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Rogaska vs Tajfun Sentjur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-86
20-25 22-11 22-15 16-35
Position#8
Record1-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game60.0
Allowed / game63.3
vs
Position#9
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game83.7
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 4· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rogaska v Tajfun Sentjur
21 Nov 2026
ROGA v TSE
upcoming
08 Dec 2025
ROGA72
TSE97
06 Jan 2025
ROGA70
TSE68
09 Mar 2024
ROGA87
TSE75
21 Oct 2023
ROGA80
TSE86
22 Nov 2022
ROGA75
TSE88
08 Oct 2022
ROGA88
TSE90
05 Mar 2022
ROGA94
TSE77
23 Feb 2022
ROGA97
TSE86
26 Sep 2020
ROGA94
TSE55
12 Jan 2020
ROGA83
TSE70
22 Dec 2018
ROGA88
TSE74
17 Mar 2018
ROGA84
TSE75
09 Dec 2017
ROGA84
TSE82
21 Jan 2017
ROGA77
TSE60
07 May 2016
ROGA64
TSE83
26 May 2015
ROGA57
TSE65
22 May 2015
ROGA81
TSE73
28 Mar 2015
ROGA71
TSE66
18 Oct 2014
ROGA88
TSE95
05 Mar 2014
ROGA76
TSE60
09 Mar 2013
ROGA79
TSE75
03 Mar 2012
ROGA71
TSE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tajfun Sentjur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
73-92
73
92
-19
no box
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
H29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
92-87
92
87
+5
no box
A06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
56-94
56
94
-38
no box
H14/05
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
0-20
0
20
-20
no box
A30/09
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
96-79
96
79
+17
96avg 85
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Crnomelj
#31
W
92-66
92
66
+26
no box
A10/10
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
75avg 85
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
24-28
17-20
18-16
29-20
18-23
21-22
22-19
30-25
23-26
20-16
21-17
28-21
18-15
20-29
26-22
14-26
27-17
21-23
9-23
11-20
22-22
8-24
15-28
–
–
–
–
22-23
27-18
18-20
29-18
21-9
26-19
25-22
20-16
21-25
25-25
17-20
21-21
153.4Avg total
74.8Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)60.063.3123.3-3.333%
Season at home (1)96.079.0175.0+17.0100%
Season away (2)42.055.597.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)74.878.6153.4-3.850%
Last 5 (5)65.670.0135.6-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.788.2161.9-14.513%
vs Similar (11)79.875.3155.1+4.582%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.785.7173.3+2.033%
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tajfun SentjurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSentjur
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#9
W
91-75
91
75
+16
no box
H01/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
no box
A19/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
no box
A27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
65-91
65
91
-26
no box
A15/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
55-111
55
111
-56
34avg 66
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
94-67
94
67
+27
89avg 66
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 66
A13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
17-21
28-21
24-12
34-16
18-30
9-20
25-27
26-22
10-22
22-19
11-19
14-23
19-16
24-24
19-27
21-28
15-18
29-20
22-26
16-22
27-15
20-20
11-24
16-20
12-27
18-26
19-18
10-28
9-26
22-34
14-23
21-21
27-15
24-9
22-22
20-19
26-14
17-21
15-19
163.0Avg total
77.5Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.783.7159.3-8.067%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)75.783.7159.3-8.067%
Last 10 (10)77.585.5163.0-8.030%
Last 5 (5)73.284.6157.8-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.184.8159.8-9.719%
vs Similar (7)80.482.1162.6-1.729%
vs Weaker (7)82.479.0161.4+3.471%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
RogaskaTajfun Sentjur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A16/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H23/04
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H29/04
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H14/05
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Crnomelj
#31
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A10/10
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A14/10
Liga Nova KBM
87.8Avg total
44.4Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.941.882.7-0.848%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.943.287.1+0.650%-
Last 30 away (15)38.240.478.6-2.247%-
Last 10 (9)44.443.387.8+1.156%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.544.682.1-7.120%-
vs Similar (10)44.238.883.0+5.480%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)45.342.087.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tajfun SentjurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LTH Castings
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A19/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H22/04
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A27/04
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/05
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A15/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
19-54
19
54
-35
A27/09
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
48-36
48
36
+12
A09/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A13/10
Liga Nova KBM
80.4Avg total
38.0Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.640.679.2-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.839.277.0-1.533%-
Last 30 away (18)39.141.680.7-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)38.042.480.4-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.478.2-4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.140.578.6-2.444%-
vs Similar (7)36.740.477.1-3.729%-
vs Weaker (7)41.441.182.6+0.343%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.023.0
63.9%
52.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.57.5
28.3%
33.0%22.5
🏀 Free throws27.020.5
75.9%
74.0%20.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tajfun Sentjurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tajfun Sentjur: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.317.3
57.1%
52.9%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.710.7
31.7%
33.0%32.0
🏀 Free throws12.78.3
65.8%
74.0%8.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/3 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LWWLLLWWWL
Tajfun Sentjur
WWLLLLLLLW
#8
League position
#9
+6.4
Net rating
-11.1
114.1
Offensive rating
96.4
107.7
Defensive rating
107.5
54.8%
Effective FG%
52.1%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
21.9%
36.4%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.20
28.3%
3-point %
31.7%
65.6%
Assist %
61.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 96.4Defence107.7 · 107.5Shooting54.8% · 52.1%3-point %28.3% · 31.7%Ball care20.4% · 21.9%Off. rebounds36.4% · 24.5%Free throws0.43 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Rogaska   ■ Tajfun Sentjur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rogaska wins
5
Tajfun Sentjur wins
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-91
10/10/23ACrnomelj92-66
07/10/23HLTH Castings96-79
30/09/23APerspektiva Ilirija0-20
14/05/23HHelios Domzale56-94
11/05/23AHelios Domzale71-89
06/05/23ATajfun Sentjur92-87
29/04/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek94-84
23/04/23HZlatorog Lasko90-84
16/04/23ASencur73-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/23APolzela78-73
09/10/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek94-67
27/09/23AKK Krka Novo mesto55-111
15/05/23ACedevita Olimpija65-91
11/05/23HCedevita Olimpija74-81
06/05/23HRogaska87-92
27/04/23ASencur76-90
22/04/23HHelios Domzale69-82
19/04/23AKK Krka Novo mesto86-93
01/04/23HLTH Castings91-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game60.096.042.0
Allowed / game63.379.055.5
Point differential-3.3+17.0-13.5
Avg total123.3175.097.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tajfun Sentjur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
Home--
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %67%-67%
Points / game75.7-75.7
Allowed / game83.7-83.7
Point differential-8.0--8.0
Avg total159.3-159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto440100%94.566.5+28.0
2 Helios Domzale440100%87.076.2+10.8
3 Tajfun Sentjur32167%75.783.7-8.0
4 LTH Castings42250%89.585.0+4.5
5 Sencur42250%78.882.5-3.8
6 Rogaska31233%60.063.3-3.3
7 KK Triglav Kranj31233%66.773.0-6.3
8 Perspektiva Ilirija41325%61.067.2-6.2
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek41325%82.890.2-7.5
10 Polzela3030%79.095.7-16.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2022221680
Tajfun Sentjur2511153586
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