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Rogaska vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 79-67
18-15 23-20 16-18 22-14
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game75.5
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game78.0
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 5· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2024-25
Meetings · Rogaska v Sencur
26 Sep 2026
ROGA75
SENC92
22 Nov 2025
ROGA62
SENC88
26 Oct 2024
ROGA79
SENC67
28 Oct 2023
ROGA84
SENC67
21 Jan 2023
ROGA76
SENC80
07 May 2022
ROGA87
SENC72
29 Jan 2022
ROGA86
SENC78
13 Mar 2021
ROGA76
SENC68
30 Dec 2020
ROGA89
SENC85
26 Oct 2019
ROGA66
SENC57
05 Jan 2019
ROGA85
SENC81
03 Mar 2018
ROGA73
SENC55
18 Jan 2018
ROGA72
SENC77
18 Nov 2017
ROGA70
SENC58
11 Mar 2017
ROGA82
SENC84
17 Jan 2017
ROGA87
SENC72
13 Feb 2016
ROGA72
SENC62
03 Jan 2015
ROGA69
SENC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
79-46
79
46
+33
78avg 72
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
82-79
82
79
+3
72avg 72
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
76-80 OT
76
80
-4
65avg 72
A08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
80-70
80
70
+10
74avg 72
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-99
69
99
-30
66avg 72
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
84-68
84
68
+16
74avg 72
H29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
65-82
65
82
-17
51avg 72
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
94-66
94
66
+28
103avg 72
H05/10
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
L
60-79
60
79
-19
48avg 72
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
78avg 72
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
20-12
21-13
20-8
23-17
21-25
19-17
19-20
23-20
8-8
11-14
22-22
15-19
27-19
17-10
21-22
22-18
11-32
16-19
20-30
13-15
27-20
23-10
21-23
22-17
13-22
16-17
14-26
23-27
23-13
18-13
30-13
19-23
9-9
21-25
11-22
22-18
23-22
15-20
19-15
151.2Avg total
76.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.575.5150.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)94.066.0160.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)68.078.7146.7-10.733%
Last 10 (10)76.874.4151.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)76.474.0150.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.393.0166.3-19.717%
vs Similar ◀ (16)78.977.8156.7+1.250%
vs Weaker (8)84.876.0160.8+8.862%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
98-78
98
78
+20
94avg 65
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
60avg 65
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
93-81
93
81
+12
82avg 65
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 65
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
76-103
76
103
-27
62avg 65
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
57-79
57
79
-22
42avg 65
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
91-100 OT
91
100
-9
80avg 65
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
82avg 65
A12/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#31
W
108-78
108
78
+30
no box
A15/10
Slovenian Cup
LTH Castings
#10
W
77-64
77
64
+13
66avg 65
H18/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
26-16
28-14
25-17
24-12
13-12
18-17
20-26
21-21
25-24
27-13
20-23
28-26
15-20
21-28
22-24
10-24
22-29
23-24
21-26
16-21
11-12
16-27
14-19
24-17
22-24
15-28
25-17
18-14
24-18
22-19
19-18
24-25
25-17
35-19
24-17
27-22
17-11
18-12
15-19
166.1Avg total
84.4Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.078.0155.0-1.050%
Season at home (2)84.082.0166.0+2.050%
Season away (2)70.074.0144.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)84.481.7166.1+2.760%
Last 5 (5)83.278.0161.2+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.5-13.08%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.876.2153.1+0.658%
vs Weaker (5)83.471.4154.8+12.080%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.1-0.1
RogaskaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H23/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A29/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A08/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H05/10
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#10
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
75.1Avg total
38.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.079.8-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.039.981.9+2.164%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.177.9-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)38.236.975.1+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.276.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.744.080.7-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.439.278.6+0.156%-
vs Weaker (8)43.038.581.5+4.562%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A02/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H15/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A12/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#31
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/10
Slovenian Cup
LTH Castings
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/10
Liga Nova KBM
80.7Avg total
41.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.781.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.040.983.9+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.578.0-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.139.680.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.277.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.843.781.5-5.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.239.881.0+1.367%-
vs Weaker (5)42.235.477.6+6.860%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.7
51.8%
53.3%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.0
32.9%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.312.4
71.7%
72.0%12.4
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.723.4
50.1%
53.3%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.2
27.2%
32.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws17.512.2
69.7%
72.0%12.2
They take 73.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
WLWLWLWLWW
Sencur
WWWLLLLWWW
#7
League position
#5
+2.9
Net rating
+1.1
99.0
Offensive rating
101.4
96.2
Defensive rating
100.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
46.7%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
22.2%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.9%
3-point %
27.2%
65.7%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 101.4Defence96.2 · 100.3Shooting50.9% · 46.7%3-point %32.9% · 27.2%Ball care22.2% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Rogaska   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rogaska wins
6
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
02/03/24Sencur v Rogaska69-61
05/01/24Sencur v Rogaska74-73
28/10/23Rogaska v Sencur84-67
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
05/11/22Sencur v Rogaska86-59
07/05/22Rogaska v Sencur87-72
04/05/22Sencur v Rogaska92-96
29/01/22Rogaska v Sencur86-78
13/11/21Sencur v Rogaska92-62
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/24ATajfun Sentjur79-75
14/10/24ALTH Castings60-79
05/10/24HZlatorog Lasko94-66
27/09/24APerspektiva Ilirija65-82
29/04/24HPolzela84-68
20/04/24AHelios Domzale69-99
15/04/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek80-70
08/04/24ALTH Castings76-80 OT
29/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija82-79
23/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj79-46
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24HLTH Castings77-64
15/10/24AGorica108-78
12/10/24AZlatorog Lasko83-69
07/10/24HPerspektiva Ilirija91-100 OT
30/09/24AHelios Domzale57-79
19/05/24ACedevita Olimpija76-103
15/05/24HCedevita Olimpija86-98
08/05/24HPerspektiva Ilirija93-81
02/05/24APerspektiva Ilirija75-67
27/04/24HTajfun Sentjur98-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game74.594.068.0
Allowed / game75.566.078.7
Point differential-1.0+28.0-10.7
Avg total150.0160.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game77.084.070.0
Allowed / game78.082.074.0
Point differential-1.0+2.0-4.0
Avg total155.0166.0144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek550100%79.673.0+6.6
2 KK Krka Novo mesto43175%84.571.2+13.2
3 Perspektiva Ilirija53260%82.077.0+5.0
4 Helios Domzale42250%71.265.8+5.5
5 Rogaska42250%74.575.5-1.0
6 Sencur42250%77.078.0-1.0
7 Tajfun Sentjur42250%70.278.5-8.2
8 Zlatorog Lasko41325%74.283.8-9.5
9 LTH Castings51420%71.875.2-3.4
10 KK Triglav Kranj3030%61.373.7-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska1823162279
Sencur1520181467
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