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Rogaska vs Tajfun Sentjur Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 21 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 82-75
Projected total 157.2
Scheduled
Position#6
Record4-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.4
Allowed / game78.4
Vs
74%
26%
■ ROGA 74%■ TSE 26%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#10
Record1-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game85.6
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 9· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rogaska v Tajfun Sentjur
21 Nov 2026
ROGA v TSE
upcoming
08 Dec 2025
ROGA72
TSE97
06 Jan 2025
ROGA70
TSE68
09 Mar 2024
ROGA87
TSE75
21 Oct 2023
ROGA80
TSE86
22 Nov 2022
ROGA75
TSE88
08 Oct 2022
ROGA88
TSE90
05 Mar 2022
ROGA94
TSE77
23 Feb 2022
ROGA97
TSE86
26 Sep 2020
ROGA94
TSE55
12 Jan 2020
ROGA83
TSE70
22 Dec 2018
ROGA88
TSE74
17 Mar 2018
ROGA84
TSE75
09 Dec 2017
ROGA84
TSE82
21 Jan 2017
ROGA77
TSE60
07 May 2016
ROGA64
TSE83
26 May 2015
ROGA57
TSE65
22 May 2015
ROGA81
TSE73
28 Mar 2015
ROGA71
TSE66
18 Oct 2014
ROGA88
TSE95
05 Mar 2014
ROGA76
TSE60
09 Mar 2013
ROGA79
TSE75
03 Mar 2012
ROGA71
TSE83
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Rogaska host Tajfun Sentjur in the Liga Nova KBM. Pythia makes Rogaska the favourite at 74% and projects 82-75, about 157 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Rogaska are 4-4 this season (68.4 scored, 78.4 allowed a game), form WLWWW; Tajfun Sentjur are 1-7 this season (70.0 scored, 85.6 allowed a game), form LLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska win
73.6%fair 1.36
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tajfun Sentjur win
26.4%fair 3.78
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 20:59 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#5
W
97-79
97
79
+18
100avg 71
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
75avg 71
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 71
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
49-87
49
87
-38
32avg 71
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
L
67-80
67
80
-13
59avg 71
H10/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 71
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
46avg 71
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
69-60
69
60
+9
68avg 71
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
21-26
27-20
22-14
24-15
23-29
12-14
17-22
20-27
29-26
24-21
2-18
13-25
4-23
19-22
13-17
21-25
21-6
11-20
14-29
19-13
22-21
17-18
16-20
14-27
24-16
16-26
8-28
23-28
20-9
12-10
14-13
20-20
14-9
21-20
22-17
13-22
29-10
17-15
15-26
150.6Avg total
72.0Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)68.478.4146.8-10.050%
Season at home (4)70.283.8154.0-13.525%
Season away (4)66.573.0139.5-6.575%
Last 10 (10)72.078.6150.6-6.650%
Last 5 (5)71.273.6144.8-2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.885.8158.6-12.925%
vs Similar (8)83.182.9166.0+0.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.381.3169.7+7.067%
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tajfun SentjurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSentjur
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
L
68-74
68
74
-6
60avg 67
H28/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
58-82
58
82
-24
48avg 67
A03/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
55-87
55
87
-32
40avg 67
A22/09
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
74-99
74
99
-25
65avg 67
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 67
A11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
67-84
67
84
-17
52avg 67
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
62-78
62
78
-16
60avg 67
A21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
L
71-75
71
75
-4
64avg 67
H31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
L
77-99
77
99
-22
no box
A07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
81-77
81
77
+4
no box
H14/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
11-15
19-18
11-18
17-20
13-22
13-20
15-20
9-22
25-21
14-23
7-21
15-25
19-21
24-30
16-23
13-13
14-26
22-21
24-26
21-21
16-13
16-24
14-26
27-21
7-21
13-25
15-11
22-24
20-17
8-15
21-19
19-32
18-21
24-29
16-17
23-18
15-10
24-21
19-28
152.7Avg total
68.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)70.085.6155.6-15.612%
Season at home (4)73.283.8157.0-10.525%
Season away (4)66.887.5154.2-20.80%
Last 10 (10)68.684.1152.7-15.510%
Last 5 (5)71.682.6154.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)71.987.1159.0-15.217%
vs Similar (5)81.679.0160.6+2.640%
vs Weaker (2)88.566.5155.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 154
Over 154
57.3%
Under 154
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 159
Over 159
44.9%
Under 159
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 164
Over 164
33.1%
Under 164
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Rogaska total 77.5
Over 77.5
67.8%
Under 77.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rogaska total 81.5
Over 81.5
52.6%
Under 81.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rogaska total 85.5
Over 85.5
37.0%
Under 85.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tajfun Sentjur total 73.5
Over 73.5
55.4%
Under 73.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tajfun Sentjur total 77.5
Over 77.5
40.0%
Under 77.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tajfun Sentjur total 81.5
Over 81.5
26.3%
Under 81.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rogaska -3
ROGA -3
66.1%
TSE +3
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
ROGA
No market prices yet.
