PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Rytas vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Dec 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-67
17-15 14-22 20-17 20-13
Position#11
Record4-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game79.9
Rytas 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record2-7
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game92.7
EuropeEurocupRound 10
European cup2018
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RytasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H03/11
LKL
Unicaja
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A07/11
Eurocup
Skycop
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A10/11
LKL
Unics Kazan
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H13/11
Eurocup
Neptunas
#2
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A18/11
LKL
Frankfurt
#16
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A21/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H24/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
83-94
83
94
-11
H05/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A09/12
LKL
Torino
#24
W
101-96 OT
101
96
+5
A11/12
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
15-22
12-18
23-19
21-21
27-22
7-28
21-24
22-19
18-15
16-16
25-21
18-18
25-17
15-24
23-28
23-24
23-17
27-14
20-23
16-13
19-13
12-21
16-18
24-12
29-16
17-16
30-17
12-24
20-25
26-20
25-25
14-22
24-19
16-30
32-24
29-22
18-14
22-21
17-29
165.0Avg total
83.0Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.279.9159.1-0.744%
Season at home (4)77.077.0154.0+0.050%
Season away (5)81.082.2163.2-1.240%
Last 10 (10)83.082.0165.0+1.040%
Last 5 (5)86.682.2168.8+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.084.7162.7-6.718%
vs Similar (3)80.783.3164.0-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.571.3154.8+12.281%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
73-90
73
90
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
95-99
95
99
-4
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-104
71
104
-33
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
76-111
76
111
-35
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
97-103
97
103
-6
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
83-87
83
87
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
102-103
102
103
-1
H15/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-28
26-14
13-21
24-21
12-23
21-27
14-22
26-18
25-32
18-30
23-20
29-17
20-21
25-19
20-20
21-23
16-23
16-27
27-25
12-29
15-31
26-31
13-26
22-23
23-27
19-27
27-19
28-30
23-14
18-15
23-24
20-29
26-25
16-21
15-18
26-23
27-25
26-19
33-34
16-25
178.6Avg total
84.0Scored
94.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.392.7171.0-14.322%
Season at home (5)79.491.0170.4-11.620%
Season away (4)77.094.8171.8-17.825%
Last 10 (10)84.094.6178.6-10.620%
Last 5 (5)88.497.2185.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.394.9177.2-12.623%
vs Similar (12)81.982.2164.2-0.350%
vs Weaker (4)93.275.0168.2+18.2100%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
RytasMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H03/11
LKL
Unicaja
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A07/11
Eurocup
Skycop
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A10/11
LKL
Unics Kazan
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H13/11
Eurocup
Neptunas
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A18/11
LKL
Frankfurt
#16
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A21/11
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H24/11
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H05/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A09/12
LKL
Torino
#24
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A11/12
Eurocup
78.7Avg total
41.3Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.978.9+3.160%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.736.276.9+4.567%-
Last 30 away (15)41.339.780.9+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.337.478.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.036.077.0+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.339.579.8+0.755%-
vs Similar (3)36.343.780.0-7.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.435.878.1+6.669%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A07/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#3
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H11/11
ABA League
Torino
#24
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A17/11
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A21/11
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H26/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
A08/12
ABA League
Frankfurt
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H12/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H15/12
ABA League
88.7Avg total
40.8Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.886.4-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.445.288.6-1.833%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.484.2-4.640%-
Last 10 (10)40.847.988.7-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.847.090.8-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.849.292.1-6.431%-
vs Similar (12)39.041.880.8-2.833%-
vs Weaker (4)44.839.083.8+5.875%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.3
50.3%
51.9%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.47.0
36.0%
36.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.115.0
74.6%
74.9%15.0
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.4
51.6%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.9
34.4%
36.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.014.3
68.1%
74.9%14.3
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rytas
WLLWLWLWLL
Mornar Bar
LLWLLLWLLL
#11
League position
#22
-1.6
Net rating
-14.3
108.7
Offensive rating
109.5
110.3
Defensive rating
123.8
51.5%
Effective FG%
51.6%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
17.5%
Turnover %
14.0%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.0%
3-point %
34.4%
56.1%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 109.5Defence110.3 · 123.8Shooting51.5% · 51.6%3-point %36.0% · 34.4%Ball care17.5% · 14.0%Off. rebounds34.4% · 31.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Rytas   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rytas wins
0
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
31/10/18Mornar Bar v Rytas69-92
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/18ATorino101-96 OT
09/12/18AZalgiris Kaunas86-95
05/12/18HLietkabelis83-94
24/11/18HNevezis100-61
21/11/18AFrankfurt63-65
18/11/18ANeptunas93-78
13/11/18HUnics Kazan81-87
10/11/18ASkycop81-71
07/11/18AUnicaja76-95
03/11/18HNeptunas66-78
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/18HCedevita102-103
12/12/18HFrankfurt83-87
08/12/18AFMP Beograd84-82
26/11/18HIgokea97-103
21/11/18AUnicaja76-111
17/11/18ACrvena zvezda71-104
14/11/18HTorino86-83
11/11/18HBuducnost95-99
07/11/18AUnics Kazan73-90
04/11/18ACibona73-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rytas
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW44%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%50%40%
Points / game79.277.081.0
Allowed / game79.977.082.2
Point differential-0.7+0.0-1.2
Avg total159.1154.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Mornar Bar
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game78.379.477.0
Allowed / game92.791.094.8
Point differential-14.3-11.6-17.8
Avg total171.0170.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan98189%87.177.4+9.7
2 Lokomotiv Kuban98189%85.676.0+9.6
3 Valencia108280%84.675.9+8.7
4 Unicaja97278%91.181.1+10.0
5 Alba Berlin97278%90.683.6+7.0
6 Lyon-Villeurbanne107370%79.173.9+5.2
7 Monaco107370%79.675.7+3.9
8 Frankfurt96367%79.477.8+1.7
9 MoraBanc Andorra106460%87.084.4+2.6
10 Crvena zvezda95456%80.676.1+4.4
11 Cedevita105550%85.383.1+2.2
12 Rytas94544%79.279.9-0.7
13 Ulm94544%83.684.6-1.0
14 Turk Telekom94544%77.181.3-4.2
15 Zenit Petersburg104640%85.784.6+1.1
16 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
17 Partizan93633%74.377.7-3.3
18 Limoges93633%79.484.3-4.9
19 Brescia93633%77.882.8-5.0
20 Galatasaray93633%78.083.7-5.7
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar92722%78.392.7-14.3
23 Gdynia91811%74.285.2-11.0
24 Torino9090%83.689.9-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rytas1714202071
Mornar Bar1522171367
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.