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Sacramento State vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 67-64
33-26 34-38
Position#329
Record3-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Position#200
Record6-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacramento State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
L
57-92
57
92
-35
A18/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H20/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H22/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A03/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H09/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
52-83
52
83
-31
H19/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
100-45
100
45
+55
H21/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A29/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
61-87
61
87
-26
A30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
27-51
38-30
33-45
44-35
27-39
26-29
43-34
39-43
34-40
27-41
33-21
22-50
30-33
54-13
46-32
22-33
36-28
27-44
34-43
139.7Avg total
67.2Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.073.8145.8-1.823%
Season at home (6)80.367.5147.8+12.833%
Season away (7)64.979.1144.0-14.314%
Last 10 (10)67.272.5139.7-5.320%
Last 5 (5)66.267.6133.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.177.4141.5-13.39%
vs Similar (17)63.866.8130.6-3.029%
vs Weaker (1)100.045.0145.0+55.0100%
This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#276
L
83-93 OT
83
93
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A26/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
74-44
74
44
+30
H01/12
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A06/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A09/12
NCAA
Tabor
#442
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H13/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A16/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
57-70
57
70
-13
A21/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
77-60
77
60
+17
H30/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-36
33-35
31-28
28-35
38-17
36-27
30-44
39-44
28-28
44-39
35-34
45-23
34-45
35-34
27-36
30-34
38-23
39-37
33-32
23-45
139.4Avg total
69.6Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)70.469.8140.2+0.640%
Season at home (7)78.960.0138.9+18.971%
Season away (8)63.078.4141.4-15.412%
Last 10 (10)69.669.8139.4-0.240%
Last 5 (5)67.868.6136.4-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)61.373.7135.0-12.325%
vs Similar (11)65.376.4141.6-11.118%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)72.256.4128.6+15.880%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -2.3-2.32nd half: -0.1-0.1
Sacramento StateUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulane
#251
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A18/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#171
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H22/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H09/12
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H19/12
NCAA
Bethesda
#654
W
54-13
54
13
+41
H21/12
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
22-33
22
33
-11
A29/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A30/12
NCAA
68.8Avg total
32.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.235.467.5-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.631.467.0+4.164%-
Last 30 away (16)29.238.868.0-9.612%-
Last 10 (10)32.935.968.8-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.436.266.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.739.670.4-8.918%-
vs Similar (17)29.934.364.2-4.441%-
vs Weaker (1)54.013.067.0+41.0100%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brown
#276
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H25/11
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#271
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
38-17
38
17
+21
H01/12
NCAA
Kansas
#63
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A09/12
NCAA
Tabor
#442
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H13/12
NCAA
Bowling Green
#127
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A16/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H30/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#118
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A31/12
NCAA
65.5Avg total
33.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.833.664.5-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.931.363.2+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)29.636.365.9-6.621%-
Last 10 (10)33.232.365.5+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)33.434.067.4-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.935.063.9-6.125%-
vs Similar (11)28.437.165.5-8.79%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)34.823.658.4+11.280%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sacramento State wins
0
UMKC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23AEast. Washington61-87
29/12/23AIdaho58-61
21/12/23HBethesda100-45
19/12/23HUC San Diego52-83
09/12/23HCS Fullerton60-62
03/12/23ALong Beach State73-83
27/11/23AUC Davis69-63
22/11/23HAustin Peay71-74
20/11/23HCSU Bakersfield71-75
18/11/23ATulane57-92
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)56-77
30/12/23HOral Roberts77-60
21/12/23AEast Tennessee St57-70
16/12/23ABowling Green69-79
13/12/23HTabor80-57
09/12/23ALindenwood72-67
06/12/23AKansas69-88
01/12/23HSoutheast Missouri State74-44
26/11/23AMiddle Tenn. St.59-63
25/11/23HBrown83-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacramento State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %23%33%14%
Points / game72.080.364.9
Allowed / game73.867.579.1
Point differential-1.8+12.8-14.3
Avg total145.8147.8144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayLWLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%71%12%
Points / game70.478.963.0
Allowed / game69.860.078.4
Point differential+0.6+18.9-15.4
Avg total140.2138.9141.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State1410471%72.969.0+3.9
2 Weber State139469%76.559.8+16.8
3 Montana149564%76.672.0+4.6
4 Northern Colorado137654%79.677.8+1.8
5 East. Washington147750%78.272.5+5.7
6 Idaho147750%71.769.1+2.6
7 Montana State136746%73.273.0+0.2
8 Northern Arizona146843%66.176.9-10.9
9 Idaho State134931%68.167.5+0.5
10 Sacramento State1331023%72.073.8-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1510567%72.760.9+11.8
2 Denver159660%84.477.6+6.8
3 South Dakota St.147750%75.170.8+4.3
4 Nebraska O.168850%72.969.1+3.9
5 South Dakota Coyotes168850%77.175.5+1.6
6 North Dakota168850%73.271.9+1.3
7 North Dakota St157847%76.772.3+4.3
8 Oral Roberts136746%74.573.8+0.7
9 UMKC156940%70.469.8+0.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Sacramento State333467
UMKC263864
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