PythiaBasketballBETA
BNXT League· Topsportcentrum Rotterdam
Rotterdam will host Donar Groningen on 15 November 2026 in the BNXT League, with the model favouring Donar and predicting a 70% chance of a win for the road side while Rotterdam has a 30% chance; the projected score is 79-85 and the total is 164.8 points. Rotterdam, 12th in the standings, has gone 2-4 overall, scoring 75.8 points and allowing 80.2, but they are 2-1 at home with 83.7 points for and 79.3 against, and their last five games include two wins and three losses, highlighted by a 91-85 victory over CB Liege and a 89-77 win over Belfius Mons, before a 74-77 loss to Spirou Charleroi away. Donar, 11th, is 3-3 overall, averaging 81.3 points and conceding 89.5, and on the road they are 2-1 with 90.3 points for and 91.0 against, having won four of their last five games, including an 83-81 win over AEL at home and a 92-80 road win over Alkar. In their ten meetings Donar has won every encounter, most recently defeating Rotterdam 90-76 on 6 May 2026. The spread is 2.0 in favour of Rotterdam, with a 34% chance that they cover, and there is a 5% probability of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 75.8 | 80.2 | 156.0 | -4.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (3) | 83.7 | 79.3 | 163.0 | +4.3 | 67% |
| Season away (3) | 68.0 | 81.0 | 149.0 | -13.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.2 | 85.3 | 161.5 | -9.1 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.8 | 81.0 | 157.8 | -4.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (25) | 71.5 | 88.7 | 160.2 | -17.2 | 8% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 72.7 | 76.3 | 149.0 | -3.7 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 90.0 | 81.0 | 171.0 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 81.3 | 89.5 | 170.8 | -8.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (3) | 72.3 | 88.0 | 160.3 | -15.7 | 33% |
| Season away (3) | 90.3 | 91.0 | 181.3 | -0.7 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.3 | 85.2 | 167.5 | -2.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 86.8 | 82.2 | 169.0 | +4.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 79.2 | 90.2 | 169.4 | -11.1 | 31% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 84.6 | 79.2 | 163.8 | +5.3 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 90.8 | 82.4 | 173.2 | +8.4 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (29) | 37.6 | 42.7 | 80.3 | -5.1 | 21% | 52% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 39.4 | 39.5 | 78.9 | -0.1 | 36% | 43% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 35.9 | 45.7 | 81.5 | -9.8 | 7% | 60% |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.9 | 39.8 | 74.7 | -4.9 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.0 | 36.0 | 71.0 | -1.0 | 20% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (24) | 36.8 | 44.3 | 81.1 | -7.6 | 8% | 54% |
| vs Similar ◀ (3) | 40.3 | 35.0 | 75.3 | +5.3 | 100% | 33% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 43.5 | 34.5 | 78.0 | +9.0 | 50% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 81.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.1 | 41.0 | 84.2 | +2.1 | 53% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 42.5 | 39.5 | 82.0 | +2.9 | 65% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 44.0 | 43.0 | 87.0 | +1.0 | 38% | 69% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.9 | 42.6 | 86.5 | +1.3 | 60% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.4 | 42.2 | 86.6 | +2.2 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 41.8 | 45.6 | 87.5 | -3.8 | 31% | 85% |
| vs Similar ◀ (12) | 42.1 | 36.2 | 78.2 | +5.9 | 67% | 25% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 49.0 | 40.8 | 89.8 | +8.2 | 80% | 100% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donar Groningen +2 | 75.2% | 1.59 | 1.72 | 1.60 | 1.46 | - | - | +22.1pp |
| Donar Groningen win | 70.3% | 1.61 | 1.67 | 1.63 | 1.62 | 1.61 | 1.61 | +13.5pp |
| Donar Groningen over 78.5 | 75.1% | 1.44 | 1.47 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +12.8pp |
| Rotterdam under 86.5 | 75.6% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +11.1pp |
