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Forli vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-70
26-20 11-8 21-23 22-19
Position#17
Record4-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game79.0
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record2-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game84.7
ItalySerie A2Round 10· PalaGalassi
Other2025-26
Meetings · Forli v Urania Milano
09 Nov 2025
FORL80
URAN70
30 Mar 2025
FORL94
URAN74
24 Feb 2024
FORL73
URAN59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
64-76
64
76
-12
52avg 70
H01/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
70-78
70
78
-8
51avg 70
A20/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 70
H28/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
60-90
60
90
-30
50avg 70
A05/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 70
A08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
58-79
58
79
-21
39avg 70
H12/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
82-87
82
87
-5
77avg 70
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
84-79
84
79
+5
76avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
85-80
85
80
+5
79avg 70
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
73-62
73
62
+11
69avg 70
A02/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
16-23
14-17
17-17
25-23
13-17
12-19
20-19
26-16
21-19
21-21
18-17
11-16
10-20
13-38
26-16
23-23
26-18
16-24
11-18
14-22
22-15
10-25
12-17
20-14
21-25
17-23
24-25
19-14
15-18
14-17
36-30
25-19
26-27
19-19
15-15
21-18
23-11
12-14
17-19
152.5Avg total
73.8Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)74.979.0153.9-4.144%
Season at home (4)77.879.8157.5-2.050%
Season away (5)72.678.4151.0-5.840%
Last 10 (10)73.878.7152.5-4.940%
Last 5 (5)76.477.4153.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.279.2150.3-8.033%
vs Similar ◀ (20)78.377.0155.3+1.360%
vs Weaker (4)78.581.5160.0-3.050%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
81-89
81
89
-8
75avg 68
H16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
73-82
73
82
-9
71avg 68
H20/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
67avg 68
A28/09
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
87-100
87
100
-13
74avg 68
A04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
102avg 68
H08/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 68
A12/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
70avg 68
H18/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
67-70
67
70
-3
56avg 68
A24/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
60-98
60
98
-38
51avg 68
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 68
H01/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-25
19-22
21-22
27-20
20-20
13-24
14-23
26-15
22-13
17-16
18-26
18-19
22-20
13-31
28-26
24-23
18-32
21-23
29-24
21-10
22-19
15-14
17-22
15-22
14-19
23-22
15-10
18-19
23-10
21-19
16-21
7-20
24-22
11-21
13-28
12-27
14-9
23-22
23-16
19-26
162.4Avg total
77.3Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)76.984.7161.6-7.822%
Season at home (4)83.585.8169.2-2.225%
Season away (5)71.683.8155.4-12.220%
Last 10 (10)77.385.1162.4-7.820%
Last 5 (5)70.879.6150.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.884.6161.3-7.833%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.478.3151.7-4.932%
vs Weaker (2)83.588.5172.0-5.050%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
ForliUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H01/06
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A20/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H28/09
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A05/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A08/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H12/10
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H19/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H29/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A02/11
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.377.9-0.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.639.080.6+2.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.039.575.5-3.544%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.677.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.735.571.2+0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.539.880.2+0.855%-
vs Weaker (4)33.842.576.2-8.825%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H16/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H20/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/09
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H08/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H18/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A24/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/11
Serie A2
77.2Avg total
36.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.275.9-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.540.975.4-6.414%-
Last 30 away (16)38.637.876.4+0.869%-
Last 10 (10)36.940.377.2-3.440%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)35.441.677.0-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)36.437.774.2-1.353%-
vs Weaker (2)45.043.088.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.2
47.9%
50.8%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
74.4%14.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.3
55.2%
50.8%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.7
35.5%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.213.7
71.4%
74.4%13.7
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WWWLLLLWLL
Urania Milano
WLLLLLLWLL
#17
League position
#14
-5.2
Net rating
-10.1
102.9
Offensive rating
111.5
108.1
Defensive rating
121.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
15.2%
Turnover %
18.5%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.6%
3-point %
35.5%
47.5%
Assist %
57.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 111.5Defence108.1 · 121.6Shooting49.5% · 54.4%3-point %34.6% · 35.5%Ball care15.2% · 18.5%Off. rebounds21.2% · 29.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Forli   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Forli wins
0
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
30/03/25Forli v Urania Milano94-74
23/11/24Urania Milano v Forli80-82
24/02/24Forli v Urania Milano73-59
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/25ABasket Torino73-62
29/10/25HMestre85-80
25/10/25ABrindisi84-79
19/10/25HScafati82-87
12/10/25HCividale58-79
08/10/25ACento76-83
05/10/25ASebastiani Rieti60-90
28/09/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-73
20/09/25AJuVi Cremona70-78
01/06/25HRimini64-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HVerona79-73
29/10/25ALibertas Livorno60-98
24/10/25ABasket Torino67-70
18/10/25HBrindisi79-80 OT
12/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo69-77
08/10/25HFortitudo Bologna103-108 OT
04/10/25AScafati87-100
28/09/25AAvellino Basket75-74
20/09/25HRimini73-82
16/05/25HSebastiani Rieti81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW44%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game74.977.872.6
Allowed / game79.079.878.4
Point differential-4.1-2.0-5.8
Avg total153.9157.5151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW22%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game76.983.571.6
Allowed / game84.785.883.8
Point differential-7.8-2.2-12.2
Avg total161.6169.2155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %22%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro108280%82.277.3+4.9
2 Sebastiani Rieti107370%82.575.3+7.2
3 Fortitudo Bologna107370%79.572.9+6.6
4 Brindisi106460%77.571.2+6.3
5 Libertas Livorno106460%79.474.1+5.3
6 Avellino Basket106460%79.975.4+4.5
7 Rimini106460%82.578.2+4.3
8 Cento106460%80.077.9+2.1
9 Verona106460%76.174.9+1.2
10 Cividale105550%77.477.7-0.3
11 JuVi Cremona105550%74.380.9-6.6
12 Forli94544%74.979.0-4.1
13 Scafati104640%79.480.2-0.8
14 Blu Basket Bergamo104640%82.683.7-1.1
15 Mestre104640%81.783.0-1.3
16 Pistoia104640%80.482.6-2.2
17 Basket Torino104640%70.576.1-5.6
18 Ruvo Di Puglia103730%75.984.3-8.4
19 Urania Milano92722%76.984.7-7.8
20 Roseto102820%83.488.8-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Forli2611212280
Urania Milano208231970
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