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Rogaska vs Tajfun Sentjur Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-75
24-21 19-22 18-11 26-21
Position#8
Record6-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game77.9
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#9
Record8-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game85.2
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 20· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rogaska v Tajfun Sentjur
21 Nov 2026
ROGA v TSE
upcoming
08 Dec 2025
ROGA72
TSE97
06 Jan 2025
ROGA70
TSE68
09 Mar 2024
ROGA87
TSE75
21 Oct 2023
ROGA80
TSE86
22 Nov 2022
ROGA75
TSE88
08 Oct 2022
ROGA88
TSE90
05 Mar 2022
ROGA94
TSE77
23 Feb 2022
ROGA97
TSE86
26 Sep 2020
ROGA94
TSE55
12 Jan 2020
ROGA83
TSE70
22 Dec 2018
ROGA88
TSE74
17 Mar 2018
ROGA84
TSE75
09 Dec 2017
ROGA84
TSE82
21 Jan 2017
ROGA77
TSE60
07 May 2016
ROGA64
TSE83
26 May 2015
ROGA57
TSE65
22 May 2015
ROGA81
TSE73
28 Mar 2015
ROGA71
TSE66
18 Oct 2014
ROGA88
TSE95
05 Mar 2014
ROGA76
TSE60
09 Mar 2013
ROGA79
TSE75
03 Mar 2012
ROGA71
TSE83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tajfun Sentjur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
89avg 75
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
73-74
73
74
-1
74avg 75
A05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 75
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
87avg 75
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 75
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
78avg 75
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 75
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 75
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
61-69
61
69
-8
56avg 75
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
28-17
31-26
18-29
17-18
20-20
18-15
18-21
27-22
15-19
23-23
34-30
25-17
22-21
33-22
7-39
22-19
12-24
20-16
22-23
22-19
21-19
12-17
22-14
17-21
17-18
20-25
13-11
19-18
25-25
14-16
21-25
17-24
27-20
19-25
9-16
19-16
16-22
14-23
12-8
164.4Avg total
80.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)74.977.9152.8-3.132%
Season at home (9)81.381.4162.8-0.156%
Season away (10)69.174.8143.9-5.710%
Last 10 (10)80.384.1164.4-3.820%
Last 5 (5)75.079.4154.4-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.786.3162.0-10.733%
vs Similar (16)75.877.8153.6-2.138%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)86.477.3163.7+9.157%
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tajfun SentjurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSentjur
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#2
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
H11/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
A13/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
W
102-84
102
84
+18
97avg 70
H16/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
95-93
95
93
+2
91avg 70
H23/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
63-81
63
81
-18
53avg 70
H08/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
61-82
61
82
-21
52avg 70
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
102-107 OT
102
107
-5
no box
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
69avg 70
H26/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
87-72
87
72
+15
86avg 70
H03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
89-104
89
104
-15
87avg 70
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
21-21
16-20
20-25
22-23
27-20
17-19
15-23
27-21
28-26
23-18
24-19
23-16
17-28
26-31
29-18
17-20
11-23
17-18
18-20
12-26
16-21
12-20
21-15
28-30
23-15
21-23
22-26
26-19
9-26
18-16
22-24
30-9
16-25
20-21
21-17
22-24
15-22
24-30
28-28
170.3Avg total
82.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)79.885.2165.0-5.342%
Season at home (9)84.286.9171.1-2.733%
Season away (10)75.983.6159.5-7.750%
Last 10 (10)82.887.5170.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)82.890.0172.8-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.689.1168.8-9.518%
vs Similar (7)80.476.3156.7+4.171%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
RogaskaTajfun Sentjur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
80.6Avg total
40.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.839.180.9+2.759%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.739.982.6+2.864%-
Last 30 away (15)41.038.379.3+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)40.440.280.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.480.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.839.778.5-0.850%-
vs Similar (15)40.940.281.1+0.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)45.637.983.4+7.786%-
This opponent (Tajfun Sentjur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Tajfun SentjurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/12
Slovenian Cup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A13/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H16/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H23/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H08/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H26/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A02/03
Liga Nova KBM
83.7Avg total
40.6Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.642.081.7-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.042.983.9-1.936%-
Last 30 away (16)38.441.379.8-2.944%-
Last 10 (10)40.643.183.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.482.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)39.943.683.5-3.736%-
vs Similar (7)40.337.978.1+2.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
52.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.9
36.8%
33.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.513.7
83.0%
74.0%13.7
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tajfun Sentjurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tajfun Sentjur: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.418.2
56.2%
52.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.8
33.6%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.213.6
74.7%
74.0%13.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LLLLWLLWLL
Tajfun Sentjur
LWLLLLWWLL
#8
League position
#9
-5.8
Net rating
-8.1
108.2
Offensive rating
104.1
114.0
Defensive rating
112.2
55.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
22.8%
Turnover %
22.6%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.8%
3-point %
33.6%
59.5%
Assist %
65.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 104.1Defence114.0 · 112.2Shooting55.1% · 53.4%3-point %36.8% · 33.6%Ball care22.8% · 22.6%Off. rebounds33.3% · 30.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Rogaska   ■ Tajfun Sentjur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Rogaska wins
5
Tajfun Sentjur wins
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24ASencur61-69
15/02/24HKK Krka Novo mesto72-85
05/02/24APerspektiva Ilirija98-99 OT
03/02/24AKK Triglav Kranj67-75
27/01/24HPolzela77-69
16/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto76-82
12/01/24HHelios Domzale87-99
09/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija99-94
05/01/24ASencur73-74
23/12/23ATajfun Sentjur93-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AHelios Domzale89-104
03/02/24HLTH Castings87-72
26/01/24HHelios Domzale75-85
20/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija102-107 OT
13/01/24ASencur61-82
08/01/24HKK Triglav Kranj63-81
23/12/23HRogaska95-93
16/12/23HPolzela102-84
13/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek81-85
11/12/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek73-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%56%10%
Points / game74.981.369.1
Allowed / game77.981.474.8
Point differential-3.1-0.1-5.7
Avg total152.8162.8143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tajfun Sentjur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayLWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game79.884.275.9
Allowed / game85.286.983.6
Point differential-5.3-2.7-7.7
Avg total165.0171.1159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%22%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2016480%91.377.8+13.5
2 Helios Domzale2016480%85.576.7+8.8
3 Perspektiva Ilirija1913668%81.376.6+4.6
4 LTH Castings20101050%83.084.8-1.9
5 Sencur20101050%76.878.8-2.0
6 Tajfun Sentjur1981142%79.885.2-5.3
7 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1971237%81.785.6-3.9
8 KK Triglav Kranj2071335%74.877.2-2.4
9 Rogaska1961332%74.977.9-3.1
10 Polzela2051525%77.686.4-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2419182687
Tajfun Sentjur2122112175
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