| Over 155.5 | 70.8% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +4.8pp |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.2 | 16.2 | 53.2% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.0 | 9.6 | 32.1% | 28.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 21.1 | 15.4 | 71.0% | 15.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.2 | 18.9 | 53.2% | 37.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.9 | 10.6 | 32.1% | 31.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.7 | 12.1 | 71.0% | 12.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 | Rotterdam v Donar Groningen | 76-90 |
| 28/10/25 | Donar Groningen v Rotterdam | 86-59 |
| 18/04/19 | Rotterdam v Donar Groningen | 66-82 |
| 16/02/19 | Donar Groningen v Rotterdam | 111-72 |
| 15/12/18 | Rotterdam v Donar Groningen | 77-79 |
| 28/10/18 | Donar Groningen v Rotterdam | 90-59 |
| 15/05/18 | Rotterdam v Donar Groningen | 51-107 |
| 12/05/18 | Donar Groningen v Rotterdam | 98-74 |
| 10/05/18 | Rotterdam v Donar Groningen | 85-114 |
| 08/05/18 | Donar Groningen v Rotterdam | 96-77 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Spirou Charleroi | 74-77 |
| 30/10/26 | H | CB Liege | 91-85 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Belfius Mons | 89-77 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Limburg | 80-87 |
| 09/10/26 | A | Den Bosch | 50-79 |
| 02/10/26 | H | Leiden | 71-76 |
| 09/05/26 | A | Mechelen | 73-97 |
| 06/05/26 | H | Donar Groningen | 76-90 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Okapi Aalst | 92-102 |
| 26/04/26 | H | Brussels Basketball | 66-83 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | AEL | 83-81 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Limburg | 73-96 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Alkar | 92-80 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Leiden | 96-83 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Voluntari | 90-71 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Okapi Aalst | 90-114 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Spirou Charleroi | 63-90 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Leuven Bears | 81-78 |
| 02/10/26 | A | Kortrijk | 85-76 |
| 30/09/26 | A | Tal Tech | 70-83 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 33% |
| Home | LWW | 67% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Points / game | 75.8 | 83.7 | 68.0 |
| Allowed / game | 80.2 | 79.3 | 81.0 |
| Point differential | -4.3 | +4.3 | -13.0 |
| Avg total | 156.0 | 163.0 | 149.0 |
| Over 165.25 | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 50% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | WLW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Points / game | 81.3 | 72.3 | 90.3 |
| Allowed / game | 89.5 | 88.0 | 91.0 |
| Point differential | -8.2 | -15.7 | -0.7 |
| Avg total | 170.8 | 160.3 | 181.3 |
| Over 165.25 | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Antwerp Giants | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 99.3 | 78.0 | +21.3 |
| 2 |  Spirou Charleroi | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.0 | 68.0 | +11.0 |
| 3 |  Brussels Basketball | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.4 | 70.9 | +9.6 |
| 4 |  Okapi Aalst | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 91.7 | 86.9 | +4.9 |
| 5 |  Limburg | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 92.0 | 84.3 | +7.7 |
| 6 |  Oostende | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 76.9 | 73.1 | +3.7 |
| 7 |  Den Bosch | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 83.6 | 83.6 | +0.0 |
| 8 |  Zwolle | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 72.7 | 77.0 | -4.3 |
| 9 | Donar Groningen | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 81.3 | 89.5 | -8.2 |
| 10 |  Leiden | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 77.1 | 78.4 | -1.3 |
| 11 |  Mechelen | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 88.4 | 91.0 | -2.6 |
| 12 |  Leuven Bears | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 69.9 | 74.6 | -4.7 |
| 13 | Rotterdam | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 75.8 | 80.2 | -4.3 |
| 14 |  Kortrijk | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 83.0 | 82.4 | +0.6 |
| 15 | CB Liege | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 77.0 | 89.0 | -12.0 |
| 16 |  Belfius Mons | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 66.9 | 89.4 | -22.6 |
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