.8+0.850%-
Last 30 away (18)38.644.983.4-6.328%-
Last 10 (10)33.640.874.4-7.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.474.4-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.141.677.7-5.625%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.441.783.1-0.445%-
vs Weaker (3)42.746.389.0-3.767%-
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.216.9
48.0%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.1
34.9%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.413.8
75.0%
72.8%13.8
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.415.5
43.8%
52.2%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.07.6
26.2%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws18.513.5
73.0%
72.8%13.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rio Claro
WLWLLLWLLL
Pato
WLLLWLLLWL
#15
League position
#17
-14.2
Net rating
-14.9
99.5
Offensive rating
89.7
113.7
Defensive rating
104.6
49.8%
Effective FG%
41.8%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.8%
Turnover %
19.4%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.9%
3-point %
26.2%
54.6%
Assist %
53.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence99.5 · 89.7Defence113.7 · 104.6Shooting49.8% · 41.8%3-point %34.9% · 26.2%Ball care19.8% · 19.4%Off. rebounds24.6% · 28.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Rio Claro   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rio Claro wins
2
Pato wins
DateGameScore
02/02/23Rio Claro v Pato100-93
31/10/22Pato v Rio Claro61-59
10/02/22Rio Claro v Pato79-65
13/11/21Pato v Rio Claro72-77
04/03/20Rio Claro v Pato77-57
20/12/19Pato v Rio Claro80-78
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HCearense98-95
04/12/25HUnifacisa78-85
25/11/25AVasco84-81
22/11/25AFlamengo72-84
20/11/25ABotafogo61-74
14/11/25AMogi55-95
12/11/25HCruzeiro99-77
08/11/25HMinas74-108
05/11/25AUniao Corinthians61-68
03/11/25ACaxias do Sul79-92
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HPaulistano67-59
22/11/25ASao Jose71-86
19/11/25ACorinthians Paulista68-87
17/11/25AMogi58-86
14/11/25HCearense82-79
12/11/25HUnifacisa62-77
09/11/25AFlamengo63-101
07/11/25ABotafogo75-82
04/11/25AVasco70-65
29/10/25HCruzeiro69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game78.389.667.0
Allowed / game89.192.086.1
Point differential-10.8-2.4-19.1
Avg total167.4181.6153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW23%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %23%40%12%
Points / game70.171.069.5
Allowed / game79.372.483.6
Point differential-9.2-1.4-14.1
Avg total149.4143.4153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%87.673.8+13.8
2 Minas1412286%85.476.4+9.0
3 Brasilia1311285%84.972.2+12.7
4 Pinheiros119282%84.275.6+8.5
5 Franca1411379%86.973.7+13.2
6 Mogi129375%83.666.2+17.3
7 Corinthians Paulista118373%83.575.1+8.5
8 Sao Jose127558%79.278.2+1.1
9 Paulistano148657%79.975.4+4.5
10 Unifacisa126650%79.879.3+0.4
11 Caxias do Sul136746%72.378.0-5.7
12 Uniao Corinthians125742%76.283.4-7.2
13 Bauru135838%73.676.8-3.2
14 Osasco1441029%75.585.9-10.4
15 Rio Claro1441029%78.389.1-10.8
16 Cearense123925%81.387.3-6.0
17 Pato1331023%70.179.3-9.2
18 Botafogo1431121%71.581.5-10.0
19 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
20 Vasco120120%66.080.2-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Rio Claro2218152620101
Pato1923251428109
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