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Rogaska vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-67
25-14 20-12 11-22 28-19
Position#8
Record1-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game69.0
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game82.5
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 5· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rogaska v Sencur
26 Sep 2026
ROGA75
SENC92
22 Nov 2025
ROGA62
SENC88
26 Oct 2024
ROGA79
SENC67
28 Oct 2023
ROGA84
SENC67
21 Jan 2023
ROGA76
SENC80
07 May 2022
ROGA87
SENC72
29 Jan 2022
ROGA86
SENC78
13 Mar 2021
ROGA76
SENC68
30 Dec 2020
ROGA89
SENC85
26 Oct 2019
ROGA66
SENC57
05 Jan 2019
ROGA85
SENC81
03 Mar 2018
ROGA73
SENC55
18 Jan 2018
ROGA72
SENC77
18 Nov 2017
ROGA70
SENC58
11 Mar 2017
ROGA82
SENC84
17 Jan 2017
ROGA87
SENC72
13 Feb 2016
ROGA72
SENC62
03 Jan 2015
ROGA69
SENC60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
H29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
A06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
56-94
56
94
-38
no box
H14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
96-79
96
79
+17
96avg 82
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Crnomelj
#31
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
A10/10
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 82
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 82
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
18-23
21-22
22-19
30-25
23-26
20-16
21-17
28-21
18-15
20-29
26-22
14-26
27-17
21-23
9-23
11-20
22-22
8-24
15-28
–
–
–
–
22-23
27-18
18-20
29-18
21-9
26-19
25-22
20-16
21-25
25-25
17-20
21-21
20-25
22-11
22-15
16-35
153.5Avg total
75.5Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)65.069.0134.0-4.025%
Season at home (2)88.082.5170.5+5.550%
Season away (2)42.055.597.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)75.578.0153.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)70.468.4138.8+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.988.4162.3-14.414%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.875.3155.1+4.582%
vs Weaker (4)85.885.8171.5+0.025%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
76-97
76
97
-21
no box
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H16/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
64-72
64
72
-8
no box
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
no box
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 68
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
95-68
95
68
+27
88avg 68
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#11
L
78-82 OT
78
82
-4
70avg 68
H11/10
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 68
A13/10
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
72-108
72
108
-36
50avg 68
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 68
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-26
12-29
28-21
13-21
23-14
12-20
21-17
31-21
16-16
17-26
17-19
14-11
25-27
19-22
11-18
15-24
23-20
8-24
16-14
17-18
19-20
27-16
29-22
20-10
16-20
17-20
21-17
15-12
22-19
19-12
18-21
17-19
17-28
18-27
18-25
19-28
22-22
22-21
20-17
20-18
158.1Avg total
76.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.882.5161.2-3.850%
Season at home (2)89.573.0162.5+16.5100%
Season away (2)68.092.0160.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)76.681.5158.1-4.940%
Last 5 (5)81.081.4162.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.576.9145.4-8.425%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.180.7159.8-1.655%
vs Weaker (11)81.671.1152.7+10.591%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.1-0.1
RogaskaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H14/05
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Crnomelj
#31
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A10/10
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
86.0Avg total
44.9Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.041.682.6-0.552%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.142.886.9+1.357%-
Last 30 away (15)38.240.478.6-2.247%-
Last 10 (9)44.941.186.0+3.867%-
Last 5 (5)43.439.482.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.444.882.1-7.421%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.238.883.0+5.480%-
vs Weaker (4)44.540.585.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H16/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Pelister
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H11/10
ABA League 2
Helios Domzale
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A13/10
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#7
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
80.6Avg total
37.7Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.177.4-0.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.136.775.8+2.465%-
Last 30 away (13)37.242.379.5-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.980.6-5.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.080.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.040.975.9-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.941.679.5-3.745%-
vs Weaker (11)41.035.476.4+5.673%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.723.0
62.7%
52.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.7
29.5%
33.0%23.0
🏀 Free throws23.017.0
73.9%
74.0%17.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.3 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.020.7
50.4%
52.9%41.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.3
26.2%
33.0%22.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.8
70.9%
74.0%13.8
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/6 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LLWWLLLWWW
Sencur
WLWLWLLLWL
#8
League position
#5
+2.6
Net rating
-3.2
110.1
Offensive rating
105.8
107.5
Defensive rating
109.0
55.1%
Effective FG%
45.9%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
22.0%
Turnover %
15.7%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
40.2%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.28
29.5%
3-point %
26.2%
66.3%
Assist %
56.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.1 · 105.8Defence107.5 · 109.0Shooting55.1% · 45.9%3-point %29.5% · 26.2%Ball care22.0% · 15.7%Off. rebounds33.7% · 40.2%Free throws0.37 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Rogaska   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Rogaska wins
4
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
05/11/22Sencur v Rogaska86-59
07/05/22Rogaska v Sencur87-72
04/05/22Sencur v Rogaska92-96
29/01/22Rogaska v Sencur86-78
13/11/21Sencur v Rogaska92-62
17/04/21Sencur v Rogaska87-90
13/03/21Rogaska v Sencur76-68
30/12/20Rogaska v Sencur89-85 OT
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HTajfun Sentjur80-86
14/10/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-91
10/10/23ACrnomelj92-66
07/10/23HLTH Castings96-79
30/09/23APerspektiva Ilirija0-20
14/05/23HHelios Domzale56-94
11/05/23AHelios Domzale71-89
06/05/23ATajfun Sentjur92-87
29/04/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek94-84
23/04/23HZlatorog Lasko90-84
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-78
16/10/23ALTH Castings72-108
13/10/23AHelios Domzale76-71
11/10/23HPelister78-82 OT
07/10/23HPerspektiva Ilirija95-68
30/09/23AKK Triglav Kranj64-76
21/05/23ACedevita Olimpija70-91
19/05/23HCedevita Olimpija64-72
16/05/23HPerspektiva Ilirija87-72
14/05/23APerspektiva Ilirija76-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game65.088.042.0
Allowed / game69.082.555.5
Point differential-4.0+5.5-13.5
Avg total134.0170.597.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game78.889.568.0
Allowed / game82.573.092.0
Point differential-3.8+16.5-24.0
Avg total161.2162.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto550100%95.071.2+23.8
2 Helios Domzale440100%87.076.2+10.8
3 Tajfun Sentjur54180%75.478.0-2.6
4 Sencur42250%78.882.5-3.8
5 LTH Castings52340%89.687.4+2.2
6 Perspektiva Ilirija52340%68.070.4-2.4
7 KK Triglav Kranj52340%66.070.2-4.2
8 Rogaska41325%65.069.0-4.0
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek41325%82.890.2-7.5
10 Polzela5050%77.690.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2520112884
Sencur1412221967
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