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Sacred Heart vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-69
0-0 31-32 0-0 46-37
Position#262
Record12-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#242
Record14-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game68.3
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sacred Heart v Mount St. Mary's
13 Jan 2027
SACR v MOUN
upcoming
27 Feb 2026
SACR77
MOUN69
24 Feb 2022
SACR77
MOUN65
04 Mar 2020
SACR61
MOUN59
30 Jan 2020
SACR58
MOUN53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sacred Heart winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sacred HeartUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
W
69-66
69
66
+3
H23/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H24/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A31/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A01/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H06/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A07/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
86-75
86
75
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A21/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-30
0-0
39-36
0-0
34-36
0-0
37-34
0-0
47-50
0-0
51-41
0-0
32-41
0-0
26-34
0-0
38-47
0-0
49-45
0-0
44-37
0-0
24-43
0-0
40-33
0-0
38-38
0-0
49-30
0-0
37-45
0-0
37-32
0-0
31-46
0-0
36-33
0-0
27-32
150.9Avg total
74.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.577.0152.5-1.440%
Season at home (12)77.671.3148.9+6.258%
Season away (18)74.280.7154.9-6.628%
Last 10 (10)74.676.3150.9-1.750%
Last 5 (5)72.673.8146.4-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.283.5158.6-8.318%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.777.6151.2-3.933%
vs Weaker (9)74.871.9146.7+2.967%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#351
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H23/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H24/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
68-47
68
47
+21
H22/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-34
0-0
38-24
0-0
32-41
0-0
30-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
38-28
0-0
33-32
0-0
25-34
0-0
32-27
0-0
40-38
0-0
40-39
0-0
30-48
0-0
39-34
0-0
44-42
0-0
28-21
0-0
37-34
0-0
31-31
0-0
45-32
0-0
20-24
0-0
48-23
134.8Avg total
69.3Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)68.370.9139.3-2.648%
Season at home (13)69.266.8135.9+2.462%
Season away (16)67.774.3142.0-6.638%
Last 10 (10)69.365.5134.8+3.870%
Last 5 (5)72.465.6138.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)61.377.2138.5-15.915%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.774.0146.7-1.357%
vs Weaker (10)72.562.8135.3+9.780%
This opponent (Sacred Heart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +3.6+3.6
Sacred HeartMount St. Mary's
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sacred HeartLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H23/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H24/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A31/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A01/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H06/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Marist
#106
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A22/02
NCAA
75.6Avg total
38.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.737.274.9+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.833.170.9+4.858%-
Last 30 away (18)37.639.977.5-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)38.736.975.6+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.233.074.2+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.440.578.9-2.245%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.237.976.1+0.356%-
vs Weaker (9)35.633.769.2+1.956%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niagara
#351
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H23/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H24/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H22/02
NCAA
63.4Avg total
31.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.635.167.6-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.334.567.8-1.231%-
Last 30 away (17)32.035.567.5-3.541%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.663.4+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.861.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.336.868.2-5.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.936.972.7-1.043%-
vs Weaker (10)31.931.563.4+0.430%-
This opponent (Sacred Heart) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sacred Heart wins
3
Mount St. Mary's wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26AMarist63-65
21/02/26AFairfield68-78
15/02/26HRider86-75
14/02/26HSt. Peters78-71
07/02/26AManhattan68-80
06/02/26HFairfield87-92
01/02/26AMerrimack Warriors58-75
31/01/26AQuinnipiac98-91
24/01/26HNiagara71-70
23/01/26HCanisius69-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HCanisius68-47
21/02/26HNiagara76-63
14/02/26ARider65-55
08/02/26AIona83-76
06/02/26HMerrimack Warriors70-87
01/02/26HManhattan72-65
31/01/26ASt. Peters58-66
24/01/26HRider71-61
23/01/26HQuinnipiac62-77
19/01/26ANiagara68-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sacred Heart
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWWLWW58%
AwayWLLLL28%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301218
Win %40%58%28%
Points / game75.577.674.2
Allowed / game77.071.380.7
Point differential-1.4+6.2-6.6
Avg total152.5148.9154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayWWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %48%62%38%
Points / game68.369.267.7
Allowed / game70.966.874.3
Point differential-2.6+2.4-6.6
Avg total139.3135.9142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Merrimack Warriors2920969%69.467.5+1.9
2 Siena29191066%71.166.4+4.6
3 Marist28181064%70.463.7+6.7
4 Fairfield29181162%76.072.9+3.1
5 Quinnipiac30181260%75.672.1+3.5
6 St. Peters26151158%71.668.8+2.8
7 Iona29161355%73.673.3+0.3
8 Mount St. Mary's29141548%68.370.9-2.6
9 Manhattan29121741%75.179.7-4.6
10 Sacred Heart30121840%75.577.0-1.4
11 Canisius2992031%62.870.9-8.1
12 Niagara2982128%63.871.2-7.4
13 Rider2742315%63.775.9-12.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sacred Heart03104677
Mount St. Mary's03203769
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