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Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 78-93
24-23 17-23 14-27 23-20
Position#2
Record9-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game74.5
Neptunas
Lithuania
vs
Rytas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#3
Record7-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game70.2
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2018-19
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
A14/10
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
78-63
78
63
+15
no box
H17/10
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
H21/10
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
89-91
89
91
-2
no box
A24/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
98-88
98
88
+10
no box
A27/10
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
H31/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
W
78-66
78
66
+12
no box
A03/11
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
97-88
97
88
+9
no box
A07/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
83-69
83
69
+14
no box
A10/11
LKL
Promitheas
#17
L
82-83
82
83
-1
no box
H13/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
16-8
16-20
24-11
22-12
16-21
17-7
23-23
16-18
23-17
22-20
20-15
24-26
22-28
18-19
25-18
26-27
30-18
19-18
23-25
23-25
29-19
19-15
21-24
19-16
22-15
18-12
19-23
24-17
32-30
24-21
17-20
22-9
28-20
12-21
21-19
16-14
20-20
19-23
27-26
161.4Avg total
85.3Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)86.574.5161.0+12.090%
Season at home (4)87.275.5162.8+11.875%
Season away (6)86.073.8159.8+12.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.376.1161.4+9.280%
Last 5 (5)86.477.8164.2+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.774.4147.1-1.743%
vs Similar ◀ (6)82.579.2161.7+3.350%
vs Weaker (17)88.477.9166.2+10.588%
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A13/10
LKL
Frankfurt
#16
L
61-70
61
70
-9
87avg 105
H17/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
90-63
90
63
+27
no box
H20/10
LKL
Torino
#24
W
86-79
86
79
+7
119avg 105
H24/10
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
A27/10
LKL
Mornar Bar
#22
W
92-69
92
69
+23
120avg 105
A31/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#2
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
H03/11
LKL
Unicaja
#6
L
76-95
76
95
-19
97avg 105
A07/11
Eurocup
Skycop
#7
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A10/11
LKL
Unics Kazan
#2
L
81-87
81
87
-6
104avg 105
H13/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
20-16
17-24
24-9
15-15
19-20
16-23
11-12
22-16
21-18
22-16
25-13
22-12
22-22
16-19
26-26
17-24
27-18
25-23
20-13
26-23
23-26
22-8
21-12
16-19
15-22
12-18
23-19
21-21
27-22
7-28
21-24
22-19
18-15
16-16
25-21
18-18
25-17
15-24
23-28
156.4Avg total
80.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.870.2152.0+11.678%
Season at home (5)81.468.0149.4+13.460%
Season away (4)82.273.0155.2+9.2100%
Last 10 (10)80.176.3156.4+3.860%
Last 5 (5)79.280.0159.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.283.7160.9-6.520%
vs Similar ◀ (1)66.078.0144.0-12.00%
vs Weaker (19)83.870.7154.6+13.184%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +4.2+4.2
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A14/10
LKL
Besiktas
#16
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/10
Champions League
Juventus
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H21/10
LKL
Oostende
#27
L
46-54
46
54
-8
A24/10
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A27/10
LKL
Strasbourg
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H31/10
Champions League
Rytas
#3
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A03/11
LKL
Petrol Olimpija
#45
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A07/11
Champions League
Nevezis
#9
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A10/11
LKL
Promitheas
#17
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H13/11
Champions League
83.0Avg total
44.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.038.380.3+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.939.077.9-0.157%-
Last 30 away (16)44.737.682.3+7.175%-
Last 10 (10)44.938.183.0+6.890%-
Last 5 (5)47.037.084.0+10.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.635.071.6+1.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)41.039.780.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker (17)44.639.183.7+5.576%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A13/10
LKL
Frankfurt
#16
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H17/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#10
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H20/10
LKL
Torino
#24
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H24/10
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A27/10
LKL
Mornar Bar
#22
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A31/10
Eurocup
Neptunas
#2
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H03/11
LKL
Unicaja
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A07/11
Eurocup
Skycop
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A10/11
LKL
Unics Kazan
#2
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H13/11
Eurocup
80.1Avg total
41.4Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.037.578.5+3.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.135.977.0+5.265%-
Last 30 away (13)40.939.680.5+1.354%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.780.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.240.482.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.539.479.9+1.160%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (19)41.836.378.2+5.563%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.015.0
50.0%
55.3%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.0
37.0%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.013.0
81.2%
73.8%13.0
They take 57.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
50%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.4
51.0%
55.3%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.07.0
36.8%
35.7%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.014.9
74.4%
73.8%14.9
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/8 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWWWWLWWW
Rytas
LWLLWWWWLW
#2
League position
#3
+9.4
Net rating
-1.1
97.6
Offensive rating
111.0
88.2
Defensive rating
112.1
52.6%
Effective FG%
52.4%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
20.0%
Turnover %
17.0%
12.9%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.0%
3-point %
36.8%
60.0%
Assist %
55.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 111.0Defence88.2 · 112.1Shooting52.6% · 52.4%3-point %37.0% · 36.8%Ball care20.0% · 17.0%Off. rebounds12.9% · 36.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Neptunas wins
5
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
03/11/18Rytas v Neptunas66-78
06/06/18Rytas v Neptunas88-82
04/06/18Neptunas v Rytas74-70
02/06/18Rytas v Neptunas74-67
30/05/18Neptunas v Rytas49-67
28/05/18Rytas v Neptunas79-84
22/04/18Neptunas v Rytas72-90
18/03/18Rytas v Neptunas86-99
18/11/17Neptunas v Rytas81-76
14/10/17Rytas v Neptunas92-79
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/18HPromitheas82-83
10/11/18ANevezis83-69
07/11/18APetrol Olimpija97-88
03/11/18ARytas78-66
31/10/18HStrasbourg92-83
27/10/18ASiauliai98-88
24/10/18AOostende89-91
21/10/18HJuventus81-70
17/10/18HBesiktas78-63
14/10/18AZalgiris Kaunas75-60
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/18HUnics Kazan81-87
10/11/18ASkycop81-71
07/11/18AUnicaja76-95
03/11/18HNeptunas66-78
31/10/18AMornar Bar92-69
27/10/18APieno Zvaigzdes89-78
24/10/18HTorino86-79
20/10/18HSiauliai90-63
17/10/18HFrankfurt61-70
13/10/18AAlytaus Dzukija79-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %90%75%100%
Points / game86.587.286.0
Allowed / game74.575.573.8
Point differential+12.0+11.8+12.2
Avg total161.0162.8159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%75%83%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%60%100%
Points / game81.881.482.2
Allowed / game70.268.073.0
Point differential+11.6+13.4+9.2
Avg total152.0149.4155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%60%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas109190%82.767.7+15.0
2 Neptunas109190%86.574.5+12.0
3 Rytas97278%81.870.2+11.6
4 Lietkabelis96367%79.377.2+2.1
5 Alytaus Dzukija115645%78.077.7+0.3
6 Juventus115645%77.579.4-1.9
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes104640%78.484.0-5.6
8 Skycop114736%76.984.0-7.1
9 Nevezis112918%70.682.6-12.0
10 Siauliai100100%77.488.3-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2417142378
Rytas2323272093
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