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Roseto vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-82
26-19 22-26 15-13 25-24
Position#20
Record2-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game86.9
Roseto 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record5-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.3
ItalySerie A2Round 15· PalaMaggetti
Other2025-26
Meetings · Roseto v Forli
30 Nov 2025
ROSE88
FORL82
24 Oct 2018
ROSE89
FORL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 73
H12/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 73
A19/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 73
H26/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 73
A29/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
81-93
81
93
-12
78avg 73
H02/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
86-89
86
89
-3
82avg 73
H09/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
81-88
81
88
-7
72avg 73
A12/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
73-81
73
81
-8
65avg 73
A16/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
65-72
65
72
-7
53avg 73
H22/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
60-88
60
88
-28
50avg 73
A26/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
24-28
26-18
16-26
21-18
21-19
14-18
19-31
20-12
24-16
20-31
19-20
21-20
15-23
27-26
15-16
20-25
27-23
14-26
20-19
23-21
28-26
15-21
20-21
6-24
20-21
27-18
28-25
21-15
17-19
18-23
17-24
14-14
23-25
16-17
12-16
12-20
17-26
15-21
16-21
162.6Avg total
77.3Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.586.9166.4-7.414%
Season at home (7)81.785.1166.9-3.429%
Season away (7)77.388.7166.0-11.40%
Last 10 (10)77.385.3162.6-8.010%
Last 5 (5)73.083.6156.6-10.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)78.587.3165.8-8.814%
vs Similar ◀ (9)82.980.2163.1+2.756%
vs Weaker (7)87.481.4168.9+6.071%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
58-79
58
79
-21
39avg 70
H12/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 70
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 70
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 70
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
80-70
80
70
+10
76avg 70
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
59-86
59
86
-27
52avg 70
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-85
74
85
-11
63avg 70
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 70
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
88-91
88
91
-3
81avg 70
H26/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
22-15
10-25
12-17
20-14
21-25
17-23
24-25
19-14
15-18
14-17
36-30
25-19
26-27
19-19
15-15
21-18
23-11
12-14
17-19
26-20
11-8
21-23
22-19
5-16
20-23
17-26
17-21
17-21
22-22
17-24
18-18
15-19
20-23
21-15
16-24
24-24
20-23
17-24
27-20
155.5Avg total
75.5Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)74.880.3155.1-5.536%
Season at home (7)79.080.7159.7-1.743%
Season away (7)70.679.9150.4-9.329%
Last 10 (10)75.580.0155.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)74.682.6157.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.081.8153.8-9.820%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.677.1156.6+2.561%
vs Weaker (2)83.584.0167.5-0.550%
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.4-0.4
RosetoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H12/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H26/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A29/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H02/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H09/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A12/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A16/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H22/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A26/11
Serie A2
81.4Avg total
39.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.882.1+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.939.283.2+4.762%-
Last 30 away (14)38.442.680.9-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.581.4-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.278.4-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.142.683.7-1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.437.276.7+2.256%-
vs Weaker (7)44.341.786.0+2.643%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H12/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H09/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A12/11
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H16/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/11
Serie A2
76.8Avg total
38.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.539.378.8+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.238.981.1+3.353%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.876.5-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.276.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)36.039.875.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.738.474.1-2.730%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.639.280.8+2.461%-
vs Weaker (2)39.045.084.0-6.050%-
This opponent (Roseto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.0
54.4%
50.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.66.3
26.7%
34.6%18.9
🏀 Free throws23.619.4
82.2%
74.4%19.4
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.015.3
45.0%
50.8%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.910.7
41.3%
34.6%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.013.5
75.0%
74.4%13.5
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Roseto
LLLLLLLWLL
Forli
LLLLWWWWLL
#20
League position
#17
-11.2
Net rating
-5.0
107.0
Offensive rating
108.4
118.2
Defensive rating
113.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
15.8%
Turnover %
13.8%
25.4%
Off. rebound %
20.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.30
26.7%
3-point %
41.3%
56.5%
Assist %
55.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 108.4Defence118.2 · 113.4Shooting48.6% · 52.3%3-point %26.7% · 41.3%Ball care15.8% · 13.8%Off. rebounds25.4% · 20.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Roseto   ■ Forli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Roseto wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
30/01/19Forli v Roseto76-84 OT
24/10/18Roseto v Forli89-94
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25ABasket Torino60-88
22/11/25HLibertas Livorno65-72
16/11/25APistoia73-81
12/11/25ARuvo Di Puglia81-88
09/11/25HCividale86-89
02/11/25HAvellino Basket81-93
29/10/25ARimini78-85
26/10/25HSebastiani Rieti83-79
19/10/25ACento75-86
12/10/25HJuVi Cremona91-92
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25HPesaro88-91
23/11/25AFortitudo Bologna72-81
16/11/25HVerona74-85
12/11/25ALibertas Livorno59-86
09/11/25HUrania Milano80-70
02/11/25ABasket Torino73-62
29/10/25HMestre85-80
25/10/25ABrindisi84-79
19/10/25HScafati82-87
12/10/25HCividale58-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %14%29%0%
Points / game79.581.777.3
Allowed / game86.985.188.7
Point differential-7.4-3.4-11.4
Avg total166.4166.9166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLWWLL43%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game74.879.070.6
Allowed / game80.380.779.9
Point differential-5.5-1.7-9.3
Avg total155.1159.7150.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%29%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1411379%83.477.4+5.9
2 Verona1410471%78.372.9+5.4
3 Brindisi139469%78.671.2+7.5
4 Fortitudo Bologna139469%78.872.2+6.5
5 Libertas Livorno149564%79.173.2+5.9
6 Sebastiani Rieti149564%81.677.6+4.0
7 Cividale138562%77.775.2+2.5
8 Rimini148657%81.677.5+4.1
9 Avellino Basket148657%79.476.4+3.0
10 Scafati147750%81.079.6+1.4
11 Cento147750%77.977.7+0.1
12 Blu Basket Bergamo136746%82.782.8-0.1
13 Mestre136746%79.281.2-2.1
14 Basket Torino146843%71.873.8-2.0
15 Pistoia145936%78.481.9-3.4
16 Forli145936%74.880.3-5.5
17 JuVi Cremona1551033%73.080.6-7.6
18 Urania Milano1441029%77.684.6-7.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1441029%74.984.6-9.7
20 Roseto1421214%79.586.9-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Roseto2622152588
Forli1926132482
← all games of the day
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