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Rogaska vs Terme Olimia Podčetrtek Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 86-75
19-23 21-15 20-14 26-23
Position#7
Record3-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.4
Rogaska 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#11
Record2-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game92.7
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 13· Milanovic M.
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rogaska v Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
13 Apr 2026
ROGA106
TERM73
12 Jan 2026
ROGA86
TERM75
17 Dec 2025
ROGA84
TERM84
18 Jan 2025
ROGA75
TERM83
15 Apr 2024
ROGA80
TERM70
18 Dec 2023
ROGA89
TERM92
29 Apr 2023
ROGA94
TERM84
06 Feb 2023
ROGA102
TERM89
08 Oct 2021
ROGA68
TERM75
04 May 2021
ROGA82
TERM76
24 Apr 2021
ROGA95
TERM75
28 Nov 2020
ROGA79
TERM84
16 Nov 2019
ROGA83
TERM48
21 Dec 2016
ROGA83
TERM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 71
H12/11
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
W
107-78
107
78
+29
no box
H18/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#4
L
62-88
62
88
-26
47avg 71
H22/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
72-97
72
97
-25
57avg 71
H08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
A10/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
103-81
103
81
+22
100avg 71
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
L
84-84
84
84
+0
no box
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
L
81-88
81
88
-7
73avg 71
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
53-89
53
89
-36
50avg 71
H30/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
69-97
69
97
-28
58avg 71
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
17-19
22-16
21-23
31-16
24-28
23-18
29-16
15-22
18-18
21-26
8-22
15-30
27-23
20-24
10-20
16-24
26-33
30-7
23-22
25-25
27-20
29-15
22-21
15-25
17-26
34-15
18-18
16-23
20-21
18-22
27-22
7-20
20-15
4-23
22-31
10-30
26-26
20-24
13-17
166.5Avg total
80.0Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)82.087.4169.4-5.425%
Season at home (8)79.885.6165.4-5.925%
Season away (4)86.591.0177.5-4.525%
Last 10 (10)80.086.5166.5-6.530%
Last 5 (5)78.087.8165.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.286.2161.4-11.021%
vs Similar (6)77.783.2160.8-5.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)89.884.8174.6+5.056%
This opponent (Terme Olimia Podčetrtek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Terme Olimia PodčetrtekSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodčetrtek
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
95-117
95
117
-22
89avg 71
A01/11
Liga Nova KBM
Elektra Sostanj
#13
W
110-86
110
86
+24
no box
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
60-95
60
95
-35
43avg 71
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
79-100
79
100
-21
76avg 71
A15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
89avg 71
H22/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
83-89
83
89
-6
78avg 71
H03/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#10
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
H10/12
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
63avg 71
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#10
L
84-84
84
84
+0
no box
A17/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
70-95
70
95
-25
59avg 71
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
22-29
24-31
26-28
32-21
30-19
23-30
25-16
20-21
8-23
21-28
11-23
20-31
18-21
24-29
17-19
24-28
27-19
19-21
21-22
21-33
24-22
19-18
19-16
24-16
33-26
7-30
22-23
12-26
20-20
23-22
19-16
25-15
26-17
15-34
18-18
20-28
22-23
18-19
10-25
176.7Avg total
83.2Scored
93.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.292.7170.9-14.417%
Season at home (6)76.790.5167.2-13.833%
Season away (6)79.894.8174.7-15.00%
Last 10 (10)83.293.5176.7-10.320%
Last 5 (5)79.489.4168.8-10.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)78.989.9168.8-11.025%
vs Similar (2)76.088.0164.0-12.00%
vs Weaker (11)86.877.8164.6+9.064%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -6.9-6.9Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -1.8-1.8
RogaskaTerme Olimia Podčetrtek
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H12/11
Liga Nova KBM
Celje
#15
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H18/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#4
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H22/11
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A10/12
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#9
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H17/12
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H30/12
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
L
36-56
36
56
-20
A06/01
Slovenian Cup
84.9Avg total
38.6Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.244.085.2-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.443.584.8-2.153%-
Last 30 away (13)40.944.785.6-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)38.646.384.9-7.720%-
Last 5 (5)36.646.282.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.445.483.8-7.121%-
vs Similar (6)40.741.081.7-0.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.845.491.2+0.356%-
This opponent (Terme Olimia Podčetrtek) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Terme Olimia PodčetrtekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#9
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A01/11
Liga Nova KBM
Elektra Sostanj
#13
W
62-40
62
40
+22
H04/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#6
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H10/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A15/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H22/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#3
L
45-55
45
55
-10
H03/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#10
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H10/12
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#4
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A13/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#10
W
51-32
51
32
+19
A17/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#10
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H20/12
Liga Nova KBM
91.8Avg total
45.1Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.785.9+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.742.786.4+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.785.5+0.140%-
Last 10 (10)45.146.791.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)45.445.290.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)40.846.787.4-5.925%-
vs Similar (2)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Weaker (11)48.137.485.5+10.782%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.5
51.4%
54.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.0
29.9%
33.3%21.0
🏀 Free throws17.512.2
69.7%
72.9%12.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Terme Olimia Podčetrtektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.620.7
48.6%
54.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.06.5
29.5%
33.3%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.616.7
67.9%
72.9%16.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
LLLLWWLLWL
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
LLLLLWLLWL
#7
League position
#11
-15.0
Net rating
-19.4
95.6
Offensive rating
99.0
110.6
Defensive rating
118.4
49.0%
Effective FG%
47.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
21.1%
Turnover %
20.2%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.9%
3-point %
29.5%
60.0%
Assist %
59.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence95.6 · 99.0Defence110.6 · 118.4Shooting49.0% · 47.1%3-point %29.9% · 29.5%Ball care21.1% · 20.2%Off. rebounds26.1% · 33.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Rogaska   ■ Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/26AKK Krka Novo mesto69-97
30/12/25HKK Krka Novo mesto53-89
22/12/25APolzela81-88
17/12/25HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek84-84
13/12/25HZlatorog Lasko103-81
10/12/25ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek95-86
08/12/25HTajfun Sentjur72-97
22/11/25HSencur62-88
18/11/25HCelje107-78
12/11/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HTajfun Sentjur70-95
17/12/25ARogaska84-84
13/12/25ASencur74-84
10/12/25HRogaska86-95
03/12/25HPerspektiva Ilirija83-89
22/11/25HHelios Domzale91-90
15/11/25AKK Krka Novo mesto79-100
10/11/25HKK Triglav Kranj60-95
04/11/25HElektra Sostanj110-86
01/11/25AZlatorog Lasko95-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLLW25%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game82.079.886.5
Allowed / game87.485.691.0
Point differential-5.4-5.9-4.5
Avg total169.4165.4177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
Liga Nova KBM 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game78.276.779.8
Allowed / game92.790.594.8
Point differential-14.4-13.8-15.0
Avg total170.9167.2174.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1312192%94.874.5+20.2
2 Perspektiva Ilirija139469%86.581.5+5.0
3 Sencur138562%87.480.2+7.2
4 Helios Domzale137654%84.783.4+1.3
5 Zlatorog Lasko137654%90.097.2-7.2
6 KK Triglav Kranj136746%80.278.6+1.5
7 Tajfun Sentjur136746%77.581.8-4.3
8 Polzela134931%83.789.2-5.5
9 Rogaska123925%82.087.4-5.4
10 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1221017%78.292.7-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska1921202686
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2315142375
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