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Rogaska vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 May 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-72
18-21 17-19 23-19 29-13
Position#4
Record16-11
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game81.0
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#3
Record20-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game77.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMLiga Nova KBM - Quarter-finals
Other2021-22
Meetings · Rogaska v Sencur
26 Sep 2026
ROGA75
SENC92
22 Nov 2025
ROGA62
SENC88
26 Oct 2024
ROGA79
SENC67
28 Oct 2023
ROGA84
SENC67
21 Jan 2023
ROGA76
SENC80
07 May 2022
ROGA87
SENC72
29 Jan 2022
ROGA86
SENC78
13 Mar 2021
ROGA76
SENC68
30 Dec 2020
ROGA89
SENC85
26 Oct 2019
ROGA66
SENC57
05 Jan 2019
ROGA85
SENC81
03 Mar 2018
ROGA73
SENC55
18 Jan 2018
ROGA72
SENC77
18 Nov 2017
ROGA70
SENC58
11 Mar 2017
ROGA82
SENC84
17 Jan 2017
ROGA87
SENC72
13 Feb 2016
ROGA72
SENC62
03 Jan 2015
ROGA69
SENC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#9
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
60-93
60
93
-33
H21/03
ABA League 2
Spars Ilidza
#7
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A24/03
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#13
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H26/03
ABA League 2
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A09/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#10
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#11
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#9
W
116-99
116
99
+17
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#10
W
96-90
96
90
+6
A27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#3
W
96-92
96
92
+4
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
32-27
27-12
22-22
13-22
16-14
15-28
16-29
19-28
20-25
20-17
19-23
22-16
23-21
18-29
26-15
12-31
17-25
27-14
21-19
19-26
24-16
21-20
28-14
20-23
27-21
18-21
15-25
28-27
29-23
31-22
28-27
20-24
23-20
22-21
31-25
20-26
24-21
21-24
31-21
176.7Avg total
88.1Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.781.0163.7+1.759%
Season at home (13)84.377.1161.4+7.269%
Season away (14)81.184.6165.8-3.550%
Last 10 (10)88.188.6176.7-0.560%
Last 5 (5)96.089.4185.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.285.8165.0-6.733%
vs Similar (7)83.180.7163.9+2.457%
vs Weaker (11)88.481.0169.4+7.482%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
70-64
70
64
+6
A14/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H19/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H02/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
91-51
91
51
+40
A13/04
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#4
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
23-16
19-18
9-8
16-24
19-20
21-13
17-26
18-31
18-13
16-28
23-16
20-16
21-14
18-22
8-17
21-14
23-18
17-24
16-18
28-20
27-13
18-9
18-9
24-25
22-22
13-13
25-23
18-13
21-32
21-20
23-15
17-15
13-20
21-20
24-18
26-20
21-24
24-21
21-31
154.8Avg total
78.7Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)82.977.2160.1+5.769%
Season at home (15)87.979.3167.1+8.673%
Season away (14)77.674.9152.5+2.664%
Last 10 (10)78.776.1154.8+2.660%
Last 5 (5)85.076.6161.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.485.0157.4-12.640%
vs Similar (11)81.585.6167.2-4.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)87.677.3164.9+10.371%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.3+0.3
RogaskaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polzela
#9
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H21/03
ABA League 2
Spars Ilidza
#7
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A24/03
ABA League 2
Lovcen Cetinje
#13
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H26/03
ABA League 2
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
L
29-56
29
56
-27
A09/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#10
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H13/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#11
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#10
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
88.2Avg total
42.4Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.183.4-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.740.081.7+1.762%-
Last 30 away (17)41.043.884.8-2.835%-
Last 10 (10)42.445.888.2-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)46.845.492.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.042.682.6-2.642%-
vs Similar (7)41.341.783.0-0.457%-
vs Weaker (11)42.741.984.6+0.845%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A14/03
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H19/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H02/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H06/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A13/04
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#4
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H04/05
Liga Nova KBM
80.7Avg total
41.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.982.6+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.941.986.8+3.062%-
Last 30 away (14)38.139.777.9-1.629%-
Last 10 (10)41.539.280.7+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.884.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
vs Similar (11)38.342.380.5-4.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)45.440.385.7+5.164%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rogaska wins
3
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
04/05/22Sencur v Rogaska92-96
29/01/22Rogaska v Sencur86-78
13/11/21Sencur v Rogaska92-62
17/04/21Sencur v Rogaska87-90
13/03/21Rogaska v Sencur76-68
30/12/20Rogaska v Sencur89-85 OT
17/10/20Sencur v Rogaska78-77
04/01/20Sencur v Rogaska92-53
26/10/19Rogaska v Sencur66-57
05/01/19Rogaska v Sencur85-81
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/22ASencur96-92
27/04/22AZlatorog Lasko96-90
23/04/22HPolzela116-99
16/04/22AKK Triglav Kranj80-90
13/04/22HZlatorog Lasko92-76
09/04/22ATajfun Sentjur77-89
26/03/22HLovcen Cetinje89-81
24/03/22ASpars Ilidza78-93
21/03/22HHelios Domzale60-93
16/03/22APolzela97-83
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/22HRogaska92-96
30/04/22AHelios Domzale75-73
27/04/22HPerspektiva Ilirija83-80
20/04/22HCedevita Olimpija84-83
13/04/22ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek91-51
06/04/22HKK Krka Novo mesto77-74
02/04/22HHelios Domzale67-69
29/03/22APerspektiva Ilirija75-88
19/03/22HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek73-83
14/03/22ACedevita Olimpija70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW59%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%69%50%
Points / game82.784.381.1
Allowed / game81.077.184.6
Point differential+1.7+7.2-3.5
Avg total163.7161.4165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%54%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%8%7%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayWWLWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %69%73%64%
Points / game82.987.977.6
Allowed / game77.279.374.9
Point differential+5.7+8.6+2.6
Avg total160.1167.1152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)60% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2922776%86.776.2+10.5
2 Helios Domzale2922776%80.671.4+9.2
3 Sencur2920969%82.977.2+5.7
4 Rogaska27161159%82.781.0+1.7
5 Perspektiva Ilirija29171259%82.679.3+3.3
6 Tajfun Sentjur27131448%81.480.8+0.6
7 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek29131645%80.083.3-3.3
8 Polzela2691735%83.988.6-4.7
9 Cedevita Olimpija113827%74.983.0-8.1
10 Zlatorog Lasko2652119%73.183.9-10.8
11 KK Triglav Kranj2642215%69.481.2-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska1817232987
Sencur2119191372
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