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Sencur vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-73
28-14 28-24 20-17 16-18
Position#4
Record14-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game73.3
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#6
Record10-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.1
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 24
Other2022-23
Meetings · Sencur v Rogaska
05 Dec 2026
SENC v ROGA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SENC79
ROGA78
14 Feb 2026
SENC82
ROGA61
10 Jan 2025
SENC92
ROGA68
02 Mar 2024
SENC69
ROGA61
05 Jan 2024
SENC74
ROGA73
16 Apr 2023
SENC92
ROGA73
05 Nov 2022
SENC86
ROGA59
04 May 2022
SENC92
ROGA96
13 Nov 2021
SENC92
ROGA62
17 Apr 2021
SENC87
ROGA90
17 Oct 2020
SENC78
ROGA77
04 Jan 2020
SENC92
ROGA53
27 Oct 2018
SENC79
ROGA81
14 Apr 2018
SENC75
ROGA82
03 Feb 2018
SENC79
ROGA64
08 Jan 2018
SENC78
ROGA52
10 Jan 2017
SENC75
ROGA76
10 Dec 2016
SENC63
ROGA77
28 Nov 2015
SENC72
ROGA70
22 Oct 2014
SENC61
ROGA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#2
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
H16/02
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#10
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H03/03
Liga Nova KBM
Osijek
#14
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A06/03
ABA League 2
Gorica
#12
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H08/03
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#5
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A10/03
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#9
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
91-72
91
72
+19
H19/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
W
75-73
75
73
+2
A25/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
71-53
71
53
+18
H03/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
8-22
21-18
7-14
19-16
15-23
16-29
19-22
20-14
21-23
27-8
15-23
20-23
22-21
25-16
17-17
18-17
19-20
21-20
16-15
12-23
12-21
13-15
24-9
20-16
11-20
18-24
25-21
28-19
24-21
18-20
21-12
15-17
17-21
23-16
20-19
22-11
15-15
17-15
17-12
146.9Avg total
73.9Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.073.3151.3+4.661%
Season at home (12)80.072.8152.8+7.267%
Season away (11)75.774.0149.7+1.755%
Last 10 (10)73.973.0146.9+0.960%
Last 5 (5)74.469.4143.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.274.9143.1-6.817%
vs Similar (2)83.083.0166.0+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.473.1153.4+7.375%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A15/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A11/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
L
99-102 OT
99
102
-3
A11/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
W
94-93
94
93
+1
H19/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A24/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H04/04
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
9-20
16-17
16-24
18-27
23-15
16-22
19-16
14-16
12-17
18-25
13-29
26-20
24-15
26-30
26-24
17-23
12-16
31-14
27-31
24-21
18-28
29-27
16-18
33-25
14-20
18-26
29-23
28-21
26-28
19-24
21-20
23-18
17-19
12-29
16-22
20-28
20-20
18-17
15-29
169.3Avg total
80.4Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.183.1161.3-5.043%
Season at home (12)81.782.2163.9-0.650%
Season away (11)74.384.1158.4-9.836%
Last 10 (10)80.488.9169.3-8.530%
Last 5 (5)84.294.2178.4-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.486.0158.4-13.615%
vs Similar (9)84.079.2163.2+4.878%
vs Weaker (8)83.269.2152.5+14.075%
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -4.3-4.3Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -3.8-3.8
SencurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A12/02
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita Olimpija
#1
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H16/02
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/03
Liga Nova KBM
Osijek
#14
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/03
ABA League 2
Gorica
#12
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/03
ABA League 2
Borac Banja Luka
#5
L
24-44
24
44
-20
A10/03
ABA League 2
LTH Castings
#9
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H19/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A25/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H03/04
Liga Nova KBM
74.4Avg total
35.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.976.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.936.976.8+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)36.938.975.9-2.050%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.574.4-2.630%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.872.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.937.973.8-2.042%-
vs Similar (2)38.038.576.5-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)40.537.878.2+2.862%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A15/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H21/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A31/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A11/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A11/03
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H19/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/03
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H04/04
Liga Nova KBM
81.2Avg total
39.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)39.640.279.8-0.752%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.741.683.3+0.153%-
Last 30 away (14)37.238.775.9-1.550%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)44.645.690.2-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.242.377.5-7.123%-
vs Similar (9)40.338.078.3+2.378%-
vs Weaker (7)46.639.185.7+7.471%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Sencur wins
6
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
05/11/22Sencur v Rogaska86-59
07/05/22Rogaska v Sencur87-72
04/05/22Sencur v Rogaska92-96
29/01/22Rogaska v Sencur86-78
13/11/21Sencur v Rogaska92-62
17/04/21Sencur v Rogaska87-90
13/03/21Rogaska v Sencur76-68
30/12/20Rogaska v Sencur89-85 OT
17/10/20Sencur v Rogaska78-77
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/23HZlatorog Lasko71-53
25/03/23AHelios Domzale75-73
19/03/23HKK Krka Novo mesto91-72
13/03/23ALTH Castings74-81
10/03/23ABorac Banja Luka61-68
08/03/23HGorica74-72
06/03/23AOsijek84-77
03/03/23HPolzela83-68
16/02/23HCedevita Olimpija69-90
12/02/23AHelios Domzale57-76
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/23HHelios Domzale73-94
24/03/23AKK Krka Novo mesto68-88
19/03/23HLTH Castings94-93
11/03/23APolzela99-102 OT
06/03/23HPerspektiva Ilirija87-94
11/02/23ALTH Castings87-84
06/02/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek102-89
31/01/23AHelios Domzale57-87
21/01/23HSencur76-80
15/01/23APerspektiva Ilirija61-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWWLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%67%55%
Points / game78.080.075.7
Allowed / game73.372.874.0
Point differential+4.6+7.2+1.7
Avg total151.3152.8149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%42%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)33% (3)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeLWLWL50%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game78.181.774.3
Allowed / game83.182.284.1
Point differential-5.0-0.6-9.8
Avg total161.3163.9158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %13%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Helios Domzale2319483%88.172.0+16.1
2 KK Krka Novo mesto2319483%86.473.9+12.5
3 Sencur2314961%78.073.3+4.6
4 Tajfun Sentjur23121152%80.279.8+0.4
5 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek23111248%83.383.3+0.0
6 Perspektiva Ilirija24111346%82.883.6-0.8
7 Rogaska23101343%78.183.1-5.0
8 Polzela2371630%75.686.9-11.3
9 LTH Castings2471729%76.486.0-9.5
10 Zlatorog Lasko2361726%71.978.4-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur2828201692
Rogaska1424171873
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