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Rogaska vs Terme Olimia Podčetrtek Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-92
23-25 29-27 22-18 15-22
Position#8
Record5-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#6
Record3-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game85.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 12· SD Rogaska Slatina
Other2023-24
Meetings · Rogaska v Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
13 Apr 2026
ROGA106
TERM73
12 Jan 2026
ROGA86
TERM75
17 Dec 2025
ROGA84
TERM84
18 Jan 2025
ROGA75
TERM83
15 Apr 2024
ROGA80
TERM70
18 Dec 2023
ROGA89
TERM92
29 Apr 2023
ROGA94
TERM84
06 Feb 2023
ROGA102
TERM89
08 Oct 2021
ROGA68
TERM75
04 May 2021
ROGA82
TERM76
24 Apr 2021
ROGA95
TERM75
28 Nov 2020
ROGA79
TERM84
16 Nov 2019
ROGA83
TERM48
21 Dec 2016
ROGA83
TERM71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
W
84-67
84
67
+17
86avg 74
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 74
A06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 74
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
88-67
88
67
+21
no box
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
72-67
72
67
+5
61avg 74
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
78-61
78
61
+17
no box
A29/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
63-94
63
94
-31
51avg 74
H02/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
84-80
84
80
+4
87avg 74
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
84-93
84
93
-9
73avg 74
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
no box
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
20-12
11-22
28-19
17-16
21-18
18-25
24-15
18-20
20-10
20-24
15-21
27-15
23-21
14-16
24-15
13-16
25-23
15-21
19-7
22-14
14-14
22-11
20-22
13-20
16-29
19-24
15-21
20-21
20-17
25-22
19-20
12-14
24-29
22-23
26-27
30-21
29-21
27-21
13-24
157.0Avg total
80.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)72.775.1147.8-2.445%
Season at home (6)79.878.8158.7+1.067%
Season away (5)64.270.6134.8-6.420%
Last 10 (10)80.576.5157.0+4.070%
Last 5 (5)81.683.0164.6-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.887.1163.8-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.677.8154.4-1.258%
vs Weaker (5)88.880.6169.4+8.260%
This opponent (Terme Olimia Podčetrtek) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Terme Olimia PodčetrtekSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodčetrtek
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
92-93
92
93
-1
83avg 78
A05/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Slovenske Konjice
#20
W
94-66
94
66
+28
no box
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
L
78-89
78
89
-11
72avg 78
H13/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Slovenske Konjice
#20
W
110-61
110
61
+49
no box
H16/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
87-70
87
70
+17
92avg 78
A20/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
69avg 78
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 78
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
87-73
87
73
+14
85avg 78
A08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
A11/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H13/12
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
21-18
21-27
20-26
30-27
24-17
21-8
19-14
24-13
20-31
19-19
15-26
24-20
35-11
23-20
28-10
28-14
17-20
23-20
19-16
24-26
14-21
18-17
21-23
21-25
25-24
26-24
16-18
25-21
19-14
18-15
25-23
16-16
21-21
20-16
25-20
23-22
20-27
19-17
23-15
166.4Avg total
88.0Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.885.4168.2-2.527%
Season at home (6)78.786.7165.3-8.017%
Season away (5)87.883.8171.6+4.040%
Last 10 (10)88.078.4166.4+9.660%
Last 5 (5)83.881.0164.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)83.893.6177.4-9.912%
vs Similar ◀ (10)85.686.6172.2-1.040%
vs Weaker (11)86.478.7165.1+7.664%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +2.0+2.0
RogaskaTerme Olimia Podčetrtek
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A06/11
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Zoltasti Troti
#18
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A29/11
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H02/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Vojnik
#8
W
59-42
59
42
+17
A12/12
Slovenian Cup
77.4Avg total
40.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.140.382.3+1.859%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.541.685.1+1.960%-
Last 30 away (14)40.538.979.4+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.577.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.080.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.242.382.5-2.242%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.540.582.0+1.155%-
vs Weaker (5)46.837.484.2+9.4100%-
This opponent (Terme Olimia Podčetrtek) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Terme Olimia PodčetrtekLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A05/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Slovenske Konjice
#20
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A07/11
Slovenian Cup
Polzela
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H13/11
Liga Nova KBM
KK Slovenske Konjice
#20
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H16/11
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A20/11
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H04/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A08/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A11/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H13/12
Slovenian Cup
87.1Avg total
46.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.843.387.1+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.443.685.9-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)45.443.188.5+2.443%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.087.1+5.150%-
Last 5 (5)41.643.485.0-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.545.085.5-4.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.445.589.9-1.140%-
vs Weaker (11)44.540.685.2+3.955%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.2
55.6%
52.9%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.7
29.6%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws20.314.1
69.5%
74.0%14.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Terme Olimia Podčetrtektheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Terme Olimia Podčetrtek: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.6
52.6%
52.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.4
68.9%
74.0%14.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rogaska
WLWLWWWLWW
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
WWWLLWWLWL
#8
League position
#6
+0.0
Net rating
-2.9
103.7
Offensive rating
106.5
103.7
Defensive rating
109.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
21.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.6%
3-point %
33.2%
67.1%
Assist %
71.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 106.5Defence103.7 · 109.4Shooting51.1% · 51.5%3-point %29.6% · 33.2%Ball care21.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds34.1% · 31.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Rogaska   ■ Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/23AVojnik99-87
09/12/23ALTH Castings84-93
04/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto84-80
02/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija63-94
29/11/23AZoltasti Troti78-61
25/11/23HKK Triglav Kranj72-67
21/11/23HZoltasti Troti88-67
18/11/23APolzela73-75
06/11/23AHelios Domzale80-74
28/10/23HSencur84-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HTajfun Sentjur85-81
11/12/23ATajfun Sentjur82-73
08/12/23ATajfun Sentjur87-73
04/12/23HLTH Castings88-91
25/11/23HPerspektiva Ilirija77-87
20/11/23AKK Triglav Kranj87-70
16/11/23HKK Slovenske Konjice110-61
13/11/23HPolzela78-89
07/11/23AKK Slovenske Konjice94-66
05/11/23AKK Krka Novo mesto92-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL45%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%67%20%
Points / game72.779.864.2
Allowed / game75.178.870.6
Point differential-2.4+1.0-6.4
Avg total147.8158.7134.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW27%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %27%17%40%
Points / game82.878.787.8
Allowed / game85.486.783.8
Point differential-2.5-8.0+4.0
Avg total168.2165.3171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1210283%91.676.5+15.1
2 Helios Domzale129375%82.475.2+7.2
3 LTH Castings127558%88.786.2+2.5
4 Perspektiva Ilirija127558%76.975.4+1.5
5 Sencur126650%78.580.3-1.8
6 Tajfun Sentjur126650%78.882.8-4.1
7 Rogaska115645%72.775.1-2.4
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek113827%82.885.4-2.5
9 KK Triglav Kranj123925%71.878.8-7.0
10 Polzela123925%80.989.8-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rogaska2329221589
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek2527182292
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