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Saga vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 79-80 (OT)
19-18 21-17 16-19 15-17 8-9
Position#15
Record0-1
FormL
Points / game63.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Ryukyu 🏆
Japan
Position#5
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game63.0
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Saga v Ryukyu
15 Feb 2027
SAGA v RYUK
upcoming
14 Dec 2025
SAGA77
RYUK102
13 Dec 2025
SAGA72
RYUK95
12 Nov 2024
SAGA67
RYUK73
11 Nov 2024
SAGA72
RYUK84
31 Jan 2024
SAGA58
RYUK96
07 Oct 2023
SAGA79
RYUK80
05 Oct 2023
SAGA63
RYUK80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ryukyu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
63-80
63
80
-17
51avg 51
H05/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
17-26
16-17
14-19
143.0Avg total
63.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)63.080.0143.0-17.00%
Season at home (1)63.080.0143.0-17.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (1)63.080.0143.0-17.00%
Last 5 (1)63.080.0143.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)63.080.0143.0-17.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRyukyu
Date
Competition
Osaka
#15
W
86-72
86
72
+14
no box
H30/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
78-71
78
71
+7
no box
A06/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#5
L
70-73
70
73
-3
no box
A07/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
91-85
91
85
+6
no box
H12/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
92-81
92
81
+11
no box
H13/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
H20/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H21/05
B League
Chiba
#1
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
no box
A27/05
B League
Chiba
#1
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
A28/05
B League
Saga
#15
W
80-63
80
63
+17
71avg 71
A05/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
24-13
22-24
20-18
16-19
20-13
27-20
15-19
20-26
19-20
21-14
10-13
18-19
23-25
26-21
24-20
30-16
22-17
21-17
19-31
20-11
28-32
15-16
23-11
22-25
17-16
24-22
25-21
27-15
14-21
15-18
21-23
24-14
16-17
17-23
31-19
18-16
26-17
17-16
19-14
162.0Avg total
85.5Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)80.063.0143.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.576.5162.0+9.090%
Last 5 (5)87.676.6164.2+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)86.882.8169.5+4.075%
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.476.3157.8+5.178%
vs Weaker (17)82.274.8157.0+7.594%
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -9.0-9.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -9.0-9.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +1.8+1.8
SagaRyukyu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H05/10
B League
77.0Avg total
33.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
Last 30 at home (1)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (1)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
Last 5 (1)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (1)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Ryukyu) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osaka
#15
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H30/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#5
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A06/05
B League
Hiroshima D.
#5
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A07/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H12/05
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#4
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H13/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H20/05
B League
Yokohama
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H21/05
B League
Chiba
#1
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/05
B League
Chiba
#1
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A28/05
B League
Saga
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A05/10
B League
79.3Avg total
42.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.575.2+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.136.875.9+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.236.374.5+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.436.979.3+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.879.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)42.237.079.2+5.275%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.636.476.0+3.167%-
vs Weaker (17)37.436.573.9+0.947%-
This opponent (Saga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 63.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 10% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.021.0
52.5%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.02.0
8.0%
33.5%6.0
🏀 Free throws19.015.0
78.9%
72.0%15.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ryukyutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ryukyu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀23%
🏀🏀🏀54%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.8 points a game
49%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.09.0
37.5%
50.9%18.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.014.0
35.0%
33.5%42.0
🏀 Free throws22.018.0
81.8%
72.0%18.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 62% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
L
Ryukyu
WWWWWWWLWW
#15
League position
#5
-20.3
Net rating
+20.3
85.1
Offensive rating
105.4
105.4
Defensive rating
85.1
36.9%
Effective FG%
46.9%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
36.9%
14.6%
Turnover %
11.0%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
8.0%
3-point %
35.0%
47.8%
Assist %
60.9%
1%
Form (last 1/10)
90%

Profile

Offence85.1 · 105.4Defence105.4 · 85.1Shooting36.9% · 46.9%3-point %8.0% · 35.0%Ball care14.6% · 11.0%Off. rebounds20.9% · 20.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 1/10)0% · 90%
■ Saga   ■ Ryukyu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Saga wins
1
Ryukyu wins
DateGameScore
05/10/23Saga v Ryukyu63-80
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23HRyukyu63-80
Ryukyulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/23ASaga80-63
28/05/23AChiba88-73
27/05/23AChiba96-93 OT
21/05/23HYokohama88-84
20/05/23HYokohama86-70
13/05/23HDiamond Dolphins92-81
12/05/23HDiamond Dolphins91-85
07/05/23AHiroshima D.70-73
06/05/23AHiroshima D.78-71
30/04/23HOsaka86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game63.063.0-
Allowed / game80.080.0-
Point differential-17.0-17.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Ryukyu
B League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game80.0-80.0
Allowed / game63.0-63.0
Point differential+17.0-+17.0
Avg total143.0-143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ryukyu110100%80.063.0+17.0
2 Shimane110100%76.071.0+5.0
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1010%71.076.0-5.0
4 Saga1010%63.080.0-17.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Saga19211615879
Ryukyu18171917980
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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