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Roseto vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-79
20-12 24-16 20-31 19-20
Position#20
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game90.3
Roseto 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record4-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.8
ItalySerie A2Round 7· PalaMaggetti
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Roseto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RosetoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoseto
Date
Competition
Treviso
#2
L
61-88
61
88
-27
no box
A31/03
A2 East
Verona
#4
W
106-85
106
85
+21
no box
H07/04
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H14/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
81-92
81
92
-11
no box
A20/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
86-82
86
82
+4
85avg 79
H21/09
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
91-101
91
101
-10
90avg 79
A27/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
83-92
83
92
-9
75avg 79
A05/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 79
H08/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
86avg 79
H12/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 79
A19/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
11-19
22-25
12-18
26-22
30-34
29-17
21-12
19-20
21-21
23-17
19-19
24-24
19-25
16-24
22-19
27-15
18-22
21-26
20-19
27-32
25-22
13-21
26-26
24-25
21-24
21-18
17-25
21-27
18-15
25-25
16-22
25-20
24-28
26-18
16-26
21-18
21-19
14-18
19-31
172.0Avg total
83.6Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.390.3174.7-6.017%
Season at home (3)85.787.7173.3-2.033%
Season away (3)83.093.0176.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)83.688.4172.0-4.830%
Last 5 (5)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.287.0165.2-8.811%
vs Similar (11)81.179.9161.0+1.255%
vs Weaker (10)86.078.5164.5+7.570%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 68
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
53avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 68
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
61avg 68
H29/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
60-72
60
72
-12
50avg 68
H24/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 68
A28/09
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
90-60
90
60
+30
92avg 68
H05/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 68
A08/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
73-67
73
67
+6
64avg 68
H12/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
73-88
73
88
-15
62avg 68
H19/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
22-19
22-21
20-27
20-26
14-21
7-14
18-22
18-15
10-31
26-27
20-16
10-19
17-7
24-14
17-28
22-17
13-22
11-17
14-16
20-20
23-23
23-18
11-14
16-11
20-10
38-13
16-26
22-21
28-16
14-14
20-24
20-25
21-10
16-16
16-16
22-22
18-29
22-21
11-16
153.0Avg total
75.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.272.8149.0+3.367%
Season at home (4)74.071.8145.8+2.250%
Season away (2)80.575.0155.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)75.677.4153.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)79.473.0152.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.480.2151.6-8.820%
vs Similar (19)75.573.6149.1+1.863%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.374.2157.5+9.283%
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -4.2-4.2
RosetoSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RosetoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviso
#2
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A31/03
A2 East
Verona
#4
D
56-56
56
56
+0
H07/04
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H14/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A20/04
A2 East
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H21/09
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A27/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H08/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H12/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A19/10
Serie A2
89.6Avg total
43.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.479.7+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.838.179.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.940.779.5-1.827%-
Last 10 (10)43.845.889.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.091.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.442.281.7-2.844%-
vs Similar (11)38.135.974.0+2.245%-
vs Weaker (10)43.640.784.3+2.940%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H29/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H05/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A08/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H19/10
Serie A2
75.9Avg total
38.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.574.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.734.271.9+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.777.8+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.137.875.9+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.037.479.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.840.072.8-7.220%-
vs Similar (19)38.635.974.5+2.747%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.335.377.7+7.083%-
This opponent (Roseto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rosetotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Roseto: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.3 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.718.2
59.2%
50.8%36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.0
36.6%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.717.0
82.3%
74.4%17.0
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.4
49.7%
50.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.9
31.3%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws22.816.5
72.4%
74.4%16.5
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Roseto
LLLLLWLWWL
Sebastiani Rieti
LWWWWLLLLW
#20
League position
#10
-8.8
Net rating
-2.2
112.9
Offensive rating
103.5
121.7
Defensive rating
105.7
57.2%
Effective FG%
48.6%
59.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.7%
21.2%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.6%
3-point %
31.3%
63.3%
Assist %
66.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 103.5Defence121.7 · 105.7Shooting57.2% · 48.6%3-point %36.6% · 31.3%Ball care17.1% · 17.7%Off. rebounds21.2% · 29.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Roseto   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Roseto wins
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
No previous meetings.
Rosetolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25ACento75-86
12/10/25HJuVi Cremona91-92
08/10/25HPesaro80-89
05/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo83-92
27/09/25AMestre91-101
21/09/25HFortitudo Bologna86-82
20/04/19AFortitudo Bologna81-92
14/04/19HFerrara82-77
07/04/19HVerona106-85
31/03/19ATreviso61-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HPistoia73-88
12/10/25HCento73-67
08/10/25ACividale84-75
05/10/25HForli90-60
28/09/25ARimini77-75
24/09/25HAvellino Basket60-72
29/05/25HCantu77-84 OT
26/05/25ACantu74-89
24/05/25ACantu59-83
16/05/25AUrania Milano89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Roseto
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game84.385.783.0
Allowed / game90.387.793.0
Point differential-6.0-2.0-10.0
Avg total174.7173.3176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game76.274.080.5
Allowed / game72.871.875.0
Point differential+3.3+2.2+5.5
Avg total149.0145.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro65183%84.878.3+6.5
2 Brindisi75271%79.968.6+11.3
3 Verona75271%77.473.3+4.1
4 Libertas Livorno64267%75.069.8+5.2
5 Sebastiani Rieti64267%76.272.8+3.3
6 Pistoia64267%82.080.5+1.5
7 Fortitudo Bologna74357%78.975.3+3.6
8 Blu Basket Bergamo74357%85.083.7+1.3
9 Basket Torino74357%73.075.4-2.4
10 Avellino Basket63350%76.372.8+3.5
11 Rimini63350%82.780.5+2.2
12 Scafati63350%80.281.0-0.8
13 JuVi Cremona63350%72.877.7-4.8
14 Cividale73443%77.077.4-0.4
15 Cento73443%76.478.1-1.7
16 Mestre73443%79.181.3-2.1
17 Forli72529%73.781.3-7.6
18 Roseto61517%84.390.3-6.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia61517%73.384.5-11.2
20 Urania Milano71614%79.084.4-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Roseto2024201983
Sebastiani Rieti1216312079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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