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Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 19 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Projected 112-118
Projected total 229.2
Scheduled
Position#28
Record1-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game108.2
Allowed / game120.9
Vs
32%
68%
■ SAC 32%■ PHX 68%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.0/10
Below normal
5.1/10
Around normal
Position#18
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game116.1
USANBA· Golden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Sacramento Kings v Phoenix Suns
06 Feb 2027
SAC v PHX
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
SAC v PHX
upcoming
03 Mar 2026
SAC103
PHX114
26 Nov 2025
SAC100
PHX112
13 Apr 2025
SAC109
PHX98
13 Nov 2024
SAC127
PHX104
12 Apr 2024
SAC107
PHX108
22 Dec 2023
SAC120
PHX105
24 Mar 2023
SAC135
PHX127
28 Nov 2022
SAC117
PHX122
20 Mar 2022
SAC124
PHX127
08 Nov 2021
SAC104
PHX109
27 Dec 2020
SAC100
PHX116
26 Dec 2020
SAC106
PHX103
28 Dec 2019
SAC110
PHX112
19 Nov 2019
SAC120
PHX116
23 Mar 2019
SAC112
PHX103
10 Feb 2019
SAC117
PHX104
29 Dec 2017
SAC101
PHX111
12 Dec 2017
SAC99
PHX92
11 Apr 2017
SAC129
PHX104
03 Feb 2017
SAC103
PHX105
25 Mar 2016
SAC116
PHX94
02 Jan 2016
SAC142
PHX119
08 Feb 2015
SAC85
PHX83
26 Dec 2014
SAC106
PHX115
16 Apr 2014
SAC99
PHX104
19 Nov 2013
SAC107
PHX104
08 Mar 2013
SAC121
PHX112
23 Jan 2013
SAC96
PHX106
03 Apr 2012
SAC100
PHX109
11 Feb 2012
SAC84
PHX98
29 Mar 2011
SAC116
PHX113
02 Jan 2011
SAC94
PHX89
05 Feb 2010
SAC102
PHX114
05 Jan 2010
SAC109
PHX113
29 Mar 2009
SAC126
PHX118
14 Nov 2008
SAC95
PHX97
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Sacramento Kings and Phoenix Suns face off on 18 November 2026 in the NBA, with the Kings arriving on a 1-10 run while the Suns sit at 5-6, a stark contrast that sets the tone. The Kings have scored 108.3 points per game and allowed 121.0, while the Suns average 111.7 scored and 116.1 allowed, both hovering in the lower half of the league. Sacramento's home record is 0-6, with points per game 108.7 and allowed 118.7, and their last five games yielded one win and four losses, including defeats to Orlando 100-107, Miami 108-114 and San Antonio 109-124. Phoenix's road record is 0-3, averaging 103.3 points and conceding 121.7, yet their last five games show four wins and one loss, highlighted by a 133-110 victory over Los Angeles. Historically the Suns lead the series 7-3, most recently beating Sacramento 114-103 on 3 March 2026. Pythia rates the Suns as the favourite with a 68% chance of winning versus 32% for the Kings, projecting a 112-118 score and a 229.2 total. The Suns are also 6% likely to force overtime. The Kings must overcome their poor form to upset the Suns in this matchup.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento Kings win
32.1%fair 3.12
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Phoenix Suns win
67.9%fair 1.47
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 09:11 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento KingsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKings
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
112-123
112
123
-11
95avg 99
H26/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
103-130
103
130
-27
87avg 99
A28/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
120-132
120
132
-12
113avg 99
A30/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
105-136
105
136
-31
92avg 99
A01/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
115-100
115
100
+15
101avg 99
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
103-116
103
116
-13
86avg 99
H05/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
109-124
109
124
-15
98avg 99
H07/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
108-114
108
114
-6
101avg 99
H09/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
100-107
100
107
-7
88avg 99
H11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
107-120
107
120
-13
97avg 99
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
31-42
31-29
22-27
29-39
25-41
26-27
23-23
30-24
31-39
27-39
32-30
21-27
34-39
25-42
25-28
19-18
35-35
27-21
34-26
28-28
26-33
20-26
29-29
29-38
27-37
24-24
29-25
30-34
29-34
22-23
27-23
27-34
25-23
24-27
24-23
25-34
28-30
25-29
29-27
228.4Avg total
108.2Scored
120.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)108.2120.9229.1-12.88%
Season at home (7)108.4118.9227.3-10.40%
Season away (5)107.8123.8231.6-16.020%
Last 10 (10)108.2120.2228.4-12.010%
Last 5 (5)105.4116.2221.6-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)110.4120.8231.2-10.424%
vs Similar (5)115.0118.0233.0-3.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 101
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 101
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 101
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 101
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 101
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 101
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 101
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 101
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
101-96
101
96
+5
82avg 101
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
28-22
27-28
17-26
29-20
229.9Avg total
114.6Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.7116.1227.8-4.445%
Season at home (8)114.9114.0228.9+0.962%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)114.6115.3229.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)109.8106.2216.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar (10)111.0110.9221.9+0.140%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)117.2105.8223.0+11.383%
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%8%11%0%1801%1851%1902%1954%2005%2057%2108%21510%22011%22510%23010%2358%2406%2455%2503%2552%2601%2651%2701%2750%280
1%1852%1955%2058%21511%22510%2356%2453%2551%2651%275
Pythia expects about 229 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 225-229 (11%).
