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Vasco vs Brasilia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 59-81
19-19 9-20 12-21 19-21
Position#20
Record0-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#5
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game70.9
BrazilNBB· Sao Januario Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vasco v Brasilia
23 Nov 2025
VASC59
BRAS81
12 Dec 2024
VASC79
BRAS88
19 Nov 2023
VASC79
BRAS54
07 Mar 2019
VASC78
BRAS94
19 Jan 2017
VASC85
BRAS76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 70
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
76-85
76
85
-9
72avg 70
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
76avg 70
H24/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
57-61
57
61
-4
40avg 70
A27/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
64-81
64
81
-17
57avg 70
A29/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
57-79
57
79
-22
50avg 70
A01/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
65-70
65
70
-5
56avg 70
H04/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
60-69
60
69
-9
49avg 70
A12/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
54-77
54
77
-23
42avg 70
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
61-103
61
103
-42
54avg 70
A17/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
15-23
20-20
26-26
22-25
26-18
10-21
18-21
20-14
15-14
18-20
13-18
20-10
13-19
11-19
13-13
17-29
11-15
21-19
15-18
17-18
14-25
12-23
14-13
19-22
20-11
8-20
18-17
12-12
14-14
14-17
20-26
15-20
15-20
11-19
13-18
15-26
17-22
7-27
22-28
144.9Avg total
65.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)65.279.7144.9-14.50%
Season at home (3)74.380.7155.0-6.30%
Season away (7)61.379.3140.6-18.00%
Last 10 (10)65.279.7144.9-14.50%
Last 5 (5)59.479.6139.0-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.682.9150.5-15.30%
vs Similar (14)78.778.6157.3+0.150%
vs Weaker (3)88.778.7167.3+10.067%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
77-74
77
74
+3
73avg 72
H22/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
109-57
109
57
+52
110avg 72
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
71-54
71
54
+17
66avg 72
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
56avg 72
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
104avg 72
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
79avg 72
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
80-78
80
78
+2
74avg 72
H10/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
79-65
79
65
+14
66avg 72
H14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
82-70
82
70
+12
74avg 72
A18/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
83avg 72
A20/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
26-14
16-18
16-18
31-21
22-14
27-12
29-10
20-13
20-18
14-14
17-9
18-26
14-9
16-18
19-16
26-16
24-23
24-19
22-6
25-22
16-13
16-19
22-25
20-19
21-20
14-22
25-17
23-13
25-15
18-18
13-19
25-22
15-19
19-12
23-17
18-27
23-15
19-24
25-17
154.3Avg total
83.4Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.470.9154.3+12.580%
Season at home (6)80.566.2146.7+14.383%
Season away (4)87.878.0165.8+9.875%
Last 10 (10)83.470.9154.3+12.580%
Last 5 (5)82.878.2161.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.082.5153.5-11.50%
vs Similar (17)73.775.1148.8-1.441%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.372.4158.7+13.980%
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +5.7+5.7
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +5.7+5.7
VascoBrasilia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H24/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A27/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A29/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A01/11
NBB
Pato
#17
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H04/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A12/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A15/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A17/11
NBB
71.0Avg total
33.4Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.338.175.5-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (11)40.336.376.5+4.082%-
Last 30 away (19)35.639.274.8-3.626%-
Last 10 (10)33.437.671.0-4.240%-
Last 5 (5)31.638.069.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.638.772.2-5.133%-
vs Similar (14)39.637.376.9+2.357%-
vs Weaker (3)40.738.379.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H22/10
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H25/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/10
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H01/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A05/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A07/11
NBB
Minas
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H10/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H14/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A18/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A20/11
NBB
79.4Avg total
43.1Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.777.1+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.637.577.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)39.138.177.2+1.046%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.379.4+6.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.079.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.546.078.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (17)36.837.974.6-1.135%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.635.780.3+8.980%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.015.8
45.1%
52.2%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.0
29.0%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws16.911.4
67.5%
72.8%11.4
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 82.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.7
54.8%
52.2%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.010.6
31.2%
32.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.015.4
77.0%
72.8%15.4
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vasco
LLLLLLLLLL
Brasilia
WWWWLWLWWW
#20
League position
#5
-20.6
Net rating
+16.9
87.5
Offensive rating
108.2
108.1
Defensive rating
91.3
44.5%
Effective FG%
50.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
24.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.0%
3-point %
31.2%
70.2%
Assist %
74.9%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence87.5 · 108.2Defence108.1 · 91.3Shooting44.5% · 50.7%3-point %29.0% · 31.2%Ball care24.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.7% · 27.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)0% · 80%
■ Vasco   ■ Brasilia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vasco wins
3
Brasilia wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Brasilia v Vasco77-79
12/12/24Vasco v Brasilia79-88
08/03/24Brasilia v Vasco84-89
19/11/23Vasco v Brasilia79-54
07/03/19Vasco v Brasilia78-94
13/10/18Brasilia v Vasco76-77
19/01/17Vasco v Brasilia85-76
12/11/16Brasilia v Vasco95-72
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/25AFranca61-103
15/11/25ABauru54-77
12/11/25AOsasco60-69
04/11/25HPato65-70
01/11/25AMogi57-79
29/10/25ACorinthians Paulista64-81
27/10/25ASao Jose57-61
24/10/25HUnifacisa80-84 OT
23/10/25ABotafogo76-85
18/10/25HCearense78-88
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25AFlamengo85-83
18/11/25ABotafogo82-70
14/11/25HCruzeiro79-65
10/11/25HMinas80-78
07/11/25AUniao Corinthians88-95 OT
05/11/25ACaxias do Sul96-64
01/11/25HPinheiros67-69
30/10/25HPaulistano71-54
25/10/25HRio Claro109-57
22/10/25HOsasco77-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.274.361.3
Allowed / game79.780.779.3
Point differential-14.5-6.3-18.0
Avg total144.9155.0140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %10%33%0%
Brasilia
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%83%75%
Points / game83.480.587.8
Allowed / game70.966.278.0
Point differential+12.5+14.3+9.8
Avg total154.3146.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1211192%89.073.7+15.3
2 Minas119282%85.476.2+9.2
3 Mogi108280%84.365.7+18.6
4 Brasilia108280%83.470.9+12.5
5 Corinthians Paulista97278%86.475.4+11.0
6 Pinheiros97278%82.375.1+7.2
7 Franca118373%86.573.3+13.2
8 Sao Jose106460%77.575.0+2.5
9 Paulistano116555%80.176.8+3.3
10 Unifacisa105550%79.179.0+0.1
11 Caxias do Sul84450%72.277.5-5.2
12 Bauru115645%71.474.0-2.6
13 Uniao Corinthians94544%75.785.8-10.1
14 Cearense93633%80.184.8-4.7
15 Botafogo113827%70.880.1-9.3
16 Cruzeiro113827%76.586.1-9.6
17 Osasco112918%75.587.5-12.0
18 Rio Claro112918%76.089.6-13.6
19 Pato1221017%70.381.0-10.7
20 Vasco100100%65.279.7-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vasco199121959
Brasilia1920212181
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