TSE
No market prices yet.
Spread Rogaska 0
ROGA 0
73.6%
TSE 0
26.4%
Best 5 market prices
ROGA
No market prices yet.
TSE
No market prices yet.
Spread Rogaska +3
ROGA +3
80.6%
TSE -3
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
ROGA
No market prices yet.
TSE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -6.1-6.1Q4: -5.1-5.1
RogaskaTajfun Sentjur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#5
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A04/05
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H26/09
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
L
17-48
17
48
-31
A03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A16/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H20/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H04/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A14/11
Liga Nova KBM
79.7Avg total
40.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.543.882.3-5.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.642.484.0-0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)36.244.881.0-8.629%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.679.7+0.570%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.644.680.2-9.025%-
vs Similar (8)40.041.881.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.344.288.5+0.267%-
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tajfun SentjurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#4
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H28/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A03/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A22/09
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#4
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H03/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#7
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H17/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H31/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A07/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#8
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H14/11
Liga Nova KBM
75.7Avg total
35.1Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.343.281.5-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.442.781.1-4.436%-
Last 30 away (16)38.343.681.9-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.675.7-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.677.2-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)36.744.381.0-7.622%-
vs Similar (5)40.841.081.8-0.240%-
vs Weaker (2)51.036.087.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.6
52.7%
53.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.06.9
27.6%
30.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws21.414.6
68.2%
70.0%14.6
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tajfun Sentjurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tajfun Sentjur: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.2 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.8
49.7%
53.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.56.4
27.2%
30.3%19.2
🏀 Free throws17.612.0
68.2%
70.0%12.0
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
WWWLWLLLLW
Tajfun Sentjur
WLLLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#10
-9.7
Net rating
-21.6
86.3
Offensive rating
81.1
96.0
Defensive rating
102.8
48.2%
Effective FG%
46.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
17.2%
Turnover %
19.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
27.6%
3-point %
27.2%
71.3%
Assist %
61.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence86.3 · 81.1Defence96.0 · 102.8Shooting48.2% · 46.2%3-point %27.6% · 27.2%Ball care17.2% · 19.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Rogaska   ■ Tajfun Sentjur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Rogaska wins
3
Tajfun Sentjur wins
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHelios Domzale74-73
04/11/26HPerspektiva Ilirija77-66
31/10/26AZlatorog Lasko69-60
20/10/26HKK Krka Novo mesto62-97
16/10/26AKK Triglav Kranj74-72
10/10/26HGorica67-80
03/10/26APolzela49-87
26/09/26HSencur75-92
04/05/26AZlatorog Lasko76-80
30/04/26HHelios Domzale97-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HKK Triglav Kranj81-77
07/11/26AHelios Domzale77-99
31/10/26HGorica71-75
21/10/26APerspektiva Ilirija62-78
17/10/26HPolzela67-84
11/10/26AZlatorog Lasko73-86
03/10/26HSencur74-99
22/09/26AKK Krka Novo mesto55-87
03/05/26AKK Triglav Kranj58-82
28/04/26HSencur68-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW50%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%25%75%
Points / game68.470.266.5
Allowed / game78.483.873.0
Point differential-10.0-13.5-6.5
Avg total146.8154.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tajfun Sentjur
Liga Nova KBM 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW12%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game70.073.266.8
Allowed / game85.683.887.5
Point differential-15.6-10.5-20.8
Avg total155.6157.0154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto880100%90.468.8+21.6
2 Polzela86275%83.872.2+11.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija86275%84.073.6+10.4
4 Sencur75271%85.979.6+6.3
5 Gorica84450%75.877.4-1.6
6 Rogaska84450%68.478.4-10.0
7 Zlatorog Lasko83538%68.577.5-9.0
8 KK Triglav Kranj71614%76.982.3-5.4
9 Helios Domzale81712%71.879.8-8.0
10 Tajfun Sentjur81712%70.085.6-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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