Over/Under 220
Over 220
68.7%
Under 220
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 225
Over 225
58.3%
Under 225
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 230
Over 230
47.3%
Under 230
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Sacramento Kings total 109
Over 109
57.9%
Under 109
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sacramento Kings total 113
Over 113
44.1%
Under 113
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sacramento Kings total 117
Over 117
31.3%
Under 117
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Phoenix Suns total 107.5
Over 107.5
80.9%
Under 107.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Phoenix Suns total 111.5
Over 111.5
70.3%
Under 111.5
29.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Phoenix Suns total 115.5
Over 115.5
57.6%
Under 115.5
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%0%-450%-421%-391%-362%-332%-303%-274%-245%-217%-187%-158%-129%-99%-68%-35%+07%+36%+64%+93%+123%+152%+181%+211%+241%+27
0%-421%-362%-304%-247%-188%-129%-65%+06%+63%+122%+181%+24
Margin from Sacramento Kings's side (positive = Sacramento Kings win). Pythia's expected margin is -6.1; Sacramento Kings win by 1+ in 27% of simulations.
Spread Sacramento Kings -3
SAC -3
26.3%
PHX +3
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
SAC
No market prices yet.
PHX
No market prices yet.
Spread Sacramento Kings 0
SAC 0
32.1%
PHX 0
67.9%
Best 5 market prices
SAC
No market prices yet.
PHX
No market prices yet.
Spread Sacramento Kings +3
SAC +3
37.7%
PHX -3
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
SAC
No market prices yet.
PHX
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: -6.2-6.2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
Sacramento KingsPhoenix Suns
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacramento KingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H26/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A28/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A30/10
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#9
L
55-66
55
66
-11
A01/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#13
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A03/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H05/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
56-75
56
75
-19
H07/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H09/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H14/11
NBA
121.1Avg total
55.7Scored
65.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.263.8120.0-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.662.8119.5-6.229%-
Last 30 away (13)55.565.2120.7-9.623%-
Last 10 (10)55.765.4121.1-9.710%-
Last 5 (5)54.865.0119.8-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)57.064.6121.6-7.528%-
vs Similar (5)51.860.2112.0-8.420%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H13/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
56.8Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.658.6116.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.756.9115.6+1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)55.961.2117.1-5.242%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.1113.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)55.051.2106.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (10)58.357.0115.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)61.553.7115.2+7.883%-
This opponent (Sacramento Kings) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sacramento Kingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sacramento Kings: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.731.6
55.7%
54.0%63.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.6
33.0%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws24.118.2
75.5%
77.2%18.2
They take 88.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.2 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.3
56.0%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.3
36.0%
35.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.4%
77.2%14.3
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sacramento Kings
LLLLLWLLLL
Phoenix Suns
WWLWWLLLLW
#28
League position
#18
-7.3
Net rating
-3.5
111.3
Offensive rating
110.0
118.6
Defensive rating
113.5
53.5%
Effective FG%
55.1%
57.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.21
33.0%
3-point %
36.0%
56.4%
Assist %
62.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 110.0Defence118.6 · 113.5Shooting53.5% · 55.1%3-point %33.0% · 36.0%Ball care14.7% · 13.9%Off. rebounds28.4% · 29.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Sacramento Kings   ■ Phoenix Suns
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sacramento Kings wins
7
Phoenix Suns wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers107-120
11/11/26HOrlando Magic100-107
09/11/26HMiami Heat108-114
07/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs109-124
05/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers103-116
03/11/26ADallas Mavericks115-100
01/11/26AMemphis Grizzlies105-136
30/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans120-132
28/10/26ASan Antonio Spurs103-130
26/10/26HMemphis Grizzlies112-123
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCharlotte Hornets101-96
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento Kings
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%0%20%
Points / game108.2108.4107.8
Allowed / game120.9118.9123.8
Point differential-12.8-10.4-16.0
Avg total229.1227.3231.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %45%62%0%
Points / game111.7114.9103.3
Allowed / game116.1114.0121.7
Point differential-4.4+0.9-18.3
Avg total227.8228.9225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
5 Philadelphia 76ers1310377%111.2109.4+1.8
6 Minnesota Timberwolves129375%119.3105.9+13.4
7 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
8 Detroit Pistons118373%115.5107.8+7.7
9 Memphis Grizzlies128467%119.9111.8+8.1
10 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
11 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
12 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
13 Dallas Mavericks127558%113.2112.2+1.0
14 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
15 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
16 Miami Heat126650%117.2120.1-2.9
17 Cleveland Cavaliers136746%116.8115.8+1.0
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers135838%111.2113.2-2.1
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans134931%116.5125.6-9.2
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
27 Chicago Bulls112918%114.4127.7-13.4
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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